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The stated or quoted interest rate Includes inflation What you actually see on loans, bonds, CDs - Example bond yielding 8%
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Real Rate (r*)
The rate after removing inflation
Reflects true purchasing power
r∗≈r−inflationr∗=r−inflation
Risk-Free Rate (RFR)
Base rate (no risk)
Usually proxied by U.S. Treasury securities
Includes:
Real rate
Expected inflation
Default Risk Premium (DRP)
Extra return for risk the borrower might not repay
Higher for risky companies
Corporate bonds > Treasury bonds
Liquidity Premium (LP)
Compensation for difficulty selling the asset quickly
Less liquid = higher LP
Maturity Risk Premium (MRP)
Risk from interest rate changes over time
Longer maturity = higher MRP
Yield Curve
shows the relationship between:
Interest rates (yields)
Time to maturity
U.S. Treasury Yield Curve
Considered default risk-free
Shapes:
Normal (upward) → economy growing
Inverted → recession signal
Flat → transition
Corporate Yield Curve
always above treasury curve
Difference= credit (default) risk
Pure Expectations Theory
Long-term interest rates reflect expected future short-term rates
ignores MRP
Yield to Maturity (YTM)
The total return if held to maturity
The true cost of debt for the firm
Risk–Reward Tradeoff
The principle that higher risk → higher expected return
Stand-Alone Risk
Risk of a single asset by itself
Measured by standard deviation (σ)
Portfolio Risk
Risk of an asset within a diversified portfolio
Depends on:
Correlation with other assets
Contribution to overall risk
Diversifiable Risk (Firm-specific)
Can be eliminated by diversification
Examples:
Strikes
Lawsuits
Management issues
Market Risk (Systematic Risk)
Cannot be diversified away
Affects all firms
👉 Examples:
Recession
Interest rates
Inflation
Common Stock
voting rights
dividends vary
Preferred Stock
Fixed dividend
no/limited voting
paid before common stock
market price
What investors are currently willing to pay