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why do we use IV
when theres an endogeniety problem that we cant solve by controlling for confounders
what creates an upward bias in IV
regression makes it look like the tmt increases outcomes more than it actually does (bc of other effects)
what is needed to satisfy IV
relevance- instrument must be related to tmt variable x
validity- instrument can only affect outcome thru trmt variable x
why do we wnat strong relevance
instrument should have a strong relationship with x bc it creates a larger change in probability of receiving tmt, instrument actually influences tmt decisions, more useful variation in x to est the tmt effect, avoids wak intrument problems
compliers
people who recieve the tmt when theyre encouraged to, but not otherwise
always takers
recieve tmt regardless of instrument
never takers
don’t take the tmt regardless of instrument
defiers
do the opposite of whatever the instruement says
college proximity and earnings IV paper variables and reason for test
x- college attendance
y- earnings
z- growing up near a 4 yr college
needs IV because confounder like ability affects both x and y
relevance of college proximity and earnings IV paper
people are more likely to attend college if its near where they grew up
more poeple around them go to college, costs may be lower
validity in college proximity and earnings IV paper
growing up in a college town shouldn’t affect earnings except through going to college
however, the college town may have better schools or amenities that can affect future earnings
if it is valid, that would mean that growing up near a college or not is as good as random in terms of future earnings =? coefficient for college should give us an unbiased true effect
how to control for better schools/amenities in college proximity and earnings IV paper
control for school quality
what were the results of the college proximity and earnings paper
IV est the effect of college attendance for compliers
Growing up closer to a four-year college increases the likelihood of attending college.
College attendance increases earnings.
early marriage and female schooling in bangledesh variables and reason for test
x- age when married
y- female schooling
z- age of first period
uses IV bc girls who marry early typically come from more conservative or poorer families which could independently affect schooling
relevance of early marriage and female schooling in bangledesh
parents may wish to marry off their daughters young but girls are typically withheld from marriage market until puberty => earlier period can make girls eligible from marriage earlier
validity in early marriage and female schooling in bangledesh
periods are mostly random (genetics and nutrition can influence)
results of early marriage and female schooling in bangledesh
each additional yr that marriage is delayed is assoicated with .22 addition yrs of schooling and 5.6% higher literacy
also associated iwth women using preventive HC services
legally restricting marriages below 17 would inc avg female schooling by 9%
could period age have a direct effect on schooling in early marriage and female schooling in bangledesh
what if conservative fams are more liekly to stop daughters from going to school as soon as htey hit puberty as well as to marry them off young
=> reduction in schooling wouldnt necessarily be bc of early marriage => IV is not valid
when looking at this, they found very small impact of period age on marriage age or education attainment when a girl has many older sisters
women and the plough IV paper variables and reason for test
x- historical plough use
y- contemporary female labor force participation and gender attitudes
z- historical geographical and climatic conditions that made plough agriculture more beneficial
reasons- what if societies that had more unequal gender attitudes already were more likely to use hte plough - we wouldn’t know if hte plough caused gender inequality or the other way around
relevance in women and plough paper
some geopgraphical conditions made ploughing more beneficial
validity in women and plough paper
Geographic and climatic conditions influenced historical plough use, which helps explain differences in contemporary gender roles
results of women and plough paper
plough using socieities have significantly lower contemporary labor fofrce participation by women
both men adn women in plough using socieities report more conservative attitudes - when jobs are scarce, men should have more rights to the job than women, men make better political leaders than women do
how do they study culture v instituions in women and plough paper
culture- long term effect of plough reflects persistent cultural beliefs
instituions- plough use promotes development of institutions that are less conducive to women outside of the home
through second gen immigrants in the US - htey share US institutions and labor makers, but may have beleifs from their home cultures
=> women from cultures htat used the plough have lower labor force particpation in the US
female autonomy in bangladesh paper variables and reaons for testing
x- womens work status/inc
y- womens autonomy
z- agriculture and health shocks
whether an inc in income improves women autonomy in the home and whether this effect is the same for earned v unearned income
reverse causality - women with more barganing power may be more likely to work
confounders- women who are more capable or assertive may be more liklely to earn inc and have greater autonomy
relevance in female autonomy in bangladesh paper using agriculture shock
agriculture shock- if theres a crop failure, female labor may be reallocated
validity- crop failure shouldnt be directly related to autonomy
relevance and validity in female autonomy in bangladesh paper using health shock
relevance- if an elederly fam member got sick, women would withdraw form labor force ot care for them
validity - sickness of a family elder shouldnt directly effect autonomy
results of female autonomy in bangladesh paper
effect of earned inc on women’s barganing power is much greater htna that of unearned income
women who work on HH farm have no more autonomy than those who are housewives, while those who earn independent incomes have much greater autonomy
