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What is the subject of personality science?
Personality science is the study of naturally occurring individual differences in recurring psychological tendencies
It focuses on how people consistently differ from one another across time and situations, how these differences form broader patterns (traits), what causes them, and what consequences they have
How is personality science distinct from other psychology fields?
Focuses on variation between people, not similarities
Treats variability as the main subject, not error
Studies everyday, naturally occurring differences, not just lab effects
Looks at broad patterns across many variables, not isolated processes
How is personality science similar to other psychology fields?
Still aims to discover general laws of human psychology
Uses scientific methods (measurement, correlation, data)
Studies similar content (thoughts, feelings, behaviour), just at a different level
Uses variability to infer universals (e.g. if traits correlate with outcomes)
Why do personality differences exist?
Evolutionary advantage: variation allows selection of better traits which leads to adaptation
Innovation: different ways of thinking/behaving generate new solutions
Learning and adaptation: people learn from others differences
Functional diversity: different roles/jobs require different traits
Social benefits: promotes tolerance and better societal functioning
What are ABCDs?
Stable tendencies (probabilities) to feel, behave, think, and desire in certain ways
Abstract, generalised across time and situations
What are abcds?
Specific momentary states (e.g. crying today, feeling anxious now)W
what is the A in ABCD?
Affects (feelings/emotions)
e.g. feeling anxious, happy, sad
What is the B in ABCD?
Behaviours (actions)
e.g. talking a lot, helping others, arguing
What is the C in ABCD?
Cognitions (thoughts)
e.g. worrying, planning, believing things
What is the D in ABCD?
Desires (wants/motivation)
e.g. wanting success, wanting approval, avoiding risk
What properties must ABCDs have?
Consistency over time
Consistency across situations
How are ABCDs studied?
Repeated measurements (e.g., questionnaires)
Compare individuals across:
time (test-restest correlations)
situations (cross-situational correlations)
Use correlation as main tool
Evidence of ABCDs
moderately consistent over time
Mottus 2017 - .53 over five years
Mottus 2019 - .37 over 15 year interval
consistent across situations
Leikas 2012 - test if people behave like the same person in 4 different situations
~ .35 for specific behaviours (talking a lot)
~ .43 for broader tendencies (enjoyment)
~ .20 for self-reports
across different situations people show patterns (correlations), which are traits
Expected correlation sizes (ABCDs)
Typical: .10-.30
Strong in psychology: ~.50
Near 1.0 = unrealistic
Small correlations are meaningful in personality science because behaviour is influenced by many factors
Two strategies for selecting ABCDs
Deductive (theory driven)
Inductive (data driven)
Deductive ABCD strategy
Theory-driven
start with theory (e.g. biological models), group behaviours based on assumed causes
Strengths and weaknesses of deductive ABCD strategy
S
gives a clear explanation (cause) of personality traits
provides a structured way to organise ABCDs
W
theories often lack strong evidence
personality traits are complex and influenced by many caues
Inductive ABCD strategy
Data-driven
Start with many candidate ABCDs, use data (correlations) to find patterns
What is the drop or combine procedure?
A method of simplifying many ABCDs
Dropping highly similar items (redundant)
Combining moderately correlated items into aggregates
What do you gain in drop-or-combine?
Reduces complexity
Increases reliability
Reveals broader traits
What do you lose in drop-or-combine?
Lose specific detail
Blurs unique aspects of individual ABCDs
May oversimplify personality
What is factor analysis (PCA)?
A statistical method that identifies patterns of correlations among variables (ABCDs)
Groups them into fewer underlying factors
Main steps of factor analysis
Collect many ABCD measurements
Compute correlations between them
Extract factors (find underlying dimensions explaining shared variance)
Rotate factors (makes structure easier to interpret)
Interpret factors (label traits)
Outputs of factor analysis
Factors/components (e.g. extraversion)
Eigen values - how much variance each factor explains
Factor loadings (how strongly items relate to factors)
What is typically meant by items in personality trait science?
Adjectives that characterise how people typically tend to feel
Descriptive statements about tendencies to think, feel, act, or behave in a particular way
What is the lexical hypothesis?
States that important individual differences in personality become encoded in language
if something matters people develop words to describe it
How is the lexical hypothesis used?
Extract personality-descriptive words from dictionaries
Measure them in people (ratings)
Use factor analysis / drop-or-combine
Identify broad trait dimensions
Why is a taxonomy of traits useful?
(like the big five)
Organises hundreds of ABCDs into a manageable system
Provides a common language across studies
Allows generalisation of findings (efficiency)
Enables prediction of life outcomes (health, work, relationships)
Serves as a framework across psychology and other fields
What are the big five?
