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forward contract
an agreement made today between a buyer and seller who are obligated to complete a transaction with one another at a set date in the future
the buyer and seller know each other, and they negotiate the terms of the contract
terms are customized
one party faces default risk, because the other party might have an incentive to default on the contract
forward price
the price at which the trade will occur is also determined when the agreement is made
futures contract
an agreement made today between a buyer and seller who are obligated to complete a transaction at a set date in the future
the buyer and seller do not know each other
terms are standardized
no one faces default risk, even if the other party has an incentive to default on the contract
futures price
the price at which the trade will occur is determines in the “pit” or increasingly in the electronic market
Chicago board of trade (CBOT)
established in 1848, the first organized futures exchange in the US
the intercontinental exchange purchased the New York board of Trade
the chicago mercantile exchange and the chicago board of trade merged and are now the CME group inc.
during 2007, what were the several important events for organized futures exchanges?
the identity of the underlying commodity or financial instrument
the futures contract size
the futures maturity date, also called the expiration date
the delivery or settlement procedure
the futures price
what five terms must futures contracts stipulate at least?
zero sum game
futures contracts represent this
gains realized by the buyer are offset by losses realized by the seller (and vice versa)
the futures exchanges keep track of the gains and losses every day
hedging and speculation
futures contracts are used for these
complementary activities
hedgers shift price to speculators
speculators absorb price risk
speculating with futures, long
buying a futures contract (today) is often referred to as going long or establishing a long position
every day before expiration, a new futures price is established
if this new price is higher than the previous day’s price, the holder of a long futures contract position profits from this futures price increase
if this new price is lower than the previous day’s price, the holder of a long futures contract position loses from this futures price decrease
speculating with futures, short
selling a futures contract (today) is often called going short or establishing a short position
every day before expiration, a new futures price is established
if this new price is higher than the previous day’s price, the holder of a short futures contract position loses from this futures price increase
if this new price is lower than the previous day’s price, the holder of a short futures contract position profits from this futures price decrease
hedger
trades futures contracts to transfer price risk
transfer price risk by adding a futures contract position that is opposite of a existing position in the commodity or financial instrument
when hedge is in place: the futures contract throws off cash when cash is needed and the futures contract absorbs cash when cash is available
hedging with futures, short hedge
a company has a large inventory that will be sold at a future date
so, the company will suffer losses if the value of the inventory falls
the act of selling futures contracts to protect from falling prices
hedging with futures, long hedge
company needs to buy a commodity at a future date
company will suffer losses if the price of the commodity increases before then
the act of buying futures contracts to protect from rising prices
future trading accounts
allows only exchange members to trade on the exchange
exchange members may be firms or individuals trading for their own accounts, or they may be brokerage firms handling trades for customers
important aspects:
margin is required- initial margin as well as maintenance margin
the contract values are marked to market on a daily basis, and a margin call will be issued if necessary
a futures position can be closed out at any time; this is done by entering into a reverse trade
initial margin
required when a futures position is first established
levels depend on the price volatility of the underlying asset and can differ by type of trader
marking to market
when the price of the futures contract changes, the futures exchange adds or subtracts money from trading accounts
maintenance margin
when the balance of trading accounts gets too low it violates this
margin call
stern request by the broker that more money be deposited into the trading account
cash price (spot price)
price for immediate delivery of a commodity or financial instrument
cash market (spot market)
the market where commodities or financial instruments are traded for immediate delivery
cash futures arbitrage
earning risk-free profits from an unusual difference between cash and futures prices
basis
the difference between the cash price and the futures price for a commodity
carrying charge market
for commodities with storage costs, the cash price is usually less than the futures price; basis<0
inverted market
cash price is greater than the futures price; basis>0
spot futures parity
relationship between spot prices and futures prices that must hold to prevent arbitrage opportunities
= S(1+r)^T
stock index futures
are usually cash settled
when the futures contract expires, there is no delivery of shares of stock
instead, the positions are marked to market for the last time, and the contract no longer exists
index arbitrage
refers to trading stock index futures and underlying stocks to exploit deviations from spot futures parity
often implemented as program trading strategy
cross hedging
refers to hedging a particular spot position with futures contracts on a related, but not identical, commodity or financial instrument
cheapest-to-deliver option
refers to the seller’s option to deliver the cheapest instrument when a futures contract allows several instruments for delivery
ended
ch 15 slide 1