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securitization
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Risk
Uncertainty concerning whether a loss will occur.
Knightian uncertainty
Uncertainty in which probabilities cannot reasonably be estimated.
Loss exposure
Any situation in which a loss is possible, whether or not one actually occurs.
Objective risk
The relative variation of actual losses from expected losses; statistically measurable.
Subjective risk
Uncertainty based on a person’s feelings or state of mind.
Capital Markets as alternative
securitization of risk: insurable risk transferred to capital markets thru creation of fin instrument
use weather derivatives to manage exposure to droughts + freezes affecting agricultural clients
catastropher bond: corporate bonds that permit issuer of bond to skip/reduce interest payments if catastophic loss occurs - standard supplement
most expensive natural disaster in US
Hurricane Katrina (201.3 billion dollars)
Chance of loss
The probability that an event causing a loss will occur.
Objective probability
The long-run frequency of an event based on many observations under stable conditions.
Subjective probability
A person’s individual estimate of the likelihood of a loss.
Peril
The direct cause of a loss, such as fire, lightning, or collision.
Hazard
A condition that increases the frequency or severity of a loss.
Physical hazard
A physical condition that increases loss, such as faulty wiring.
Moral hazard
Dishonesty that increases the frequency or severity of loss, such as insurance fraud.
Morale hazard
Carelessness or indifference that increases loss, such as leaving a car unlocked because it is insured.
Legal hazard
Features of the legal or regulatory environment that increase loss frequency or severity.
Independent agencies
major distribution form for property + casualty insurance
agents are paid a commission based on business produced
agency may bill the policyholders + collect premiums, but most insurers use direct billing
Pure risk
A situation involving only loss or no loss; no opportunity for profit.
Speculative risk
A situation involving the possibility of profit or loss.
Diversifiable risk
Risk affecting individuals or small groups that can be reduced by spreading exposures.
Nondiversifiable or fundamental risk
Risk affecting large groups or the overall economy that is difficult to reduce through diversification.
Enterprise risk
All major risks faced by a business, including pure, speculative, strategic, operational, and financial risks.
Strategic risk
Uncertainty concerning a firm’s goals, objectives, and business strategy.
Operational risk
Risk arising from a firm’s business operations.
Financial risk
Risk of loss from adverse changes in interest rates, commodity prices, exchange rates, or the value of money.
Systemic risk
The possibility that one entity’s failure triggers a breakdown of an entire financial market or system.
Surplus share treaty
reinsurer agrees to accept insurance in excess of the ceding insurer’s retention limit, up to some maximum amount
reinsurer’s share of losses and premiums is proportional
Excess of Loss Treaty
designed to protect against catastrophic loss
can be written to cover single exposure, occurence, or total excess losses
Personal risks
Risks that cause individuals or families to lose income, incur extra expenses, or deplete assets.
Property risks
The possibility of damage, destruction, or theft of property.
Direct loss
Physical damage to or loss of property, such as fire damage to a house.
Indirect or consequential loss
A financial consequence of a direct loss, such as additional living expenses after a house fire.
Liability risk
The possibility of being held legally responsible for injury or damage to others.
Risk control
Techniques that reduce the frequency or severity of losses.
Avoidance
Never taking on an exposure or abandoning it, eliminating that particular exposure to loss.
Loss prevention
Reducing how often losses occur; targets frequency.
Loss reduction
Reducing how severe losses are when they occur; targets severity.
Automatic sprinklers
An example of loss reduction because they reduce fire damage after a fire starts.
Claims Settlement Process
notice of loss, asap after loss has occurred
next, claim is investigated: adjustor must determine that a covered loss has occurred + determine amount of the loss
adjust may require a proof of loss before claim is paid
adjustor decides if claim is paid/denied (policy provisions address how disputes r resolved)
Duplication
Maintaining backups or copies so a loss does not eliminate everything needed to operate.
Separation
Placing assets in different locations so one event cannot damage all of them.
Diversification
Spreading exposures among different assets, parties, or activities to reduce overall risk.
Risk financing
Techniques that provide money to pay for losses.
Marketing Systems
refers to various methods for selling + marketing insurance products
majority of life insurance policies + annuities sold today are through personal selling distribution systems
commissioned agent solicit + sell life insurance
career agents represent one insurer, paid on commission basis
Retention
Keeping part or all of the financial consequences of a loss exposure.
Active retention
Knowingly and deliberately keeping a risk, such as choosing a deductible.
Passive retention
Unintentionally keeping a risk because it was overlooked or no action was taken.
