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non-rival
ideas are _____
ideas
Romer: ____ produce goods more efficeintly
sustained growth
the Romer model is good to show _____ ___
use y_t = Y_t / N_t to show g_y_t+1 = gamma g_A_t+1
Step 1) of the Romer Model
find BGP (g_A*); show g_y* = gamma nbar
Step 2) of Romer model
population growth
The key takeaway of Romer: _____ ____ drives living standards - people create ideas (nonrival)
t ln(y_t)
in Romer model graph, x-axis is __ and y-axis is _____
countries
shortcoming of Romer model : assumes no interaction between _____
u* frictional structural
natural unemployment denoted by . equals ______ + ______
Diamond-Mortenson-Pissarides/bathtub model
DMP model
gradually time
DMP: labor markets adjust ____ as employed workers lose jobs and unemployed workers find new jobs over ___
unemployed employed
the TWO types of workers in the DMP model are
fixed
DMP assumes the labor force is ____. BUT, workers can flow between U and E
#unemployed / labor force
unemployment rate (u) equation
separation rate
in DMP, sbar is
job finding rate
in DMP, fbar is
change from # s to rates (divide by Lbar)
the first step of DMP two-equation model
find unemployment rate by converting to steady state
second step of DMP two-equation model
sbar / sbar + fbar
resulting equation for u*, steady state unemployment, in DMP
u_t u_t+1 upward sbar 45 degree
For the DMP graph, put __ on the x-axis, __ on the y-axis, and draw the [downward/upward] linear graph from starting point __, as well as the __ line
u line intersects 45 degree line
in DMP model, u* (steady state unemployment) is where
medium of exchange, store of value, unit of account
money is these three things
real GDP * Price level (GDP deflator)
Nominal GDP equation
fixed neutral
key assumptions of the Quantity theory of money: velocity is ____ and money is ____
percentage change in price level
inflation definition
convert to percentage change by taking log
how to solve quantity theory of money model
interest rates
key critique of quantity theory of money: doesn’t account for ______ ____
the cost of consuming
what is the benefit of saving equal to?
Keynes
Who said consumption is roughly linear in disposable income?
C = MPC * (Y-T) + A
perfectly elastic
Keynes consumption model says consumption is ______ _______
Lifecycle hypothesis
Franco Modigliani challenges Keynes, arguing instead for the ______ ________
permanent income hypothesis
Franco Modigliani challenges Keynes, arguing instead for the ______ ________ _______
dynamic optimization, rational expectations, auxiliary assumptions
Neoclassical consumption model and PIH/LCH : key assumptions
dynamic optimization
key assumption of the Neoclassical consumption model and PIH/LCH; there are multiple time periods, and consumers are forward looking
Rational Expectations
key assumption of the Neoclassical consumption model and PIH/LCH; consumers understand uncertainties
auxiliary assumptions
key assumption of the Neoclassical consumption model and PIH/LCH; perfect credit market (can borrow/lend)
Two time periods positive more negative diminishing today interest limited
MOdel Specific Neoclassical Consumption model
1) ____ _____ _____
2) Period Utility Function u(c) where
- first derivative [negative/positive], more consumption = [more/less] utility
- second derivative [negative/positive], ________ returns
- utility separable across time periods
3) Discounting (prefer to consume _____)
- key parameter 0<beta<1
4) ______
- saving $1 today earns (1+r)$1 next period
5) budget constraints - resources are _____
maximize c_0, c_1, s_0
the objective of the neoclassical consumption model is to
take derivative (maximum) wrt s_0
Step one of solving neoclaswsical consumption model
U’ (c_0) = beta(1+r)U’(c_1)
euler equation (step two of neoclassical consumption model)
c_0 + c_1/1+r = ybar_0 + t_0 + (ybar_1 + t_1)/1+r
budget constraint (step three of neoclassical consumption model)
s r upward
For the Neoclassical consumption graph, put __ on the x-axis, __ on the y-axis, and draw the [downward/upward] linear graph
increase
the neoclassical consumption models says that when current income increases, savings
decrease
the neoclassical consumption models says that when future income increases, savings
income
Neoclassical model: changes in ____ can lead to shifts in the savings curve
