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Vocabulary practice flashcards covering labor markets, inflation, short-run economic fluctuations, the Great Recession, the IS curve, and monetary policy with the Phillips curve from ECON 3334 Chapters 7 through 12.
Unemployed Status
The labor market condition of a civilian who is not currently employed, wants a job, and has actively searched for work within the last four weeks; individuals who do not have a job and have not searched within that window are classified as not in the labor force.
Unemployment Rate
The percentage of the labor force without a job, computed as the number of unemployed individuals divided by the total labor force (employed plus unemployed); for example, with 25 million unemployed and 225 million employed, the rate is 25025=0.100 (or 10%).
Labor Demand Curve Slope
The downward slope of the labor demand curve reflecting that the marginal product of labor diminishes as additional units of labor are employed by firms.
Oil Price Shock in the Labor Market
A negative macroeconomic supply shock caused by an increase in energy input costs that shifts labor demand inward, resulting in lower equilibrium wages and lower employment.
Labor Supply Tax with Wage Rigidity
A policy shock where a tax is placed on labor supply while wages remain stuck at their pre-shock level; because the wage fails to adjust upward to clear the market, both the wage and the employment-population ratio fall below new market-clearing levels.
Cyclical Unemployment
Short-run deviations of unemployment from its natural rate associated with business cycle fluctuations, such as a worker losing her job because the economy begins to enter a recession.
Bathtub Model of Unemployment
A steady-state labor market model where a permanent policy increase in only the job finding rate leads directly to a decline in the natural rate of unemployment.
Natural Rate of Unemployment Formula
The steady-state rate defined in the bathtub model as u∗=s+fs, which equals approximately 4.1% when the job separation rate s is 0.9% (0.009) and the job finding rate f is 21% (0.21).
European Unemployment Disparity
The structural phenomenon of higher unemployment rates in Europe relative to the United States over recent decades, driven by the combined effect of an inefficiently designed unemployment insurance system, the 1970s productivity slowdown, and high oil prices.
Efficiency Wage Hypothesis
The economic theory showing that paying wages above the reservation wage required to retain workers does not necessarily decrease firm profits, because higher pay can enhance worker effort, reduce turnover, and boost productivity.
Future Value (FV)
The compounding value of a current asset at a future date; depositing $100 at a 5% annual interest rate yields a future value of \100 \times (1 + 0.05)^2 = \110.25 in two years.
Present Discounted Value (PDV) Interest Rate Sensitivity
The present valuation of a stream of future cash flows, which decreases when the market interest rate increases because future income is discounted more heavily.
Perpetuity Due Present Value
The present discounted value of an infinite series of fixed payments where the first payment arrives immediately; evaluated as PDV=C+RC, which equals \50 + \frac{\50}{0.05} = \$1{,}050 at a 5% interest rate.
Compounding Equivalence
The indifference between two savings structures with equal two-year returns; depositing $625 into Bank A yielding $756.25 in two years is mathematically identical to Bank C paying 10% compounded annually (\625 \times 1.10^2 = \756.25).
College Wage Premium
The wage ratio of college-educated workers relative to high school graduates; the required increase in demand for college graduates needed to explain its rise depends fundamentally on supply shifts and developments in the high school labor market.
Hyperinflation
An extreme, uncontrolled inflationary episode characterized by rapidly rising prices; exemplified when a country's price level surges tenfold from 100 to 1,000 in a single period.
Real versus Raw Price Comparison
The analytical practice of converting historical nominal prices into constant purchasing power dollars, demonstrating that raw dollar differences over time do not represent true comparative costs because inflation erodes currency value.
CPI Deflating Formula
The method of converting historical prices using the formula Price2015=Price1900×CPI1900CPI2015; coffee costing 8.25 cents in 1900 (CPI=3.43) equals $2.41 in 2015 dollars (CPI=100), making coffee at $1.50 less expensive in 2015.
Classical Dichotomy
The long-run theoretical separation of nominal variables from real economic variables, stating that real GDP is determined by inputs, technology, and ideas, and not by the aggregate price level.
Quantity Theory Money Supply Calculation
The quantity equation identity M×V=P×Y; if nominal GDP (PY) is $5,000 and the velocity of money (V) is 5, the money supply in circulation is M=5$5,000=$1,000.
Quantity Theory Inflation Relationship
The principle stating that inflation is determined by money growth minus real output growth (π=gM−gY); increases in the money supply raise inflation, whereas increases in real GDP reduce inflation by expanding transaction demand.
Price Stability Growth Rule
The central bank policy guideline derived from the quantity theory requiring money supply growth to exactly equal real GDP growth (e.g., gM=2% when gY=2%) in order to keep price levels constant.
