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Aggregate Demand Curve
The aggregate demand (AD) curve illustrates the relationship
between the price level P and the economy’s demand for final
goods and services Y .
The relationship is inversed
Why, then, does the aggregate demand curve slope
downward and to the right? 3 reasons
1 Real-balances (or wealth) effect
2 Interest rate effect
3 Foreign purchases (or international trade) effect
real-balances effect
says that as the price level
rises, fixed wages have reduced purchasing power. With
lower purchasing power, households may reduce their
purchases, resulting in falling consumption spending.
interest rate effect
says that as the price level rises,
the demand for money rises, resulting in higher interest
rates. Higher interest rates curtail consumption and
investment spending
Foreign purchases effect
says that as the domestic
price level rises relative to foreign price levels (and
exchange rates remain temporarily unchanged), domestic
citizens will buy more foreign goods and fewer domestic
goods, resulting in less demand for domestically produced
goods.
Each of these three effects individually suggests a negative
relationship between the price level P and the economy’s
demand for final goods and services. Taken together, and
barring any other effects, it is clear that the AD curve
should slope downward with respect to Y
Aggregate supply
def: The aggregate supply (AS) curve illustrates the relationship between the economy’s price level P and its production of final goods and services Y .
short run: positive effect (sticky prices & sticky wages) wages are stickier they are an output price. (more on the slides so update)
Long run: price level has no effect because all input and output prices are flexible.
as the price level increases, input prices rise to match higher
output prices. As a result, firm profits are left unchanged
and they desire to produce no more or less.
the natural level of output
is the economy’s output level under normal
circumstances.
The Classical Dichotomy
The notion that real and nominal variables can be evaluated
separately. That is, real variables only affect real variables and
nominal variables only affect nominal variables.
Nominal Variables: Measured in direct monetary units without any adjustment for inflation or changes in the value of money (price level)
Real Variables: Measured in physical units or relative purchasing power in terms of other goods and services ()
the classical dichotomy is rebutted with sticky prices theory.
The factors that shift the AS curves left or right are called?
determinants of aggregate supply
Determinants of aggregate demand
Land (+) (any natural resource) (both)
Labor (+) (both)
Capital Goods (+) (Both)
Entrepreneurial ability (+) (both)
Technology (+) (both)
Input prices (-) (Short run only)
Expected price level (-) (Short run only because it’s a nominal variable)
aggregate supply-aggregate demand model, or AS − AD model, for short
is determined by the intersection of the AD and ASSR curves. The economy’s long run equilibrium is found where AD and ASLR intersect. Each equilibrium is characterized by an equilibrium output level Y ∗ and an equilibrium price level P∗.
Rise in price is called what?
inflation
The Illusion of Government Wealth
The economic fallacy of focusing entirely on visible government projects (like bridges or roads) while completely ignoring the private projects and goods that taxpayers would have created if their money hadn't been taken.
The Risk-to-Reward Distortion
The reduction of entrepreneurial incentive caused by high taxes, where the business creator takes 100% of the risk but is forced to give up a massive percentage of the reward to the state.
Impact on Business Expansion
The drain on private capital that prevents corporations from reinvesting in new machinery, developing new products, or hiring more workers.
Impact on Consumer Demand
The direct reduction of consumer purchasing power, leaving individuals with less money to spend on private-sector goods and services.
The Cost of Bureaucracy
The economic drain represented by the salaries of tax collectors and administrators, which diverts human energy away from wealth production and into wealth redistribution.
The Illusion of Government Credit
The economic fallacy of focusing entirely on the visible farms or businesses saved by state loans while ignoring the invisible, efficient private enterprises that were starved of that same capital.
The Risk-Sharing Distortion
The practice where the state risks the taxpayers' money on high-risk borrowers who cannot secure private financing, forcing the public to bear the losses while the borrower reaps any potential gain.
Private vs. Government Lending Standards
Private lenders risk their own capital and select borrowers based on efficiency and productivity, whereas government lenders use public funds and often prioritize political visibility or social sentimentality.
Impact on Production Efficiency
The economic drag caused by keeping failing or inefficient businesses artificially alive, which traps resources that would otherwise flow to highly productive elements of the economy.
The True Nature of Capital
Hazlitt's reminder that wealth and capital consist of real tangible goods (like a tractor or a factory) rather than tokens of exchange (like paper money or credit lines), which cannot be multiplied simply by issuing a loan.
demand pull inflation
As the economy moves from the original equilibrium to
the new one, the price level increases. This temporary
increase in the price level due to an increase in aggregate
demand is called
A decrease in AD would have the opposite effect and
would result in temporary deflation as the economy moves
from the old equilibrium to the new one
cost-push inflation
When inflation occurs as a result of a decrease in
aggregate supply
Fiscal policy
is the use of government spending and
taxation to influence macroeconomic conditions like real
GDP, unemployment, and inflation.
two basic types of fiscal policy
discretionary and non-discretionary policy.
Non-discretionary policy
occurs without Congressional
action. These policies are passive or automatic. For this
reason, non-discretionary policy is sometimes called an
“automatic stabilizer”.
Programs like unemployment benefits, food stamps, and
Medicaid are considered non-discretionary fiscal policies.
also considered automatic stabilizers because
they prevent large drops in spending as a result of
economic downturns or large increases in spending as a
result of expansions.