=> importnace of controlling income, as opposed to contributing to the generation of inc, as a crucial determinant of autonomy
missing women price of tea paper variables and reasons
x- mother inc relative to fathers inc
y- child survival rates/sex rations
z- price of tea relative to orchard crops
families with higher female outcome may differ in culture, prefs, etc, these factors could affect child survival
relevance of missing women price of tea paper
women have a comparative advantage in tea picking and men in orcahrds
=> when the price of increases relative to orchard crops, women’s income inc relative to mens income
validity of missing women price of tea paper
price of tea should only affect child survival thru women’s relative income
migration across areas was controlled, sex determining techs were unavail, no other reason child survival rates should differ
results of missing women price of tea paper
increasing total HH income had no effect on the sex ratio, increasing female income while holding male income constant increases girls survival rates, while inc men income and holding female constant decreased girls survival rates
increasing mothers inc increases education attainment for all children, increasing fathers incom dec education attainment for girls and has no effect on boys
2 key assumptions for RDD
being just above or below the threshold is as good as random (cant manipulate thier position on one side of the cutoff)
no other variable that affects Y changes discontinuously at the threshold
gmas and granddaughters paper question
does an inc in HH cash flow imporve childrens health outomes? does it matter if the money goes to a woman or man
gmas and granddaughters setup
pension scheme in south africa
women are eligible for pensions at age 60, men are eligible at 65
running variable = age of grandparent
tmt- pension eligibility
outcome- childrens nutrition status
results of gmas and granddaughters paper
girls had significantly lower BMI than boys of hte same age
pensions recieved by women increased weight for height of girls by 1/19 standard deviations, but didn’t significantly inc that of boys
pensions recieved by men arent associated iwth importvement int he nutritional status of girls or boys
what is diff in diffs
compares change in outocme for a tmt group with the change in an outcome for a control group
to isolate the effect of the tmt
DiD formula
(Y tmt after - Y tmt before) - (Y control after - Y control before)
change in the tmt group - change in control group
DID outcomes broken up
control before = baseline
treatment before = baseline + selection
control = baseline + (common) trend
treatment after = baseline + selection + trend + treatment effect
DiD with an interaction term, which do we care about
Y= Beta 0 +B1 tmt + B2 after + B3 (tmt x after) + u
beta 3 - shows treatment effect
key assumption of DiD
parallel trends - tmt and control groups shouldve followed parallel trends in the absence of the tmt
unilateral divorce laws paper question and variables
did unilateral divorce laws increase divorce laws
tmt group - states changed to unilateral divorce
control group - states that didnt change/ kept consent divorce
tmt - unilateral divorce law
outcome- divorce rates
results of unilateral divorce laws paper
unilaterla divorce didn’t increase the # of divorces int he long run
hastened divorces in marriages htat wouldve failed anyway
avg duration of marriages therefore declined as a result of hte law
power of the pill paper question and variables
how did access to bc pill affect womens career and marriage decisions
tmt- access to the pull
outcome- marriage timing and womens career
access to the pill increased over time, starting with older cohorts of women who were past hte age of majority
reuslts of power of the pill paper
age of marriage declined over time for the cohorts of women who had access to the pill
fraction of women in professional schools increased
mainly driven by an increase in female applicants
=> access to the pill made it easier for women to delay marriage and invest in educationa nd careers
why is hte unitary HH model unrealistic
the model treats the HH as if it were one person makiing decisions, assumed HH memebrs share the same prefs and act together to maximize one HH objective
what is bargaining within the HH
bargaining is the process thru which HH members negotiated decisions when they have diff prefs
nash bargaining solution
considers what each person would recieve if they reach an agreement, what each person would recieve if htey fail to reach an agreement
outside option
outside of hte fronteir (max possibility of outcome), utility of each person if they dont collab/come to an agreement
why does a better outside option improve the bargaining outcome
Situation A:
A woman has no independent income and relies entirely on her husband. If she disagrees with him, she may have very few alternatives => She has less bargaining power.
Situation B:
The woman earns her own income and has assets she can rely on, She has a more realistic alternative if the marriage agreement is unfavorable, She can negotiate for a larger share of household resources or more influence over decisions.
Therefore, improving women's outside options can improve their bargaining power.
why does the ability to make a counteroffer matter
if someone receives and offer and can’t respond, they may have to walk away or accept an unfavorable agreement
if they can make a counteroffer they can reject an unfair offer, can propose a diferent allocation, have more influence over the final agreement
=> more bargaining power bc they dont need to simply accept or reject the first offer
basic argument for increasing women’s financial resources improvement on social statue within the HH
more resources for women → better outside option → greater bargaining power → more HH influence
can also imrove outomes for children bc women and men can have diff prefs about allocation
female autonomy in bangladesh paper also shows bargaining power bc
Independent earnings provide greater financial control and improve her outside option.
missing women price of tea paper also shows bargaining power bc
The results show that increasing female income improves girls' survival rates, while increasing male income decreases girls' survival rates.