Long-Run Neutrality of Money Growth
The quantity theory prediction that doubling the growth rate of the money supply leads in the long run to a doubling of the inflation rate without having any permanent effect on real GDP growth.
Monetary Renomination Neutrality
The macroeconomic rule that purely nominal currency changes, such as reissuing bills with new designs or doubling all nominal currency units in circulation, have zero real impact on long-run output.
Short-Run Non-Neutrality of Money
The empirical finding that changes in monetary policy have real effects on output and employment in the short run due to price and wage stickiness, despite money being neutral in the long run.
Fisher Equation Deflation Condition
The nominal interest rate identity i=R+π; when the real interest rate is R=3% and the nominal interest rate is i=1%, inflation is π=i−R=−2%, indicating that the economy is in deflation.
Surprise Inflation Redistribution
The arbitrary wealth transfer caused by unanticipated inflation, which benefits borrowers repaying fixed nominal debt obligations at lower real values, while hurting fixed-rate lenders and pensioners.
Seigniorage
The real revenue a government raises by printing money to finance expenditures; when a $500 million project is funded with $200 million in debt and $200 million in taxes, the remaining $100 million is seigniorage.
Inflation Tax Incidence
The erosion of purchasing power incurred by holders of unindexed currency and liquid money; it does not fall on individuals who hold all their wealth in physical capital or artwork.
Government Reliance on Inflation Taxation
The fiscal conditions prompting monetary financing of debts, triggered when governments run large budget deficits, lenders doubt sovereign solvency, and politicians cannot politically raise direct taxes.
Hyperinflation Dynamics
The characteristics of an extreme monetary collapse, which include skyrocketing nominal interest rates, severe fiscal deficits, and a high probability of recurrence if structural reforms fail.
Short-Run Model Focus
The macroeconomic framework primarily focused on determining the simultaneous equilibrium of current output (deviations from potential) and current inflation over business cycle frequencies.
Short-Run Output (Output Gap, Y~t)
The percentage deviation of actual output (Yt) from potential output (Yt∗), defined as Y~t=Yt∗Yt−Yt∗; with actual output at $110 and potential at $100, short-run output is 10%.
Recession Dating Rule
The formal business cycle convention where a recession is declared over as soon as economic contraction ends and growth resumes, rather than when short-run output fully recovers to potential.
Boom-Induced Price Adjustments
The behavior of firms raising prices during economic expansions both to exploit elevated consumer demand and to cover higher marginal wage costs incurred when expanding output.
Phillips Curve Deflation Implication
The macroeconomic relationship dictating that when an economy experiences deflation or declining inflation, actual output must be operating below potential output (Y~t<0).
Okun's Law Short-Run Output
The empirical relationship linking output deviations to labor slack via Y~t=−2(u−u∗); when the natural rate is u∗=5% and cyclical unemployment is u−u∗=2%, short-run output equals −4%.
Phillips-Okun Transmission
The empirical macroeconomic link between price changes and unemployment; an inflation increase from 0% to 1% typically implies positive short-run output and a cyclical unemployment drop of approximately −1.5% to −2%.
2000s Housing Price Boom
The rapid expansion of residential real estate prices during the early 2000s driven primarily by low interest rates, global excess savings, and a substantial deterioration in mortgage underwriting standards.
Aggregate Risk in Mortgage-Backed Securities
The systemic threat confronting holders of securitized debt when broad economic downturns cause widespread simultaneous mortgage defaults across the entire financial system.
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Expansion
The unprecedented increase in the size and composition of the U.S. central bank's assets and liabilities during the 2008 financial crisis via emergency lending facilities and asset purchases.
Consumption Volatility in the Great Recession
The sharp and historically atypical decline in private household consumption during the 2007–2009 recession, which historically remained steady during standard post-war downturns.
Bank Capital Requirement Calculation
The minimum equity buffer mandated by regulators as a share of total assets; for a bank with $1,000 in assets ($500 loans, $400 investments, $100 cash/reserves), a 20% capital requirement equals $200.
Bank Leverage Ratio Calculation
The ratio of total assets to equity capital; with $1,000 in assets and $750 in liabilities ($500 deposits + $250 debt), equity is $250, yielding a leverage ratio of 2501000=4.
IS Curve Interest Rate Mechanism
The channel where an increase in the real interest rate lowers short-run output primarily by raising borrowing costs and depressing business investment.
Consumption Smoothing in the IS Model
The microeconomic behavior where forward-looking households stabilize spending across time based on permanent income, explaining why consumption is modeled as a fraction of potential output.
Marginal Product of Capital Investment Condition
The firm optimization rule dictating that borrowing to purchase capital is profitable only if the marginal product of capital (rˉ) exceeds the real interest rate (Rt); if rˉ=4% and Rt=7%, the firm does not invest because it would lose 3 units.