Discretionary policy
is changes in government taxing
and spending that occur at the option of the federal
government. Discretionary policy requires a literal act of
Congress with each intervention.
Discretionary fiscal policy is typically promoted by the
U.S. President, often based on the advice of the
President’s Council of Economic Advisers (CEA).
The CEA is comprised of three economists appointed by
the President to advise on economic issues.
Since discretionary policy is more of a one-time use policy,
it can be used to smooth business cycles.
countercyclical fiscal policy.
Many economists argue that fiscal policy should be used
to stimulate the economy when it is doing poorly and to
slow down the economy if there is evidence it is expanding
too rapidly.
expansionary fiscal policy is being used
when government raises spending G and/or cuts taxes T
to combat recession or high unemployment.
Recall that in the AE model, both increases in G and
decreases in T will cause equilibrium output to rise.
As a result, these changes cause the AD curve to shift
right in the AS − AD model.
Because of the spending multiplier, a given change in G
or T will typically have a disproportionately large effect on
equilibrium output.
primary goal of fiscal policy
counter the cyclical business cyclical.
counter cyclical
Short run; real GDP the smoothing of the business cycle
budget deficit.
When the government spends in excess of its tax revenue,
i.e. G > T ,
EX: 2001
budget surplus.
When the government spends less than it collects in tax
revenue, i.e. G < T ,
balanced budget
When the government spends exactly what it collects in tax revenue, i.e. G = T ,
national debt
is the total amount of money the U.S. government owes
Rachet effect (for dept)
recognition lag
is the length of time it takes to realize
real GDP is falling or that intervention is warranted.
min 3 month most 6 months
administrative lag
is the length of time, once
recognized, it takes to implement the appropriate policy
intervention.
weeks-months-never
operational lag
is the length of time required for a
policy’s effects to become evident.
these three lag effects can combine to
sometimes take
12 - 18 months, or possibly longer
Fiscal Policy
the use of government spending and taxation by elected officials to influence a country's macroeconomic conditions, such as aggregate demand, employment, inflation, and economic growth. [1, 2]
Main Types of Fiscal Policy
Expansionary Policy: Involves increasing government spending, lowering taxes, or boosting transfer payments to stimulate demand and fight recessions. This typically leads to or increases a budget deficit. [1, 2, 3]
Contractionary Policy: Involves decreasing government spending or raising taxes to cool down an overheating economy and rein in inflation. This can result in a budget surplus. [1, 2, 3]
Neutral Policy: Maintains a balanced approach where spending roughly equals tax revenue, used when the economy is in a steady state
money is anything that satisfies
three important criteria
Medium of exchange
Store of value
Unit of account
Because money has these properties, it is useful for trade.
It helps overcome the transactions costs of barter and
solves the so-called “double coincidence of wants
Other important characteristics of a good money might
include
Portability
Divisibility
Securability
Durability
Cheap to produce
Difficult to counterfeit
Money can either take the form of
currency or
electronic/digital money.
Currency
is physical money, i.e.
coins and paper money.
Electronic/digital money
is
money that is stored digitally using some kind of
computer system.
fiat money
Because there is no physical commodity like gold or silver
backing the U.S. Dollar, it is sometimes called a
The U.S. permanently ended the gold standard
whereby Federal Reserve Notes were redeemable for gold, in 1973.
token money.
Because the material value of the U.S. Dollar is less than
the face value, it is sometimes called a
money supply
is the overall amount of
money in an economy.
In the U.S. there are three primary measures of the money
supply.
M0
M1
M2
M0
The M0 is the narrowest measure. It is sometimes called
the monetary base and includes currency in circulation
and central bank reserves.
M1
is the standard “narrow” measure of the money
supply. It includes the M0 as well as checkable deposits
and, since May 2020, most demand deposits (i.e. savings
accounts).
M2
is the standard “broad” measure of the money
supply. It includes the M1 as well as several “near monies”
like money market mutual funds and small-denomination
time deposits (CDs).
Near money
is a very liquid asset that is not itself used
as a medium of exchange.
CD: certificates of deposits
Money MRK mutual funds
central bank
is the government institution that creates
money, monitors financial institutions, and conducts
monetary policy.
Since 1935, the Fed has been comprised by three
important “layers”:
12 districts with Federal Reserve Banks
2 A 7-member Board of Governors
3 A 12-member Federal Open Market Committee
main job print fed Reserve Notes
Banks for Banks
Holds Reserves for commercial banks
lend to commercial banks as leaderette of last resort.
The largest and most important district bank is
the New York Federal Reserve Bank in District 2
The Federal Reserve is governed by
the Board of
Governors. There are seven Fed governors
Federal Open Market Committee
The FOMC is comprised of 12 individuals, including the 7
members on the Board of Governors, and 5 of the 12
presidents of Federal Reserve Banks.
The Board of Governors and the president of the New
York Federal Reserve Bank are always on the FOMC. The
other 4 bank presidents rotate on a yearly basis.
Monetary policy
is use of changes in a nation’s money
supply and interest rates to affect macroeconomic
conditions. The Fed has four main tools which is uses to
conduct monetary policy:
1 Open market operations (FOMC)
2 The discount window/rate (BOG)
3 The reserve requirement (BOG)
4 Interest on reserve balances (BOG)