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which human activities produce methane
landfills: decomposing waste
Livestock farming: cow digestion (human produced because humans increase the number of cows produced than what would’ve been natural)
how does continental drift and changes in the sun cause climate change?
Continental Drift: continents move slowly due to tectonic plates shifting → affects ocean currents, wind patterns, and how heat moves around the earth
Changes in the sun: sun’s energy output varies over time → more output leads to warmer temperatures and vise versa
Where are we in the Milankovitch cycle? what are the natural forces?
interglacial period, Holocene
eccentricity: Earth's orbit around the Sun changes from more circular to more oval-shaped.
Obliquity: Earth's tilt changes over time. A greater tilt means more extreme seasons, while a smaller tilt means milder seasons.
precession: Earth wobbles like a spinning top, changing the direction its axis points and when seasons occur along its orbit.
Milankovitch cycles are natural causes of climate change. They happen over thousands to hundreds of thousands of years, unlike the rapid global warming primarily caused by human greenhouse gas emissions today.
what types of things could/couldn’t be responsible for modern climate change?
CAN: greenhouse gas emissions from humans (CO2 and methane), deforestation, urbanization
CAN’T: milankovitch cycles, volcanic activity
how would changing emissions affect temperature?
If emissions increase → it will become warmer
if emissions decrease → global warming slows down, but temps can still be warm
how would carbon dioxide levels affect temperature?
if CO2 levels increase: then more CO2 will be in the atmosphere, so it will get warmer
if CO2 levels decrease: then less CO2 in the atmosphere is trapped and warming is reduced
why is it easier to predict climate than weather?
weather is short-term and more specific
climate is long-term
climate is predicted based on averages and patterns
exact vs statistics
What is an RCP? What does the number next to it mean?
(EX: RCP8.5)
Representative Concentration Pathways: scenarios used to predict future greenhouse gas concentrations and their radiative force by 2100
the number is the approximate radiative forcing level, the higher it is the higher the forcing
what are the SSP’s? What’s the idea behind them?
Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: different possible ways human society could develop in the future
they test how humans will affect global warming
consider factors like populations, economic growth, technology, and inequality
What is IPAT? Which are increasing and Decreasing?
I = our impact on emission → increases when everything else increases
P = global population → increasing globally, at different rates in different countries
A = Affluence → increasing as ppl consume goods and use energy
T = technology → can increase or decrease environmental impact as technology advances
Which IPAT thing do we have the most willingness and ability to change?
technology
we can make. technology that improves energy efficiency, develop cleaner sources of energy, and reduce methane and CO2 emissions
this would reduce our impact on emissions
Where on Earth is climate change having the biggest impact?
The arctic
melting ice sheets and glaciers → harming animal life and habitats
Where in the USA is climate change having the biggest impact? give and example
The Gulf Coast
Ex: Louisiana → sea levels rising, beach erosion, threatens communities nearby
Why does exponential growth make a curve? Give an example that relates to climate change.
Exponential growth: something increases by a constant percentage over time rather than a constant number
the increase gets bigger each time
EX: if fossil fuel emissions increase by 10% each year, more CO2 enters the atmosphere each year, adding to climate change
Why is pinning down the social cost of carbon so hard?
future climate damage is uncertain
happens over a long period of time
different places are affected differently
it’s hard to put a dollar value on it
What are some climate change impacts that are NOT just due to temperature changes? Give a specific example how how seal levels rising impacts the USA
sea levels rising, change in rainfall patterns, melting glaciers, ecosystem changes
EX: sea levels rising increases coastal flooding and erosion in Louisiana → threatens homes, life, and animal life