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Population
entire group being studied
Sample
subset of the population used to draw conclusions
Parameter
numerical summary of a population
Statistic
numerical summary of a sample
Descriptive statistics
methods of organizing and summarizing data
Inferential statistics
methods of using sample data to make conclusions about a population
Categorical variable
variable that places data into categories
Quantitative variable
variable measured with numbers
Frequency
number of times a value appears
Relative frequency
proportion of times a value occurs
Distribution
pattern of variation of a variable
Outlier
value that lies far outside the overall pattern
Center
typical value such as mean or median
Spread
measure of variability such as range IQR or standard deviation
Skewed left
tail is longer on the left side
Skewed right
tail is longer on the right side
Symmetric
both sides of the distribution are roughly mirror images
Mean
average of values
Median
middle value of a data set
Mode
value that occurs most frequently
Range
difference between largest and smallest values
Interquartile range
difference between Q3 and Q1
Standard deviation
average distance of values from the mean
Variance
square of the standard deviation
Z score
number of standard deviations a value is from the mean
Normal distribution
symmetric bell
Empirical rule
in normal distribution about 68 percent 95 percent and 99.7 percent of data falls within 1 2 and 3 standard deviations respectively
Percentile
value below which a given percent of observations fall
Scatterplot
graph showing relationship between two quantitative variables
Correlation
strength and direction of a linear relationship between variables
Least squares regression line
line that minimizes the sum of squared residuals
Residual
difference between observed and predicted value
Extrapolation
predicting outside the range of data
Experiment
study where a treatment is imposed
Observational study
study where no treatment is imposed
Confounding variable
variable that influences both explanatory and response variables
Random assignment
assigning subjects to treatments by chance
Control group
group that receives no treatment or standard treatment
Placebo
fake treatment used in experiments
Double blind
neither subjects nor experimenters know who receives treatment
Blocking
separating subjects into groups before random assignment to reduce variability
Matched pairs design
experimental design where subjects are paired and each receives different treatments
Sampling
process of selecting a subset from the population
Simple random sample
every individual has an equal chance of being selected
Stratified random sample
population divided into groups then random sample taken from each group
Cluster sample
population divided into clusters then entire clusters are randomly selected
Systematic sample
every nth individual is selected
Bias
systematic error that favors certain outcomes
Voluntary response bias
people choose to respond often with strong opinions
Undercoverage
some groups are left out of the sample
Nonresponse bias
individual chosen for the sample does not respond
Response bias
inaccurate responses due to wording or behavior
Sampling variability
natural variation between different samples
Null hypothesis
statement of no effect or no difference
Alternative hypothesis
statement of an effect or difference
P value
probability of observing the data if the null hypothesis is true
Significance level
threshold for rejecting the null hypothesis usually 0.05
Type I error
rejecting a true null hypothesis
Type II error
failing to reject a false null hypothesis
Power
probability of correctly rejecting a false null hypothesis
Confidence interval
range of values believed to contain the population parameter
Margin of error
range above and below the sample statistic in a confidence interval
T distribution
used when population standard deviation is unknown
Chi square test
test used with categorical data to test independence or goodness of fit
ANOVA
analysis of variance used to compare more than two means
Binomial distribution
probability distribution for a fixed number of independent trials with two outcomes
Geometric distribution
probability distribution for number of trials until first success
Law of large numbers
as sample size increases sample mean approaches population mean
Central limit theorem
sampling distribution of sample mean is approximately normal if sample size is large
Simulation
method of modeling chance behavior to estimate probabilities