The big five are five broad personality trait domains
Openness
Conscientiousness
Extraversion
Agreeableness
Neuroticism
They are aggregates of many ABCDs
adjectives of emotional stability / neuroticism
nervous, self-critical, dependent
adjectives of extraversion
merry, talkative, carefree
adjectives of agreeableness
trustful, generous, cooperative
adjectives of conscientiousness
persistent, orderly, dependable
adjectives of intellect/openness to experience
insightful, creative, perceptive
Why are informant reports important?
Provide independent validation beyond self-reports
Reduce bias (self-perception vs reputation)
Increase scientific confidence
what is the robustness of the big 5 across informant questionnaires and the self
when two informants rate someone they both know well, their ratings agree with each other to nearly the same degree
when you rate yourself high on extraversion, it is likely that in about 70-75% of cases that your friend and relatives also rate you high on this domain
what is the robustness of self informant personality traits
correlation between two measurements are above .80
Why are cross-cultural studies useful?
Test whether traits are universal vs culture-specific
Check robustness across languages and societies
Cross cultural studies findings (big five)
Many lexical studies in languages other than English do not reveal the big five, without guidance
Lexical studies sometimes vary across languages
Overall: broad support, but not perfect universality
What is the HEXACO model?
Six-factor personality model
Honesty-Humility
Emotionality
Extraversion
Agreeableness
Conscientiousness
Openness
What is implicit personality theory?
refers to peoples beliefs about which traits go together
people infer traits even with little information
can produce big five-like patterns even for strangers
Why is implicit personality theory important?
Helps explain why trait structures are robust
but may reflect bias + real observation combined
What are the two meanings of traits?
Descriptive - traits summarise patterns of ABCDs
Causal/explanator - traits are underlying mechanisms (glue)
both describe patterns and explain them
What is the duality principle?
Traits have two roles simultaneously:
summary of behaviour (ABCD patterns)
Underlying cause of behaviour
What is the personality trait hierarchy?
Domains
Facets
Nuances
What evidence supports something being a trait?
A valid trait should show:
stability over time
cross-rater agreement
consistency across situations
heritability (genetic influence)
predictive validity (life outcomes)
What is the bandwidth-fidelity dilemma?
Trade-off between:
High bandwidth (broad traits)
Capture more behaviour
less precise
High fidelity
more precise
less generalisable
What are broad traits better for?
prediction
generalisation
What are narrow traits better for
precision
specific explanations
How do traits provide an integrative framework?
Traits allow us to
map diverse psychological variables into one system
compare findings across fields
organise behaviours, attitudes, and outcomes
instead of studying 100 behaviours, study their relation to extraversion
Why do trait findings generalise across psychology?
Traits are broad aggregates of many ABCDs
They capture shared variance across behaviours
Many psychological phenomena are linked to multiple ABCDs
Therefore
findings at trait level apply widely across behaviours, outcomes, and contexts
steps to create a personality test
define a domain
write plenty of items for each facet
create instructions and rating scales
collect as much data as possible
retest after about two weeks
also collect informant ratings to validate scales
what is CFA
confirmatory factor analysis
computer evaluates model with exactly factors we want, defined by out selected items
fit such a model to the data and ask how well it fits data
gives factor loadings
What is the ideal factor structure loadings?
A good personality scale should show a simple, clean factor structure where:
each item loads highly on its intended factor (facet/domain)
loads low on all other factors
This means
clear separation between traits
minimal cross-loadings
Items should strongly reflect one facet only
What is reliability?
reliability is the consistency or dependability of measurement
i.e., whether we would obtain the same score upon repeated measurement under similar conditions
what is the typical retest reliability for the big five
big five > .80
facets ~ .70 to .85
items ~ .50 to .80, typically above .65
What is internal consistency?
The extent to which items in a scale correlate with each other
based on average inter-item correlation, and number of items
more correlated items = less random error
limitations of internal consistency
underestimates reliability
boring for test takers as many questions need to be the same
prevents sampling nuances broadly
What is the principle of aggregation?
Aggregating multiple items cancels out random error, and increases reliability
if a test has reliability .80, what does this mean for a persons score
80% reflects true trait level
20% is measurement error
what is the standard error of means (SEM)
estimates how much a score typically carries due to error
tells you precision of the score
SD x square root of (1 - reliability)
what does SEM mean in practice (e.g. 4.5)
a score may vary by about ± 4-5 points
Why avoid overly similar items?
Inflates internal consistency artificially
Reduces content validity (poor coverage)
Creates redundancy (same nuance repeated)
How to improve reliability?
Increase number of items (aggregation)
Improve item clarity
Use retest measurement
Combine multiple raters
Avoid ambiguity
What is validity?
