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Two-group design
The simplest experiment
1 IV (2 levels)
e.g. experimental and control conditions
1 DV
Inferential Statistics
Inferential statistics allow us to determine whether the alternative (experimental) hypothesis is true
confirm or reject our prediction
dependent t-test
Compares two means on data from the same people measured at different times
paired or matched samples
independent t-test
compares two means on data from different groups of people
rationale for t-test
We collect two samples of data and calculate and compare their sample means
Standard error gauges variability between sample means. if the difference between the samples is larger than what we would expect based on the standard error then we can assume one of the two
1) There is no effect, and the difference happened by chance
2) The two samples come from different populations (and so the null hypothesis is incorrect)
rational for the t-test
t= observed difference between sample means - expected difference between population means (if the null is true) divided by the estimate of the standard error of the difference between two sample means
there is more variability when the groups are
not the same
the two-group design is the simplest design that can yield a valid experiment
when you want to compare two means on data from the same people measured at different times, use a dependent samples t-test
multiple group design
Comparing several means
1 IV (3 or more levels)
1 DV
We can use a t-test to compare means, but this test has limitations
We can compare only 2 means, but often we want to compare means from 3 or more groups
It can be used only with one IV/predictor variable
ANOVA
Compares several means
can be used when we have manipulated more than one IV
It is an extension of regression
What does ANOVA tell us?
like a t-test, ANOVA tests the null hypothesis that the means are the same
ANOVA is an omnibus test
- it tests for an overall difference between groups'
it tells us that the group means are different, but it doesn’t tell us exactly which means differ
H0
the means are the same
H1
The means differ
Theory of ANOVA
We calculate how much variability there is between scores
total sum of squares (SSt)
We then calculate how much of this total variability can be explained by the model we fit to the data
How much variability is due to the experimental manipulation
model sum of squares (SSm)
How much variability is due to individual differences in performance
Residual sum of squares (SSr)
F- ratio
We compare the amount of variability explained by the Model (experiment) to the error in the model (individual differences)
What is the equation for F statistic
Between - groups of variances
Within - groups variance
SST Total variance in the data splits into what two groups
SSm: variance explained by the model
SSr: Unexplained variance
If the experiment is successful
the model will explain more variance than it cant explain
The final goal for the ANOVA is an F-ratio
F= Variance between treatments
. Variance within treatments
Each variance in the F-ratio is computed as SS/df
Variance between treatments = SS between
. df between
Variance within treatments = SS within
. df within
to obtain each of the SS and df values
the total variability is analyzed into the two components
Degrees of freedom (df)
the number of values that are free to vary
– In general, the df are one less than the number of values used to calculate the SS
step 2
calculate SSm
How many values did we use to calculate SSM?
We used the 3 means
step 3
calculate SSr
How many values did we use to calculate SSR?
We used the 5 scores for each of the SS for each group
step 4
Calculate the mean squared error
step 5
Calculate the F-ratio
step 6
Construct a summary table
Why use follow-up tests?
The F-ratio tells us only that the experiment was successful
Example: the group means were different
it does not tell us specifically which group means differ from which
we need additional tests to find out where the group differences lie
multiple t-tests
THIS IS A BAD IDEA
planned contrasts
hypothesis-driven, planned a priori
post hoc tests
not planned (no hypothesis), compare all pairs of means
planned contrast rules
Variables not included in the contrast are coded as zero
Positive values are compared to negative values
entire row must sum to zero
post hoc tests
Compare each mean against all others
In general terms, they use a stricter criterion to accept an effect as significant
- hence, control the Type I error rate