Exogenous Variable in the IS Model
A variable determined outside the model; in the standard short-run IS curve framework, the real interest rate Rt is set exogenously by monetary policy, while output, consumption, and investment are endogenous.
IS Curve Output Calculation
The short-run output formula Y~t=aˉ−bˉ(Rt−rˉ); when aˉ=0, bˉ=1/2, rˉ=2%, and Rt=6%, short-run output is Y~t=0−21(6−2)=−2%.
Investment-Saving Identity
The macroeconomic accounting relationship between national investment and national saving from which the IS curve derives its name.
Movement Along the IS Curve
The adjustment in short-run output resulting strictly from an exogenous shift in the real interest rate Rt, which does not shift the underlying IS curve.
Investment Demand Shock (aˉi)
A positive innovation in technology or business confidence that increases the investment demand parameter, shifting the IS curve rightward.
Interest Rate Contraction Channels
The combined macroeconomic transmission mechanisms whereby higher interest rates reduce output by increasing borrowing costs for firms, increasing borrowing costs for households, and depressing business investment.
Import Aggregate Demand Parameter (aˉim)
The parameter measuring the share of income spent on foreign goods; because imports enter aggregate demand negatively, an increase in aˉim shifts the IS curve to the left, opposing consumption demand increases.
Marginal Product of Capital IS Shift
A change in the underlying productivity of capital; a decrease in rˉ lowers baseline investment at every interest rate, shifting the IS curve inward to the left.
Physical Capital Destruction Shock
A localized supply shock, such as hurricane damage to productive capital, which decreases both short-run output and potential output.
Life-Cycle / Permanent-Income Hypothesis (LC/PI)
The consumer theory stating that households smooth lifetime consumption based on permanent earnings; therefore, a college student with low current income should borrow and consume more than her current income.
IS Multiplier
The amplification parameter measuring how strongly short-run output reacts to demand shocks; an economy with a higher IS multiplier will experience a larger change in output for a given 3% aggregate demand shock.
Moral Hazard
The behavioral tendency of individuals to take greater risks when insulated from negative consequences, such as a motorist driving faster because they are wearing a seatbelt.
Ricardian Equivalence
The theoretical proposition that the timing of government tax increases does not alter household lifetime wealth or consumption because forward-looking agents anticipate the present value of future tax liabilities.
Overnight Rate Arbitrage
The market discipline ensuring interbank alignment: if a bank lends overnight below the central bank rate, other banks borrow from it and deposit at the central bank for riskless profit until the lending bank exhausts its resources.
Sticky Inflation Monetary Transmission
The mechanism enabling nominal policy actions to alter real variables: because inflation is sticky in the short run, raising the nominal interest rate directly increases the real interest rate, depressing investment and output.
Monetary Stabilization Policy
The central bank response required to stabilize output at potential following a positive demand shock (increase in aˉ), achieved by raising the nominal interest rate.
Phillips Curve Output Inference
The deduction of short-run output using Δπt=0.5Y~t; when inflation drops steadily by 2% annually (from 6% to 4% to 2%), short-run output has been negative, around −4%.
Phillips Curve Supply Shock Calculation
The determination of current inflation via πt=πt−1+νˉY~t+oˉ; with prior inflation of 3%, νˉ=1/2, output gap Y~t=−2%, and cost shock oˉ=2%, inflation equals 3−1+2=4%.
Price-Setting Sensitivity
The degree to which price-setters adjust to output slack; when pricing becomes more sensitive to demand conditions, the Phillips curve becomes steeper, requiring a smaller recession to achieve a target disinflation.
Disinflation
A intentional reduction in the rate of inflation, requiring the central bank to raise nominal interest rates to create economic slack rather than lowering them.
Adaptive Expectations Sacrifice
The policy cost associated with backward-looking expectations and sticky inflation, requiring the central bank to drive short-run output below potential to push down inflation.
Productivity Slowdown Misperception
A central bank error where a structural decline in potential output is misdiagnosed as an economic recession, causing policymakers to over-stimulate and fuel higher inflation.
2020–21 Covid-19 Recession Profile
The macroeconomic trajectory observed during the 2020–21 pandemic downturn, characterized empirically as an unusually deep recession followed by a rapid, fast recovery.
Flexible Price Monetary Neutrality
The theoretical state in which all goods prices adjust instantly without sticky inflation, causing monetary policy changes to exert only nominal effects and zero real output effects.
Horizontal Money Supply Curve
The graphical representation of monetary policy when the central bank fixes a target interest rate and supplies whatever quantity of reserves the financial system demands at that rate.