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Demand
What customers actually buy.
Forecast
An estimate of future demand. “Best guess — not a guarantee.”
Forecast Accuracy
How close your forecast was to actual demand.
Forecast Error
The gap between forecast and actual.
Demand Variability
How much demand changes (stable vs unpredictable).
Seasonality
Patterns that repeat (summer, holidays, events).
Promotion Impact
Temporary spikes caused by sales or marketing activity.
Baseline Demand
Normal demand without promotions or unusual events.
Demand Signal
Any input used to estimate demand (e.g., sales data, trends, customer input)
Inventory
PRoudct waiting for its next move.
On-Hand Inventory
What is physically available right now.
On-Order Inventory
Product already ordered but not yet received.
Days of Supply (DOS)
How lonmg inventory will last.
Lead Time
Time fomr placing an order to receiving it.
Demand During Lead Time
What you expect to sell while waiting for supply.
Safety Stock
Extra inventory to protect against uncertainty.
Cycle Stock
Normal inventory for day-to-day operations.
Reorder Point (ROP)
Inventory level that triggers a new order.
Target Inventory
Ideal amount of inventory to support demand + risk.
Excess Inventory
More than needed — creates cost and space issues.
Out of Stock (OOS)
When inventory hits zero — customer can’t buy.
Purchase Order (PO)
Formal request to a supplier for product.
Order Quantity
How much product you decide to buy.
Minimum Order Quantity (MOQ)
Minimum amount a supplier requires you to buy.
Supplier
The company providing the product.
Supplier Lead Time
How long that specific supplier takes to deliver.
Allocation
Supplier limits the amount you receive (short supply).
Short Shipment
When supplier delivers less than ordered.
Backorder
Demand that couldn’t be fulfilled.
Landed Csot
Total cost of the product after delivery (product + freight + handling)
Expedite
Speed up an order due to urgency.
Order Cycle
Full Timeline (PO Created → Shipped → Received)
Service Level / Fill Rate
% of demand fulfilled.
Inventory Risk
Likelihood of stockout or excess.
Tradeoff
Balancing Service, Inventory, and Costs.
Constraint
Anything limiting your plan: Supplier capacity, Warehouse space, or Transportation capacity.
Exception-Based Planning
Focus on what’s out of range — not everything.
Demand vs Supply Gap
Difference between what is needed vs available.
Upsteam
Supplier, planning decisions.
Downstream
Warehouse, delivery, customers.