Self-insurance or self-funding
Planned retention in which a firm directly pays part or all of its own losses.
Noninsurance transfer
Transferring risk to another party without buying insurance, such as through a contract or hold-harmless agreement.
Insurance
Pooling accidental losses and transferring risk to an insurer that provides payment or benefits for covered losses.
Pooling of losses
Spreading the losses of relatively few insureds across the entire insured group.
Fortuitous loss
A loss that is unforeseen, unexpected, and occurs by chance.
Risk transfer
Shifting the financial consequences of pure risk from the insured to an insurer.
Indemnification
Restoring the insured approximately to the financial position held before a loss.
Four basic characteristics of insurance
Pooling of losses; payment of fortuitous losses; risk transfer; indemnification.
Law of large numbers
As the number of similar independent exposures increases, actual losses tend to approach expected losses.
Effect of pooling
Reduces uncertainty about average losses; does not eliminate the expected amount of loss.
Six requirements of an ideally insurable risk
Many exposure units; accidental loss; measurable loss; no catastrophic loss; calculable chance of loss; economically feasible premium.
Large number of exposure units
Enough similar exposures to make average losses predictable through the law of large numbers.
Accidental and unintentional loss
A loss caused by chance rather than deliberately by the insured.
Determinable and measurable loss
A loss whose occurrence and financial amount can be established.
No catastrophic loss
Ideally, one event should not cause losses to a huge portion of the insured pool at once.
Managing catastrophic loss exposure
Use reinsurance, geographic dispersion, and catastrophe bonds to spread catastrophe risk.
Calculable chance of loss
The insurer can estimate loss frequency and severity to set premiums.
Economically feasible premium
A premium that is affordable and substantially less than the potential policy benefit.
Adverse selection
People with higher-than-average chances of loss disproportionately seek insurance at standard rates.
Controlling adverse selection
Use underwriting and policy provisions to select and classify risks appropriately.
Insurance versus gambling
Insurance addresses an existing pure risk; gambling creates a new speculative risk.
Hedging
Using a contract or financial position to offset financial or price risk.
Life insurance
Insurance that pays a stated death benefit when the insured dies.
long-term, losses are more predictable
independent property + casualty agents
independent contractors who represent several insurers and sell primarily property and casualty insurance
personal-producing general agent (P P G A)
independent agent who places substantial amounts of business with one insurer and has a special financial arrangement with that insurer
Health insurance
Insurance covering medical expenses from illness or injury.
Property insurance
Insurance covering loss of or damage to real or personal property
contracts are short term
Liability insurance
Insurance covering legal liability for covered injuries or damage to others.
Personal lines
Insurance for individuals and families.
Commercial lines
Insurance for businesses and other organizations.
Social insurance
Government-created programs with eligibility and benefits set by law, financed largely through employer or employee contributions.
Benefits of insurance
Financial recovery; less worry; investment funds; loss prevention; improved access to credit.
Costs of insurance
Operating expenses, fraudulent claims, and inflated claims that increase premiums.
Expense loading
The portion of the premium for expenses, taxes, commissions, contingencies, and profit.
Risk management
Identifying loss exposures and selecting appropriate ways to treat them.
Pre-loss objectives
Prepare economically for losses, reduce anxiety, and meet legal obligations.
Post-loss objectives
Survive, continue operating, stabilize earnings, maintain growth, and minimize effects on others.
Four steps in risk management
Identify exposures; measure and analyze them; select treatment techniques; implement and monitor the program.
Loss frequency
The probable number of losses during a period.
Loss severity
The probable size or financial amount of losses.
Maximum possible loss
The worst loss that could conceivably occur.
Probable maximum loss
The worst loss that is likely to occur.
Why severity often matters more than frequency
One extremely large loss can threaten survival even if losses are rare.
Retention level
The dollar amount of loss a firm intends to keep.
When retention is appropriate
Losses are predictable and manageable, or insurance and other transfers are unavailable.
Financing retained losses
Use current income, an unfunded reserve, a funded reserve, or a line of credit.
Advantages of retention
Potential cost savings, improved cash flow, and stronger incentives to control losses.
Disadvantages of retention
Unexpectedly large losses, administrative costs, and possible adverse tax consequences.
Captive insurer
An insurance company created primarily to insure the risks of its parent or owners.
Single-parent captive
A captive insurer owned by and serving one parent company.
Group captive
A captive insurer owned by and serving multiple organizations.
Risk retention group
A group captive providing liability insurance to members with similar liability exposures.
Stop-loss insurance
Insurance that pays covered losses above a specified retained amount, limiting self-funded losses.