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what types of decisions are made in clinal practise?
diagnosis
prognosis
treatment decision
Diagnosis
The process of determining the nature of a disorder by considering the signs, symptoms, medical background and when necessary: the lab results, imaging ect…. of the patient.
unlike therapeutic procedures, usually do not have a direct impact on the patient in terms of treatment.
Prognosis
An assessment of the future course of a disease and the likely outcome.
based on the knowledge of how a disease progressed in other patients together with general health, age, sex of the patient
What are the 3 theories of DM?
normative
descriptive
prescriptive
Normative DM
focusses on what should be done, according to social or professional norms (expectations of a qualified DR)
Descriptive DM
what are you actually doing?
Prescriptive DM
Focusses on what we can improve in what your are already doing.
what are 2 different kinds of diagnostic reasoning models?
hypothetico-deductive model (elstein et al 1978)
pattern matching (norman 2005)
Is the hypothetico-deductive model used more by experienced or inexperienced clinicians?
Inexperienced clinicians
Describe the hypothetico-deductive model
Seeking evidence to prove your hypothesis and disprove your null hypothesis.
Elstein said medicine is a constant cycle of:
Cue acquisition: gaining information - patients signs and symptoms
Hypothesis formation: what do you think is wrong?
Cue interpretation: does evidence collected match the hypothesis?
Hypothesis evaluation: and then start over again if necessary
How did Norman 2005 describe experienced clinicians diagnostic reasoning process?
suggested that HDM was less common in experienced DRs
used patten matching as they are more familiar with the diagnostic task
use reflective practise, evidence, scientific & experimental knowledge to determine less common cases
BUT will use the HDM when encountering less familiar diagnostic problems
According to prospect theory (Tversky & Kahneman, 1988) what are the two phases in choice/ decision process?
1) Framing & Editing - preliminary analysis of decision problem
2) Phase evaluation - the framed ‘prospects’ are evaluated and those with the highest value are selected
How can decisions be influenced?
Framing - how the problem is framed to the individual
Values - peoples values & beliefs associated with benefits/harms of the outcomes or different options
Evaluation - someone’s ability to evaluate information used
what is evidence?
Any factor that can and should influence clinical DM
results form research studies
what is the hierarchy of evidence?
Type of study design is ranked on perceived ability to provide evidence for clinical practise.
quality is associated with the potential bias in the study - so higher quality = more predictive power
Bias vs Error
BIAS = systematic distortion
ERROR = non-systematic distortion or random
What are the 9 segments of the evidence pyramid?
Systematic reviews & meta analysis
RCT (ideally double blinded)
Cohort studies
Case control studies
Case series
Case reports
Ideas, editorials, opinions
Animal research
In vitro research
Systematic reviews & meta analysis
Comprehensive structured review & summary of all available evidence of a specific research question.
statistical technique combines results from multiple studies to produce an idea of the effect size (often conducted as part of a systematic review)
Cohort studies
Longitudinal observational studies = follows a large group of participants over a period of time to examine how certain factors (eg: exposure/intervention) effects their health outcomes.
Case control studies
Observational studies that allow you to look at risk factors associated with diseases or their outcomes (smaller than corhort).
there is a case group (risk of interest) and a control group (don’t have outcome of interest - but otherwise similar to case group)
Case series vs Case report
Case series = multiple case reports (observations) of a group of individuals who share specific characteristics
Both can be used to generate hypothesis BUT case series can help monitor emerging medical trends and describe common conditions
What are the S5 levels of organisation?
Systems - computerised decision models
Summaries - evidence based textbooks
Synopses - evidence based journels
Synthesis- systematic reviews
Studies - original journel articals
How is evidence used in diagnosis decisions?
to identify most likely hypothesis
evaluate likelihood of hypothesis being correct
accuracy of diagnostic tests
How is evidence used in prognosis decisions?
to evaluate what happens to similar patients with same condition - giving a more accurate idea of what persons disease/illness will look like in the future
How is evidence used in treatment decisions?
evaluate the likelihood of different options having an effect - will they even work?
evaluate the likelihood of adverse events happening to patient - do other options cause harm?
Likely acceptability of treatment by patient.
What is self medication?
An element of selfcare.
it is the ability to select and use medication to treat a self recognised illness or symptoms - without medical supervision
what is self care?
The holistic person centres approach to health and wellbeing of each person - taking into account:
their circumstances
needs and desires across a lifetime
environment in which they live
What is the purpose of individuals being active agents in their own hc?
Provides additional options and choices for healthcare, promotes disease prevention/ control, self medication, caring for dependants, rehab and palliative care.
What 3 factors influence self medication?
policy - gov/treasury
services - commissioning, inequalities in provision, accessibility and quality, design and implementation
people - inequalities and deprivation, health literacy, age, legality, stigma
POLICY - what is the NHS/DHCS medicines value programme?
Policy aimed at getting the best value for money out of NHS medicines bill.
Medicines should not be routinely provided for:
Self limiting illness
Illnesses lending themselves to selfcare (eg:cold) - medications can be bought OTC for relief of symptoms
Limited clinical evidence of clinical effectiveness (eg: probiotics, or vits/mins)
POLICY - what were drivers for medication policy change?
Meds = 2nd largest proportion of NHS spend: £19.2bn 2022-23 (21% on OTC)
Prescribed medications cost = too high
CCGs - NHS Eng guidance: only prescribe vits/ mins if medically deficient (£48,100,000), coughs/cold &nasal congestion (£1,300,000) = only red flag symptoms, mild cystitis (£300,000)= only red flag symptoms
What did the report: Economic Impact if OTC products in the UK show?
the value of encouraging people to take more proactive approach to their health & wellbeing by widening the scope of how to self care
Could save the NHS £1.7bn/ yr by eliminating 25mill unnecessary GP app and 5 mill A&E visits
SERVICES - what kinds of service related factors can influence self medication as part of self care?
Commissioning
Inadequate provision
Accessibility - service availability and uptake - can people afford to pay for services? how can they be changed to avoid this?
Inclusion
Design & implementation - need to acknowledge people factors
User experiences - need to be positive (keep reviewing/ learning from errors)
What might be an unintended outcome/ consequence of unequal service provision or access?
Patient cohorts who may feel/ be excluded lose out on self care and seek alternatives as a result.
PEOPLE - what factors might influence who self medicates?
Inequalities/deprivation
Health literacy - a lot of information, but how helpful is this to some people?
Age - high risk groups (very young/ very old)
Legality
Stigma
What can people self medicate with?
OTC items - P meds, GSL items
Herbal medications
Vits/ mins & food supplements
Illicit drugs
How can patients access medications for self care?
Prescribers - GP, pharmacist, nurse, paramedics …
Community pharmacy - p meds, GSL
Lockable shop - GSL
Health food shops - not licenced as meds
Internet - anything and everything
Black market/ counterfeit - potentially contain v.harmful substances
Friends and Family
What are the risks of OTC medication abuse?
ADDICTION - Codeine = main medication implicated, but also decongestants (pseudenaphrine/ phenylephrine) & sedatives (promethazine/ diphenhydramine)
What is the governing body responsible for a change in license of medications?
MHRA - medicines & healthcare products regulatory body
can encourage greater self medication/ management by moving products from POM - P (or P - GSL)
This can require placing limits to P license compared to POM - eg: age group, indication, dose or strength ect….