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Stock and Bond Market Indices
Price-weighted
Value-weighted
Equally-weighted
Price-Weighted Average
computed by adding the prices of the stock and dividing by a “divisor”
the percentage change in the DJIA measures the return (excl dividends) on a portfolio investing one share in each index stock
Gives higher-priced shares more weight in determining the performance of the index
Price-Weighted Index
Equivalent to buying one share of each firm on the index and tracking portfolio return
+Easy to calculate
-Needs split adjusting
What kind of index is the DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average)?
Price-weighted average of 30 large corporations
The percentage change in the DJIA measures the return (excl dividends) on a portfolio investing one share in each index stock
The amount of money invested in each company is proportional to that company’s share price
Consider this hypothetical 2-stock version of the DJIA and compare the changes in the value of the portfolio and price-weighted index.
What is the starting index value?
Ending index value?
Index return?
Stock | P1 | P2 | Shares | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
A | $25 | $30 | 20 | 20% |
B | $100 | $90 | 1 | -10% |
Starting Index Value (Avg of initial prices)
(25 + 100)/ 2 = 62.5
Ending Index Value (Avg of final prices)
(30 + 90)/ 2 = 60
Index Return (% change)
(60 - 62.5) / 62.5 = -0.04 or -4%
Consider this hypothetical 2-stock version of the DJIA and compare the changes in the value of the portfolio and price-weighted index.
What happens in a stock split? What is the index return?
Stock | P1 | P2 | Shares 1 | Shares 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
A | $25 | $30 | 20 | 20 |
B | $100 | $45 | 1 | 2 |
1) Starting Index Value
(25 + 100) / 2 = 62.5
2) Adjust the divisor (d) so the index value stays the same as if there were no changes in the stock prices (other than the split)
100 (previous price)/2 (new number of shares) = 50 (new price as if there were no changes)
(25 + 100) / 2 = (25 + 50) / d → d = 75 / 62.5 = 1.2
3) Calculate the ending index value using d
(30 + 45) / 1.2 = 62.5
4) Calculate the index return
(62.5 - 62.5) / 62.5 = 0%
*the value of the index doesn’t change, but the return is affected as the relative weights change
Value-Weighted Index
Equivalent to buying stock in firms proportional to their market capitalization
Computed by calculating a weighted average of the returns of each security in the index (500 firms)
+Driven by larger, more widely owned firms
+Does not need split-adjusting
-Overweights overpriced firms, underweights underpriced firms
What kind of index is the S&P 500?
Market Value-Weighted Index of 500 firms computed by calculating the total market value of those firms on the previous day of trading
Percentage increase in the total market value represents the increase in the index
The rate of return of the index = the rate of return earned by an investor holding a portfolio of all 500 firms in proportion to their market value (excl dividends)
Consider this hypothetical 2-stock version of the S&P 500 and compare the changes in the value of the portfolio and value-weighted index.
Starting index value?
Ending index value?
Index return?
Stock | P1 | P2 | Shares 1 | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
A | $25 | $30 | 20 | 20% |
B | $100 | $90 | 1 | -10% |
Starting index value (beginning market cap)
(Shares 1 × Price 1) + (Shares 2 × Price 2)
(20 × 25) + (1 × 100) = 600
Ending index value
(20 × 30) +(1 × 90) = 690
Index return
(690 - 600) / 600 = 0.15 or 15%
Consider this hypothetical 2-stock version of the S&P 500 and compare the changes in the value of the portfolio and value-weighted index.
What happens in a stock split? What is the index return?
Stock | P1 | P2 | Shares 1 | Shares 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
A | $25 | $30 | 20 | 20 |
B | $100 | $45 | 1 | 2 |
Doesn’t change anything because the # of shares is already considered and market cap is unaffected
Equal-Weighted Index
Equivalent to investing equal dollars in each stock in the index
Computed from a simple average of returns
Do not correspond to buy-and-hold portfolio strategies, therefore must reset the portfolio to equal weights or rebalance by purchasing/selling
+Companies are on an even playing field
-Frequent rebalancing causes high transaction costs
Consider this hypothetical 2-stock version of the S&P 500 Equal and compare the changes in the value of the portfolio and value-weighted index.
Starting index value?
Ending index value?
Index return?
Stock | P1 | P2 | Shares 1 | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
A | $25 | $30 | 20 | 20% |
B | $100 | $45 | 1 | -10% |
Starting index value (sum of all stocks)
The minimum investment value is the lowest common multiple
$100 for each stock, 4 shares of A (100/25=4) and 1 share of B
$100 × 2 = $200
Ending index value (shares owned with price change)
(4 × 30) + (1 × 90) = $210
Index return
(210 - 200) / 200 = 0.05 or 5%
NEEDS REBALANCING, IN THE NEXT PERIOD:
$120 in A, $90 in B so sell $15 worth of A and buy $15 worth of B
Consider this hypothetical 2-stock version of the S&P 500 Equal and compare the changes in the value of the portfolio and value-weighted index.
What happens in a stock split? What is the index return?
Stock | P1 | P2 | Shares 1 | Shares 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
A | $25 | $30 | 20 | 20 |
B | $100 | $45 | 1 | 2 |
Unaffected since equal dollars are invested
Derivative markets include:
Options and Futures
Option Types:
Call option: right to buy an asset at the exercise/strike price at or before expiration
Put option: right to sell an asset at the exercise/strike price at or before expiration
Option Premium
Price of the option contract
Futures (Forwards)
Help hedge volatility
Long = obligation to buy an asset at an agreed-upon price at a specified future date
Short = obligation to sell an asset at an agreed-upon price at a specified future date
Important features: delivery date and the deliverable item
*Negative oil prices due to futures during the pandemic
Difference between options and futures
Options have writers
A futures contract is an obligation
An options contract is a right
Difference between forwards and futures
Futures trade on organized exchanges
Futures are highly standardized and regulated
Forward are deal-specific agreements written between two parties