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MAXICON principle
Maximize true variance, minimize error variance, control extraneous variance
Two principles for planning experiments
Less is more; simple is better
Describing participants: what to include
Special characteristics (age, sex, level of training, level of performance, size, special types) and consent/permission obtained
Protecting participants
Obtain consent and necessary permission and cooperation; remember to PROTECT participants
Basement/ceiling effects
Scores bunch at the bottom (test too hard) or the top (test too easy), so the test can't show differences
Basement/ceiling check: what instruments should do
Yield a reasonable range of scores for participants; also consider validity, reliability, and how hard the measures are to obtain
Planning data collection
Decide when, where, and how much time is needed; consider pilot data
Planning treatments
Decide how long, how intense, and how often; are treatments appropriate for the type of participants
Adherence
Whether participants actually follow the treatment as planned; you must plan how to determine it
Pilot work
A trial run to catch methodological problems before the real study; post-hoc blame on methodology is unacceptable
Describing design and analysis
Include the proposed application of statistics
Fatal flaws checklist (cause and effect)
Logical hypotheses, good assumptions, right participants in sufficient number, treatments intense/long enough, valid and reliable measures, well-planned data collection, extraneous variables controlled
Validity
The degree to which a test or instrument measures what it purports to measure
Logical (face) validity
Degree to which a measure obviously involves the performance being measured
Content validity
Degree to which a test (usually in educational settings) adequately samples what was covered in a course
Criterion validity
Degree to which test scores relate to a recognized standard or criterion; includes concurrent and predictive
Concurrent validity
Type of criterion validity where the instrument is correlated with a criterion administered at the same time
Predictive validity
Degree to which scores of predictor variables predict criterion scores
Construct validity
Degree to which a test measures a hypothetical construct; usually established by relating results to some behavior
Reliability
A valid test is reliable: it yields the same results on successive trials
Observed score
Obtained score; true score plus error score (classical test theory)
True score
Part of the observed score that is the person's real score with no measurement error
Error score
Part of the observed score attributed to measurement error
Sources of measurement error
The participant, the testing, the scoring, the instrumentation
Participant-related error examples
Mood, motivation, fatigue, health, memory, practice, previous knowledge, familiarity with the test
Testing-related error examples
Clarity and completeness of instructions; whether instructions are followed
Scoring-related error examples
Competence, dedication, and experience of scorers; nature of scoring
Instrumentation-related error examples
Inaccuracy, lack of calibration, or a test that can't discriminate between abilities
Stability (reliability method)
Test-retest method
Alternate forms method
Method of establishing reliability using alternate versions of a test
Parallel-form (equivalence) method
Establishing reliability by constructing two tests, usually scholastic, that supposedly sample the same material
Objectivity
Inter-tester / inter-rater reliability
Health-related physical fitness components
Cardiorespiratory endurance, muscular strength, muscular endurance, flexibility, body composition
Skilled performance fitness variables
Power, speed, reaction time, agility, balance, kinesthetic perception, coordination
Written-response measures assess
Attitudes, interests, emotional states, personality, psychological traits
Scales for written responses
Likert-type scales, semantic differential scale, rating scales (like RPE or judging scales)
Likert-type scale
Written-response scale used to measure attitudes, interests, and similar traits
Semantic differential scale
Written-response scale used to measure attitudes, interests, and similar traits
RPE
Rating of perceived exertion; an example of a rating scale
Measuring knowledge: three tools
Item difficulty analysis, item discrimination analysis, item response theory
Why we need statistics
An objective means of interpreting a collection of observations
Statistical software named
SPSS, Excel, SAS
Description of data
Summarizing with means, median, mode, range, etc.