less than
the neoclassical consumption model has a [less than/more than/perfectly] elastic response of consumption plans with respect to current income
ybar_0 - t_0 +(ybar_1 - t_1/1+r)
in neoclassical consumption model, part of the equation that equates to the PDV of lifetime disposable income
timing of lump sum taxes does not matter for real outcomes
Ricardian equivalence
rational expectations credit markets lump sum
critiques of neoclassical consumption model
1) perfect foresight / _____ _______
2) perfect _____ ______
3) _____ ______ taxation
government bond
financial claim on US government
Q_t
variable for the price of a dollars worth of a bond; = 1/(1+i)
decrease (BP)
as interest rates increase, bond prices decrease
real cost
Fiscal theory - if we raise s_0 today, the ___ ____ of outstanding bonds is lowered
inflation tax
FTPL bondholders “pay” for decreasing government surpluses (inflating away the debt)
euler equation PDV PDV increases < PY MV
Two-period problem takeaways
1) _____ _____ intuition: marginal cost = marginal benefit of saving
2) budget constraint extends the one-period model: in one period, expenditure = income, in two period ___ of expenditure = ___ of income
3) saving generally [increases/decreases] with interest rate
4) elasticity of consumption wrt ybar_0 is {[<,>,=]
5) ________ equivalence: taxes don’t matter for welfare
6) Fiscal theory of the price level: _ * _ = _ * _
potential GDP
level of GDP that can be maintained on a sustained basis (stable inflation)
output gap
percentage deviation from potential GDP Ytilde_t
okuns law
relates output gaps to cyclical unemployment; actual unemployment minus natural unemployment equals dbar * output gap
u_t - ubar_t = dbar Ytilde_t
okun’s law equation
IS curve, Monetary policy, Phillips Curve
Building blocks for IS-MP-PC model
nominal interest = real rate * inflation rate
Fischer equation
i_t = R_t + pi_t
simplified (variables) fisher equation
future growth income
IS curve features:
investment in context of two-period model - firm focused on _____
Investing today means future ____, less _____ for workers and owners today
take derivative of I, getting max PDV of firm’s profits
first step of solving IS curve
negative
key takeaway from IS model: ______ relationship between interest rates and income
Ytilde r downward
For the IS (loanable funds) graph, put __ on the x-axis, __ on the y-axis, and draw the [downward/upward] linear graph
investment
in IS, we say that _____ is the most volatile of GDP components
Y = C + G + I + Ex-Im
GDP expenditure equation
Ytilde_t = abar - bbar (R_t - rbar)
IS curve equation
dual mandate
stable/low inflation and employment at natural rate
money i_t downward vertical
For the Money supply graph, put __ on the x-axis, __ on the y-axis, and draw the [downward/upward] linear graph. also draw a [horizontal/vertical] line, the money supply line which the Fed determines
open market helicopter commercial
3 ways the fed controls i_t / R_t
____ _____ operations
________ drops
_____ bank exchanges
fed funds rate
banks can borrow and lend to each other in overnight (one-day) market using reserves
reserve accounts
all banks hav an account with the central bank (the fed borrows from banks, in a sense)
discount rate
the rate that the fed leds to troubled banks
IOR < FFR < discount rate
relationship between the interest on reserves, fed funds rate, and discount rate
input demand expenctations
what are the causes of price changes? (PC)
______ cost changes
higher or lower ______ than suitable level
price _________
expected inflation = yesterday’s inflation
pi^e_t = pi^e_t-1 means
Ytilde R_t downward IS Ytilde_t deltapi_t upward
For the Phillips curve TOP graph, put __ on the x-axis, __ on the y-axis, and draw the [downward/upward] linear graph. This is called the ________ curve
For the Phillips curve BOTTOM graph, put __ on the x-axis, __ on the y-axis, and draw the [downward/upward] linear graph.
IS cruve
inverse relationship between output gaps and interest rates
Phillips cruve
Inflation is a function of expectations, deviations from potential (aka output gap), how flexible prices are, and input shocks.
Monetary policy
The Fed controls the nominal rate, the real rate changes through the fischer equation
divine coincidence
central bank can keep Ytilde_t and pi_t constant after an aggregate demand shock