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Bad Conditional Reasoning
Argument misreads or reverses a conditional statement.
Mixes up sufficient/necessary
Common forms:
Affirming the consequent
Denying the antecedent
🚩 Red flag: conclusion reverses direction
Loophole: What if the conditional chain doesn’t go both ways?
Assumption:
The conditional relationship works both ways (it doesn’t).
Bad Causal Reasoning
Argument assumes correlation = causation.
Sees 2 things related → assumes one causes the other
🚩 Missing alternatives:
Third factor
Reverse causation
Coincidence
Loophole: What if something else caused it?
Assumption:
No other factor explains the relationship.
Whole-to-Part / Part-to-Whole
Argument wrongly applies traits between group and members.
Whole → Part flaw: group has trait → each member does
Part → Whole flaw: one member has trait → whole group does
Loophole: What if parts ≠ whole?
Assumption:
What’s true of one level (part/whole) is true of the other.
Overgeneralization
Conclusion about a group based on too small/specific evidence.
Uses limited examples → broad claim
🚩 Keywords: “all,” “most,” “generally”
Loophole: What if this case isn’t representative?
Assumption:
The example is representative of the whole group.
Survey Problems
Argument relies on flawed survey data.
Possible issues:
Biased sample
Small sample
Bad questions
Survey errors
Loophole: What if the survey is unreliable?
Assumption:
The survey accurately represents the population.
False Starts
Assumes 2 groups are the same except for one difference.
Study compares groups
Assumes only 1 variable differs
🚩 Ignores other differences
Loophole: What if groups differ in another key way?
Assumption:
The groups are identical except for the tested factor.
Possibility vs. Certainty
Argument confuses “could be” with “must be.”
Evidence suggests possibility → concludes certainty
OR lack of proof → concludes false
Loophole: What if it’s only possible, not guaranteed?
Assumption:
If something is possible, it is therefore certain.
Implication (Belief vs Fact)
Assumes believing something = believing its implication.
Person believes X
Argument claims they believe implication of X
🚩 Opinions ≠ full logical implications
Loophole: What if they don’t accept that implication?
Assumption:
If someone believes X, they believe everything implied by X.
False Dichotomy (False Choice)
Presents only 2 options when more exist.
“Either A or B”
Eliminates one → concludes the other
🚩 Ignores spectrum
Loophole: What if there’s a third option?
Assumption:
These are the only possible options.
Straw Man
Misrepresents someone’s argument to make it easier to attack.
Original claim → distorted version
Attacks the distortion
Loophole: What if that’s not what they actually said?
Assumption:
The distorted version accurately represents the original claim.
Ad Hominem
Attacks the person instead of the argument.
“They’re biased → argument is false”
🚩 Character ≠ truth value
Loophole: What if their argument is still valid?
Assumption:
If a person is flawed, their argument is false.
Circular Reasoning
Conclusion is assumed in the premises.
Premise = restated conclusion
🚩 No new evidence
Loophole: What if we remove the conclusion—any support left?
Assumption:
The conclusion is already true.
Equivocation
Uses a word in two different meanings.
Same word shifts meaning mid-argument
🚩 Subtle definition change
Loophole: What if the meaning stayed consistent?
Assumption:
The word means the same thing throughout
Assumption:
Opinions = valid evidence of truth.
Assumption:
The word means the same thing throughout.
Appeal Fallacies
Uses opinions instead of evidence.
Types:
Authority (non-expert)
Popular opinion (“everyone thinks…”)
🚩 Opinion ≠ fact
Loophole: What if that opinion is wrong?
Assumption:
Opinions = valid evidence of truth.
Irrelevant Argument
Conclusion doesn’t follow from premises.
Premises talk about one thing
Conclusion jumps elsewhere
Loophole: What if they’re unrelated?
Assumption:
The premises actually support the conclusion.
Percentages vs Numbers
Confuses percentages with actual amounts.
% increases/decreases ≠ real numbers
🚩 Missing base size
Loophole: What if total size changed?
Assumption:
The total quantity stays the same.