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Questions: How to gather data? How to ensure the data collected lets us make valuable conclusions later?
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What are the 2 basic ways to collect data?
Conduct an experiment
Take an observational study
Experiments do what?
Attempt to manipulate or influence the subjects to obtain data
Researchers control what is given to subjects
Subjects are randomly assigned groups
A properly designed experiment(s) can be used to ___
prove causation
What are observational studies?
Measure characteristics of the subjects without attempting to manipulate or influence the subjects
cannot be used to prove causation
concludes 2 variables are related
Difference(s) between experiments and observational studies
Experimental studies = subjects are assigned to a group and to its treatment
Observational studies = no subject is assigned to a particular group or treatment; subjects are doing their own thing
Which study can prove that the explanatory (independent) variable has an effect on the response (dependent) variable?
experiments
Goal of observational studies
describing the sample shown and generalize the characteristics of the sample to the larger population of individuals
To rely on the sample to tell us about the population, what must the sample be?
The sample must be representative of the population
Simple Random Sampling
Each subject in the population has an equal chance at being in the sample
Randomly selected
Most basic and unbiased
Doesn’t overestimate or underestimate the parameter
Stratified Sampling
Population is divided into non-overlapping groups
Simple random sampling is applied to each group
Taking a few subjects from all groups
Cluster Sampling
Population is divided into non-overlapping groups
All individuals within a randomly selected group or groups are sampled
Taking all subjects from a few groups
Convenince Sampling
easiest to obtain info
Systematically Sampling
using a rule to select a sample
What is bias?
Sampling methods that consistently produces samples that inaccurately estimates the parameter; a property of a sampling method, not data itself
Nonrandom sampling includes bias, what are the sample types involved?
Convenience samples and Voluntary response samples
Convenience samples
contains bias; subjects are easily available; restrictive with no randomize or adequate representation
Voluntary response samples
contains bias; subjects elected themselves into the sample; unrestrictive; mainly extreme responses; before a survey
Undercoverage
Certain demographics in the population are excluded in the sample
Nonresponse bias
subjects who cannot be reached or refuse to participate in the sample
Response bias
subjects don’t answer truthfully or questions are confusing/ misleading; during a survey
A larger sample doesn’t reduce or removes bias it will ___
create more bias because the process is already flawed
Experimental unit is another name for
subjects (people or objects that get the treatment)
What is a treatment?
condition applied to the subject
What is a explanatory (independent) variable?
influences changes in the response variable
What is a response (dependent) variable?
variable of interest, measured after treatments are applied
What is expected from experiments?
To have controlled studies with treatments being randomly applied to experimental units or subjects
Goal of an experiment
determine if the explanatory variable effects the response variable
Placebo
“Dummy” treatment; creates a baseline
Which group receives the placebo
control group
Double blind
Both the researcher and subject know who’s getting the treatment
Single blind
Researcher knows which treat is being given to the subject but subject doesn’t know
Purpose of random assignment is to ___
even out any lurking variables
Lurking variable
an unforeseen variable; variables relating to both the explanatory and response variable
Completely Randomized Design
Subjects are randomly assigned to treatments without concern for anything else
Match-Paris Design
Subjects are related or matched before the experiment takes place; either half of the pairs receives one of thte two treatments or two halves receives the treatments in different orders
Before - After Analyzation
measure response variable before treatment is applied, measure again with the treatment after and then pair them in a matched-pair design
Same number of observations is required
What is the conclusion when a randomized experiment finds an effect?
There’s a difference in treatments that caused the effect
Is association evidence possible of causation?
Yes, however, it isn’t enough to prove cause-and-effect
Random assignment
performing experiments
Benefit: concludes causation between treatment groups
In theory, random assignment evenly distributes lurking variables among treatment groups, making the difference between treatment groups the treatment they receive
Random selection
collecting subjects for a study - sampling from a population
Samples are useful as long as they closely represent the population
Generalization of the sample results to the population
Random assignment is used to
determine which observational (experimental) units go into which explanatory variable groups
Goals for random assignment
Produce groups similar in all aspects except for the explanatory variable
If groups differ significantly on the response variable, that can be from a cause-and-effect relationship between the explanatory and response variable
Describe the difference in randomness between random sampling and random assignment
Random sampling = selecting a representative sample from the population and making a generalization on the population from the sample
Random assignment = using similar treatment groups, a significant difference in the response variable can come form the explanatory variable; inferring causation