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AGREE 1.1
enhanced ability to raise funds for their campaigns
during his 2012 re-election campaign Barack Obama raised over $700 million, significantly out-fundraising his challenger, Mitt Romney. allowed Obama to have a far-reaching campaign
which played a crucial role in securing his re-elected.
AGREE 1.2
Enhanced name recognition
during his re-election campaign, President George W. Bush benefited immensely from media exposure.
His leadership during the post-9/11 era kept him prominently in the public eye. Allowed bush to create a narrative that emphasized national security and leadership in times of crisis.
DISAGREE 1
Often blamed for events whether or not they are directly responsible for them.
2020 election Trump faced intense criticisms over his handling of the COVID -19 pandemic leading to his loss.
2024 election – Harris blamed for key issues such as rising grocery prices and the crisis of illegal immigration at the US – Mexico Border. One of the most important reasons for Trumps victory.
AGREE 2
incumbents benefit from a lack of primary challenge as it allows them to conserve resources and maintain a perception of party unity with the public.
2012 Obama did not face a primarty challenge allowing his campaign to focus early on the general election. In contract the Republican challenger had to compete in a challenging primary which drained resources and delayed his general election campaign.
DISAGREE 2
less campaign momentum compared to challengers as they may find it challenging to generate the same level of excitement and engagement as their opponent.
2024 Kamala Harris did not have a primary contest to prove and build her support, there was also the impression that she was given the candidacy by party elites.
2020 Biden was able to mobilise key voter groups and build momentum from the democratic primary. Trump did not have this opportunity due to lack of primary challenge.
AGREE 3
Incumbents can showcase achievement and policy success to present evidence of effective leadership.
during his 2012 re-election campaign, President Barack Obama highlighted his
administration's achievements, such as the passage of the Affordable Care Act, the recovery from the Great Recession, and the operation that led to the elimination of Osama bin Laden
DISAGREE
Incumbents can face intense public scrutiny for their record in office.
Trumps popularity suffered due to his handling of the pandemic. His often contradictory public health messages and tension with scientific advisors led to a perception of mismanagement among many voters.
Main reason Harris lost the 2024 election was the failure of Biden-Harris administration to effectively manage the most important issues to American’s: rising prices and immigration.