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What is inferential statistic?
Drawing conclusions about a population based on data from a sample of that population
Any quantity computed from the values in a sample is called _________
Statistics
The population characteristic is called ________
Parameter
Statistics are also called?
Estimates
What is the problem with using statistics to estimate parameters?
The estimates usually aren’t correct
What does the value of the statistic based on?
The sample selected
What is sampling variablilty?
The varying of the statistic value from sample to sample
What is the distribution of statistic (estimates) called?
Sampling distribution
What is sampling distribution based on?
All possible samples of the sample size
What is the most important features of a sample distribution?
Shape, center and spread
What is the central limit theorem?
When n is sufficiently large, a sample distribution of x bar is well approximated by a normal distribution
When the population distribution is normal, what is true about the sampling distribution?
The sampling distribution is also normal for any size of n
As sample size increases, what happens to variability?
It decreases
How large is sufficiently large?
Greater than 30
As sample size increases, what happens to the standard deviation?
It decreases
As sample size increases, what happens to the probability?
It increases
What is the primary goal of sampling?
To reach conclusions about one or more characteristics of the population from which the sample was selected
What's the only way you can find the true value of the population proportion (p)?
Conducting a census
How do statisticians estimate P?
By taking a sample and computing the sample proportion
When N is large and P is not too close to zero or one what is true about the sampling distribution
It is approximately normal
What happens to the probability if N is increased?
It will decrease
When the sample size increases what happens to the variability
It decreases
What is a point estimate
A single number that represents a plausible value for the population parameter
What is an interval estimate
A range of plausible values for that parameter
Which type of estimate increases the probability of correctness
Interval estimate
What is a trade off for interval estimate
It is not as useful and confident
What are the two things to look for when choosing a statistic to estimate a population parameter
No bias and low variability
What is an unbiased statistic
A statistic with a mean value that is equal to that of the population characteristic being estimated
What is an example of a biased statistic
Sample range to estimate the population rate
When given a choice between several unbiased statistics which one should you use
The one with the lowest standard deviation
Is it better to overestimate or underestimate
Overestimate
What is a confidence interval
An interval of plausible values for the characteristic
What is a confidence level
The success rate of the method used to construct the interval
If you want more confidence what do you have to sacrifice
Accuracy
As confidence interval increases what happens to the interva?
The interval is wider
What is the standard error of a statistic
The estimated standard deviation of the statistic
If no prior information is available, what value for p is used?
0.5
Which factors affect the margin of error
The confidence level and the sample size
What can the margin of error be considered as
The length of the interval
When you increase the confidence level what happens to precision
It is less
If you want more precision what do you do the sample size
You increase it
What does it mean to be 90% confident
90% of the intervals produced with this method will capture the true value
What does it not mean to be 90% confident
There is a 90% chance they will catch that value in one interval
What shape is the T curve
Bell shaped symmetric and centered at zero
Is the T curve more or less spread out than the Z curve
More
As the DF increases what happens to the spread of the corresponding T curve
It decreases
As the number of DF increases what happens to the t curve
The T curves get closer and closer to the Z curve
When a sample size is small and it provides data to you what do you have to do
You must graph it
What kind of graphs can you use to check for normality
Histogram dot plot or boxplopt
What attribute do you look for in a graph to test for normalcy
Symmetry
To an appropriate sample size What do you need to find first
An estimate of the standard deviation
As degrees of freedom increases what is true about where the T distribution approaches
The T distributions approach the normal curve
What is a hypothesis a statement of
A population characteristic
What does the rejection of the null hypothesis imply
The acceptance of the alternate hypothesis
What is a type one error
Rejecting the null when it is true
What is a type 2 error
Failing to reject the null when it is false
What symbol is the probability of a type one error represented with
Alpha
What is the probability of a type 2 error represented with
Beta
How does decreasing one type of error affect the other error
Causes the other to increase
Is it possible for alpha or beta to equal zero
No
What does it mean for an error to be made 5% of the time
Five out of every 100 samples taken we would reject the null hypothesis when it's actually true
What is the only way to simultaneously decrease both type of errors
Increase the sample size
What is a test statistic
The function of sample data on which the conclusion to reject or fail to reject the null being used
What is the P value
The probability of obtaining a test statistic value as least as inconsistent with the null when the null is true
What does the value of z tell us
How many standard deviations the observed value is from the hypothesized value