The important idea is that the identity of the person receiving income affects how household resources are allocated.
gma and granddaughter paper also shows bargaining power
This provides evidence that giving resources to women can produce different household outcomes from giving resources to men.
missing women meaning
women who are absent from a population bc of unusually high female mortality resulting form discrimination or unequal access to resources
how does hte breastfeeding paper connect to missing women
son preference combined with breatfeeding as contraception can unintentially increase mortality among girls in India
how did different agriculture methods lead to gender norms
creates diff comparitive advantages
men are more invovled with plough agriculture
women became more focused on HH responsibilities
societies develop a gender division of labor
matrilineal and patriarchical w public goods paper question
Do women supply more public goods than men? Does this differ between matrilineal and patriarchal societies?
two different frames to test matrilineal and patriarchical socities w public goods
positive framing - described benefits of investing in the group
negative framing - described neg effects of individual investment on others
results of two different frames to test matrilineal and patriarchical socities w public goods
less free riders in the matrilineal society
agents in matrilineal society tend ot contribute more to the public good
higher public good provision observed in the matrilineal society is due more to male diffs in giving across societies than to female diffs
in the patriarchal societies, framing matters
matrilineal and patriarchical socities competition paper question
are diffs in competitveness between boys and girls innate or do they develop thru socialization
matrilineal and patriarchical socities competition test
children threw tennis balls into a bucket placed 10 ft away, no gender diffs in ability to perform this task, no gender diffs in ability
could choose between piece rate or tournament pmt
matrilineal and patriarchical socities competition paper takeaway
Comparing boys and girls across patriarchal and matrilineal societies helps researchers investigate whether competitiveness differences are shaped by social context rather than simply being innate.
comparitive advantage in marriage
spouses can maximize joint gains by specializing according to comp adv
this can inc total HH production bc each perosn focuses on what hteyre relatively better suited to doing
downside to comparitive advantage/specizliation in HH
if owmen is specialize in HH work and childcare, htey spend less time wokring outside the home, accumulate less lower earnings, outside option is worse
creates a cycle:
specialization in HH work → less work experience → lower future earnings →worse outside optoin → less bargaining power
inc joint gains but worsen womens bargaining postition in long run
trends from children and gender inequality denmark paper
womens earnings decline after the birth of hteir first child
womens hours worked decline
womens participation rates decline womens wage rates decline
mens outcomes are much less affected
bargaining power in unilateral v mutual consent divorce
mutual consent- spouse who wants tos tay married has more bargaining power bc hte other cant obtain a divroce without agreement
unilateral- spouse who wants a divorce has more bargaining power bc htey can leave without the other spouses consent
=> moving form mutual consent to unilateral divorce shifts bargaining power towards the spouse who wants to leave
why does child marriage lead to worse life outcomes
less schooling, lower human capital worse outside options, worse bargaining power, earlier fertility, higher maternal mortality, worse groom quality
main takeaway for sibling ocmpetition in marriage
sibling competition in arranged marriage markets can cause older girls to marry earlier, sacrificing education and groom quality
what are the four factors causing a decline in fertility
decline in child mortality, decline in child labor, better social security systems, inc in the opporunity cost of mothers time
why does decline in child mortality cause a decline in fertility
when fewer children die, parent may not feel the need to have as many children to achieve thier desired number of surviving children
why does decline in child labor cause a decline in fertility
children ebcome less economically useful as workers, reduces the economic incentive to have many children
why does better social security systems cause a decline in fertility
if parents can rely on social sec during old age, they may depend on less on having many children to support them, reduces the incentive to have a large number of children for financial security
why does an incnrease in opportunity cost of mothers time cause a decline in fertility
if women have better education and career opportunities, having children can involve a greater sacrifice of potential earnings and career advancement
opportunity cost of raising children increases
=> women and HH may choose to have fewer children
how did pill affect womens career and marriage decisions
allowed women to delay marriage, pursue education, invest in careers, enter professional schools
gave women greater certainty regarding the pregnancy consequences of sex
how does breastfeeding affect fertility
reduces post natal fertiltiy
also provides nutrition, protects infants from unsafe or contaminated food and water, reduces exposure to waterborne diseases
how does birth order affect breastfeeding
if a mother wants to have more children, she may stop breastfeeding earlier
older childreen tend to be weaned earlier
breastfeedinf duration increases with birth order
breastfeeding duration increases once dseired number of children has been reached
how does son prefernce affect breastfeeding
if parents want sons they may continue having children until they ahve the desired number of sons
girls who dont have older brothers may be breastfed for a shorter period bc hte parents may want another child sooner
especially important for higher birth order girls
results in breastfeeding fertility
boys are breastfed longer than girls on avg, diff is signficantly greater after the first six months, diff is especially large for hgiher birth order girls iwthout older brothers, child mortality is significantly higher among girls, mortality different is especially high in families without piped water
breastfeeding and missing girls
estimated differences in breastfeeding explain 14% of gender gap in child mortality in India (around 22000)