Correlation Causation Flaw

Causation Def

A link between or among variables that implies or states cause and effect, which includes the direction of the causal relationship

Geographic Correlation

• sets the argument in a specific area

Timing Correlation

• sets the argument in a specific time frame

Entity Based correlation

• The argument is based around a specific entity (person, animal, etc.)

The EVID represents the

Correlation

The Conclusion represents the

Casation

Correlation Def

• Any link between two variables that does not express causation, no matter how weak

Denied Causality in the CONC

Will NEVER create a correlation causation

What exactly is the flaw doing?

The flaw in the ARG does not present EVID to prove the particular Causal CONC. Which means the correlation could be explained by some OTHER causal relationship.

TM thoughts Competing causal relationships

• X causing the observed correlation and Y causing it can not exist at the same time

• These competing causal explanations are working against one another. The plausibility of each provides a reason to doubt the other

More or Better Correlations

Additional contexts in which the correlation holds, they become increasingly certain of a causal relationship

ALT cause WKN

• Putting fourth an ALT cause for the correlation in EVID would WKN the ARG

ALT cause STN

• Bringing up an ALT cause while saying it is NOT responsible for the correlation will STN the ARG by elimination

Reverse Causality

• Asserting that the causal relationship is actually the reverse of the one asserted in the CONC could WKN the argument

No Cause, No Effect

STN

No Cause, Yes Effect

WKN