Inference
The generalization of results to some larger group
Sample
A group of participants, treatments, or situations selected from a larger population
Random selection
Everyone has a chance of being chosen, for example using a random numbers table
Stratified random sampling
Stratifying a population on some characteristic before sampling randomly
Systematic sampling
Following a system for selection, such as every 50th student alphabetically
Random assignment
Participants may self-select into the study, but are placed into groups at random
Random sampling in kinesiology
Often not truly possible; decisions are best based on a theoretical basis
Central tendency
Single scores that best represent all scores: mean, median, mode
Variability
The degree of difference between each individual score and the central tendency score
Standard deviation
Estimate of variability around the mean
Standard error
Variability of the sampling distribution
Range
Distance from the highest to the lowest score
Confidence interval
Expected upper and lower limit for a statistic at a specified probability (usually 95 or 99 percent)
Stem-and-leaf display
A way of showing a frequency distribution of scores
Frequency distribution example on slides
Bar chart of prevalence of disease conditions in the working population
Parametric test assumptions
Population normally distributed; sample has same variance; observations independent
Two things statistics tell you about data
Is the effect statistically significant (reliable)? How strong or meaningful is it?
Probability
The odds that a certain event will occur; all of statistics is based on probabilities
Equally likely events
Chance of one event equals chance of another, such as rolling a die
Relative frequency
Comparative likelihood of two or more events, such as a coin toss with 0.50 probability or close to it
Alpha
Probability level set by the experimenter before the study (a priori); level of significance
Type I error
Rejecting the null hypothesis when the null is true (alpha)
Type II error
Accepting the null hypothesis when the null is false (beta)
Beta
The magnitude of a Type II error
Too-stringent alpha causes
An increased chance of Type II error
Effect size (Cohen's d, delta)
Difference between the means divided by the standard deviation
Small effect size
0.20 or less
Moderate effect size
About 0.50
Large effect size
0.80 or more
Power
The chance of rejecting the null when it is false; a correct decision; ranges from 0 to 1
How to get proper power
Through effect size and sample size
G*Power
Power calculator tool linked on the power slide
Correlation
Statistical technique used to determine the relationship between two or more variables
Queens College Step Test
Slide example used to illustrate correlation
Coefficient of correlation
Quantitative value of a relationship; sign shows direction, size shows strength (minus 1.00 to plus 1.00)
Positive correlation
Small values go with small values, large values go with large values
Negative correlation
Small values on one variable go with large values on the other, and vice versa
Patterns of relationships
Positive, negative, curvilinear, or no relationship
Correlation versus causation
Causes must be correlated, but correlation alone is not sufficient to establish cause and effect
Alien coffee story
Thinner people used sugar and fatter people used sweetener, so the alien wrongly concluded sugar makes people thin; shows correlation is not causation
Pearson product moment correlation
Most commonly used correlation; also called Pearson r, simple correlation, or interclass correlation
Steps to calculate Pearson r
Sum each set of scores; square and sum each set; multiply each pair of scores and sum the products (Excel can do this)
Degrees of freedom for r
N minus 2
Needed to test significance of r
r, df, and significance level (alpha), checked in the textbook appendix table
Significance of r (reliability of r)
Determined from r, df (N minus 2), and alpha level
Meaningfulness of r
Determined with the coefficient of determination (r squared)
Coefficient of determination (r squared)
Portion of the variance in one measure that is explained by variance in the other
If r = 0.8, r squared is
0.64, meaning 64 percent of variance is explained
r = 0.3 versus r = 0.9
Not 3 times stronger but 9 times stronger in variance explained (0.09 versus 0.81)
Prediction and correlation
The greater the correlation, the better the predictive power
Regression equation Y = MX + B
M is the slope; B is the Y-intercept (Y when X equals 0)
Using Excel in statistics
Excel can compute Pearson r and generate regression equations from the line of best fit
Four experimental design classifications
Experimental, quasi-experimental, causal-comparative, correlational
Experimental design: how designs differ
In how the independent variable is introduced and in their degree of internal and external validity
No design is perfect
Every design has tradeoffs in internal and external validity
R, O, X in design diagrams
R is random assignment, O is observation or measurement, X is treatment
Case study design
X then O (a treatment followed by an observation)