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business cycle
The repeated rise and fall of economic activity over time.
Measures changes in GDP, employment, income, and production.
GDP (gross domestic product)
the total market value of all final goods and services produced annually in an economy
expansion
part of the business cycle, real GDP rises
recession
contraction of whole economy, decrease of products, income, employment
stagflation
unemployment + decrease of economic growth + decrease in inflation
national income accounts (NIA)
a countries total economic activity plus production value
GDP per capita
GDP divided by population

externalities
effect felt beyond those whose decision caused the effect
labor force
employed + unemployed
unemployment rate
(unemployed divided by labor force) x 100
bureau of labor and statistics
The U.S. Department of Labor agency that creates career information statistics
frictional unemployment
arises from normal labor turnover, includes duration of labor search (natural rate of employment)
structural unemployment
occurs when number of people seeking jobs in the labor market is greater than the number of jobs available
DUE TO ADVANCEMENTS IN TECHNOLOGY
cyclical unemployment
unemployment that arises from where we are in the business cycle
deviation of the actual rate of unemployment from the natural rate
not part of the natural rate of employment (NRU)
ex: jesscia lost her job due to a recession, but her employer states that she will get her job back when the recession ends
undermployment
fewer hours than the worker wants
marginally attached workers
doesn't have a job (wants one) but has given up
discouraged worker
a marginally attached worker that has given up DUE to the business cycle
nominal vs real values
current prices vs adjusted prices from inflation
inflation
a sustained increase of the price of g/s
purchasing powers decrease
deflation
decrease in the price of g/s
g/s becomes less expensive, meaning purchasing power increases
disinflation
decrease in inflation rate
hyperinflation
rapid increase in overall price level (purchasing power decreases)
aggregate price level
average price in g/s of an economy
purchasing power
amount of g/s that money can buy
purchasing power increase when price level decreases
inflation rate
percent increase in overall price level
measured by cpi
cpi
(consumer price index) a measure of the overall cost of the goods and services bought by a typical consumer
spending multiplier
initial change in spending causes lager change in GDPo
stabilization policies
government actions to reduce economic fluctuations
FIGHTS recessions
fiscal policy
government use of spending to influence economy
expansionary fiscal policy
used during a recession
increase in govt. spending, decrease in taxation
Contractionary fiscal policy
used when inflation is high
vise versa of expansionary (govt. spending drops, taxes increase)
used to slow the economy
3 tools of fiscal policy
government spending
taxes
government transfers (money transferred to assistant programs)
discretionary fiscal policy vs automatic stabilizers
discretionary fiscal policy: intentional government changes (govt. spending, taxes, and govt. transfers)
VS
automatic stabilizer are already existing government programs to help stabilize economy
supply side economics
An economic philosophy that holds the decrease of taxes will increase the incentive people have to work, save, and invest. Greater investments will lead to more jobs, a more productive economy, and more tax revenues for the government.
Lags in Fiscal Policy
+Recognition lag
+Action lag
+Impact lag
recognition lag
the time it takes to realize and economic problem
implementation lag
time it take to approve + put in a policy in action
impact lag
the time it takes for policy to affect economy
budget surplus
government collects more money in taxes
revenue is greater than spending
budget deficit
government spends more money than collected --> government now must borrow money
debt
the total amount of money the federal government owes from borrowing over time
difference between debt and deficit
debt = the amount owed OVER TIME
deficit = how much more the government spends than earns in 1 year
debt to GDP ratio
shows how large the debt is compared to the economy
four phases of a busisness cycle
Expansion: The economy grows; GDP, employment, and production increase.
Peak: The economy reaches its highest point before slowing down.
Contraction: The economy slows down; GDP and employment decrease.
Trough: The economy reaches its lowest point before beginning to recover.

economic indicators
Leading indicators: Predict future economic activity (stock market, building permits, consumer expectations).
Coincident indicators: Change at roughly the same time as the economy (real GDP, employment, personal income).
Lagging indicators: Change after the economy has already changed (unemployment duration, certain interest rates).
marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
percentage of additional income that a person spends rather than saves
higher MPC = lagrer spending multiplier
Marginal Propensity to Save
the percentage of additional income that a person saves rather than spends
MPC + MPS = 1
how does the spending multiplier affect fiscal policy
Expansionary fiscal policy increases government spending, which creates additional income and spending throughout the economy.
The multiplier effect makes the total increase in GDP larger than the original government spending.
The larger the MPC, the larger the multiplier.
crowding out
Occurs when increased government borrowing raises interest rates and reduces private investment.
This can partially offset the positive effects of expansionary fiscal policy.
federal budget
- A financial plan showing how much money the federal government expects to collect and spend during a fiscal year.
federal revenue
Money collected by the federal government, primarily through taxes.
Includes individual income taxes, payroll taxes, and corporate taxes.
Federal Expenditures
Money the federal government spends on programs, services, and obligations.
Examples include national defense, Social Security, Medicare, and education.
federal debt vs federal deficit
a deficit is an annual shortfall, while debt is the accumulated amount owed from previous borrowing.
Running repeated deficits generally increases national debt.
Economic Growth
An increase in the amount of goods and services an economy produces over time.
Usually measured by an increase in real GDP.
Productivity
The amount of output produced per unit of input, such as labor hours.
Higher productivity allows an economy to produce more goods and services using the same resources.
Human Capital
The knowledge, education, skills, and experience workers gain.
Investments in education and training can increase productivity and economic growth
physcial capital
Human-made resources used to produce goods and services.
Examples include machinery, factories, equipment, and technology.
technological advancement
Improvements in technology that make production more efficient.
Allows businesses to produce more output with fewer resources or less time.
natural resources
Resources found in nature that are used to produce goods and services.
Examples include water, oil, minerals, and land.
entrepreunurship
The ability to organize resources, take business risks, and create new products or services.
Encourages innovation, competition, and economic growth.
investment
Spending on resources that increase future production capacity.
Examples include businesses purchasing equipment, building factories, and improving technology.
positive externalities
Benefits received by people outside of the transaction.
Example: Education benefits society because educated individuals can contribute to a more productive workforce.
Negative Externalities
Costs experienced by people outside of the transaction.
Example: Factory pollution harms nearby residents even though they are not involved in producing or purchasing the goods.
Sustainable Economic Growth
Economic growth that meets current needs without preventing future generations from meeting their own needs.
Focuses on balancing economic development with environmental protection and responsible resource use.
how can economic growth be encouraged
Investing in education and worker training.
Improving technology and innovation.
Building infrastructure.
Encouraging entrepreneurship and business investment.
Improving productivity.
Using natural resources efficiently.
Formula for CPI
(current basket cost ÷ base year basket cost) × 100
formula of inflation rate
(new cpi - old cpi ÷ old cpi) × 100
spending multiplier

debt to GDP ratio formula
(national debt ÷ GDP ) × 100
GDP formula
consumer spending + government investments + government spending + (exports - exports)
unemployment rate formula