What the test actually measures
correctness
Types of validity
Content validity
Face validity
Construct validity
Convergent validity
Discriminant validity
Content validity
Did we cover the whole trait?
Whether your scale includes all important parts (facets/ABCDs) of a trait
Face validity
Does it look like it measures the trait?
intuitive, surface-level meaning of items
high face validity is good in personality science
Construct validity
Does the test behave like the trait should?
Supported by convergent and discriminant validity
Convergent validity
Does it correlate with similar things?
High correlation = good
Discriminant validity
Does it NOT correlate with different things?
Low correlation = good
construct validity of the big five scales
convergent correlations between ~ .50 and .70, reliability > .80
discriminant correlations between ~ 0 and .50
what would criterion validity be
relationships with meaningful outcomes/correlates of the construct
should be able to predict future and explain current
what is consensual validity
agreement with other raters of the same construct
a personality judgement is more likely to be accurate when multiple independent observers agree
two things to remember when interpreting scores
direction arbitrary
low neuroticism, high emotional stability = the same thing
single score has no meaning
needs to be compared to something
How to improve validity?
Broadly sample ABCDs (content)
Use multiple methods (self + informant)
Validate against outcomes
Avoid bias in items
What are the units of trait variation?
Trait variation is measured using:
Raw scores (sum/average of items)
Standard scores:
z-scores (subtract mean, divide by SD) (mean = 0, SD = 1)
t-scores (mean = 50, SD = 10)
IQ-type scores (mean = 100, SD = 15)
Standard scores show how far someone is from the average.
z scores mean and SD
mean = 0
SD = 1
t scores mean and SD
mean = 50
SD = 10
IQ-type scores mean and SD
mean = 100
SD = 15
How are personality trait scores typically distributed?
Trait scores are usually normally distributed (bell shaped)
most people are near the average, fewer people at extremes
How should a personality trait score be interpreted meaningfully?
Must be interpreted relative to a norm group - score has no meaning on its own
convert to standard scores (z or T), interpret as distance from mean
What are the main biases in self-ratings?
Social desirability (adjust answers to appear more socially acceptable)
Acquiescence (agreeing with items regardless of content)
Extreme responding (using the ends of the scale a lot (e.g. strongly agree)
Reference group effect (people rate themselves in comparison to peers)
How can we reduce the main biases in self-ratings?
Use balanced items (positive and negative)
Write neutral items
Statistically control bias
Use informant reports
what is the purpose of lie scales and what bias does it reduce
special items to detect unrealistically positive responding
include statements most people would not honestly endure (I have never told a lie)
if someone agrees with many of these it suggests social desirability bias/faking good
what are response profile comparisons
comparing a persons response to a socially desirable (ideal) profile
high similarity suggests social desirability bias
How much of personality scale variance is true vs bias vs error
~ 40-55% true (shared across raters)
~ 35-40% method/rater bias
remaining random error
personality scores are true trait + bias + error
What are the advantages of self-report scales?
cheap and efficient
access to internal states (thoughts, feelings)
easy to interpret
What are the disadvantages of self-report scales?
Susceptible to bias
Limited self-awareness
Method-specific variance
Why is it useful to combine self- and informant reports ?
Reduces random error (aggregation)
Cancels some biases
Improves validity
Allows triangulation of the true unit
to separate real trait stability from bias and measurement error
What are the most common personality scales?
NEO-PI-R
Big Five Inventory
HEXACO
What is IPIP
Open source pool of 1000+ items
Used to build many personality scales
Free alternative to proprietary tests
how do we estimate real stability
divide observed cross-time agreement by cross rater agreement
what are alternative methods to personality tests
experimental tasks
implicit measures (IAT)
digital trace data
experience sampling
what is an example of experimental task
marshmallow test
delayed gratification - walter michael
people who delayed taking do better in life (apparently)
hand in ice water for ego strength - roy baumeister
go NoGo task for measuring self control/impulsivity
these are more objective but low validity, limited scope
what is implicit association test
if a trait is part of peoples self concept, they quickly connect with it
more automatic associations
low reliability, unclear meaning
.60 for IAT
what is digital trace data
tracing personality from online digital data
facebook likes, words used in posts, credit card records
advantages
objective, non-invasive measurement, large data sets available
disadvantages
ethics, trait coverage, face validity
based on 70 likes a computer can know you as well as a friend, based on 300 liked can know you as well as a partner
what is experience sampling/momentary assessment/ambulatory assessment?
measuring peoples thoughts, feelings, and behaviours in real time, repeatedly, in their everyday life
participants get prompts on their phone, several times a day, over days or weeks
mor accurate, aggregation improves reliability, better representation of real life
burdensome, expensive/time-consuming, missing data, still self-report
what is time-series data
measure someone many times over time