1/125
Looks like no tags are added yet.
Name | Mastery | Learn | Test | Matching | Spaced | Call with Kai | Chat |
|---|
No analytics yet
Send a link to your students to track their progress
cash flow
the cash received from the firm’s assets must equal the cash flows to the firm’s creditors and stockholders
sunk costs (not considered)
opportunity costs
change in NWC
financing costs (not considered)
taxes
cash flow from assets =
cash flow to creditors + cash flow to stockholders
operating cash flow - net capital spending - change in NWC
fed raises interest rates…
bond prices decrease
bonds with ______ maturity have greater interest rate risk
longer
non-cash assets increase…
cash outflow
liabilities or SE increase…
cash inflow
income statement
sales
(cogs)
(depreciation)
EBIT
(interest)
(tax)
net income
operating cash flow =
EBIT + depreciation - taxes
net capital spending =
(ending NFA - beginning NFA) + depreciation
change in NWC =
ending NWC - beg NWC
net working capital =
current assets - current liabilities
cash flow to creditors =
interest paid - net new borrowing
cash flow to stockholders =
dividends paid - net new equity raised
standalone principle
allows us to analyze each project in isolation from the firm simply by focusing on incremental cash flows
sunk costs
costs that have accrued in the past; don’t consider
opportunity costs
costs of lost options; consider MV
OCF = (EBIT - tax) + depreciation when…
interest expense = 0
liquidity ratios
current ratio
quick ratio
cash ratio
current ratio =
current assets / current liabilities
quick ratio =
(CA - inventory) / CL
cash ratio =
cash / CL
long-term solvency ratios
total debt ratio
debt/equity ratio
equity multiplier
total debt ratio =
(TA-TE)/TA
TD/TA
equity multiplier =
TA/TE
1 + D/E
measure of the firm’s financial leverage
inventory ratio =
COGS/inventory
receivables turnover =
sales/AR
total asset turnover =
sales/TA
measure of the firm’s asset use efficiency; how well does it manage it’s assets
profitability margins
profit margin
return on assets
return on equity
profit margin =
net income / sales
measure of how the firm’s operating efficiency; how well it controls costs
return on assets =
net income / TA
return on equity =
net income / TE
dupont identity
ROE = PM x TAT X EM
risk-return tradeoff
the greater the potential reward, the greater the risk
risk premium
extra return earned for taking a risk
variance
measures the volatility of asset returns
greater volatility = greater uncertainty
SD is the square root of the variance
historical variance =
sum of squared deviations from the mean / n-1
portfolio expected returns
the weighted average of the expected returns for each asset in the portfolio
E(Rp) = weight of each stock x expected return
portfolio variance
σp = square root of sum of probability(Rp - E(Rp))²
σp < sum of weighted σ
the total risk of a combined portfolio is less than the weighted sum of individual asset risks
systematic risk
risk factors that affect a larger number of assets; measured by beta
affects all companies
includes changes in GDP, inflation, interest rates, etc.
aka non-diversifiable risk/market risk
unsystematic risk
risk factors that affect a limited number of assets; diversifiable
unique risk and asset specification
includes labor strikes, part shortages
no risk premium
diversification
not quantity in general but quantity over various industries
can substantially reduce the variability of returns without an equivalent reduction in expected returns
reduction in risk arises because worse than expected returns from one asset are offset by better than expected returns from another
total risk =
systematic risk + unsystematic risk
measured by SD
for a diversified portfolio = systematic risk
systematic risk principle
there is a reward for bearing risk but not a reward for bearing risk unnecessarily
the expected return of a risky asset depends only on that asset’s systematic risk
CAPM/SML
E(R) = Rf + B[E(Rm) - Rf]
representation of market equilibrium
linear relationship between expected return and systematic risk
market beta = 1
beta = 1
asset has the same systematic risk as overall market
expected return of a stock = market return
beta < 1
asset has less systematic risk than overall market
beta > 1
asset has more systematic risk than overall market
reward-to-risk ratio =
E(R) -Rf / B
slope of the SML
above line = undervalued = buy
below line = overvalued = sell
market equilibrium
all assets and portfolios must have the same reward-to-risk ratio and must equal that of the market
same products have the same price
factors affecting expected return
pure time value of money: measured by Rf
reward for bearing systematic risk: measured by MRP
amount of systematic risk: measured by B
stock A is fairly priced →
stock B is a good buy (underpriced) because return is higher with same beta → everyone will buy B → price of B goes up → until E(R) for each is equal
cost of equity (dividend growth model)
Re = (D1/P0) + g
cost of debt
the return that lenders require on a firm’s debt; interest rate
equal to YTM or current market rate
weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
the average rate a company expects to pay to finance operations and assets through a mix of debt and equity
the overall return a firm must earn on its existing assets to maintain value of stock
WACC = E/V(Re) + D/V(Rd)(1-Tc)
weights are targets, not actual
Tc = marginal
firm value increases when WACC decreases
NPV for safe projects (i.e. no risk)
NPV = sum of discounted cash flows - initial cost
NPV for risky projects
NPV = sum of expected discounted cash flows - initial cost
all-equity firm
WACC = Re = R0
accept projects whose IRRs exceed the cost of equity capital
net present value (NPV)
total value or absolute profit of an investment in today's dollars
positive = accept project
estimation of beta
cov(Ri, Rm) / var (Rm)
covariance between stock & market / variance of market
measures the responsiveness of a security to movements in the market
beta =
sum of (stock return - avg stock return)(market return - avg market return) / sum of (market return - avg market return)²
beta of company increases…
Re increases and value of company decreases
factors that can change beta
changes in product line (systematic)
changes in tech (systematic)
deregulation (systematic)
changes in financial statements
if you believe that the operations of the firm are similar to the operations of the industry…
use the industry beta
determinants of beta: cyclicality of revenues
highly cyclical firms = higher B
retailers and car firms fluctuate with business cycle
transportation firms and utilities are less dependent on the business cycle
determinants of beta: operating leverage
measures how sensitive a firm/project is to its FC
increases as FC rises and VC falls
magnifies the effect of cyclicality on B
degree of operating leverage =
(∆EBIT/EBIT) x (Sales/∆Sales)
(∆EBIT/EBIT) / (∆Sales/Sales)
1 + FC/OCF
degree of financial leverage =
(∆net income/net income) / (∆EBIT/EBIT)
if D/E increases…
Bequity increases
if D/E = 0…
all equity firm and Bequity = Basset (unlevered B)
financial leverage
the extent to which a firm relies on debt
Bequity =
BUL (1+ D/E)
increases with financial leverage
reflects the systematic risk of a company’s existing assets and past financial choices
firm valuation
the value of the firm is the PV of expected future (distributable) cash flows discounted at the WACC
equity value =
firm value - debt
authorized shares
the number of authorized shares is stated in the articles of incorporation
issued and outstanding
issued and not outstanding: treasury shares (buy back shares)
amount paid when shares are sold =
capital surplus + par value
capital surplus
refers to amounts of directly contributed equity capital in excess of par value; increases BV of equity
par value
face value assigned to a single share by a company's founders when it is first created
book equity =
par value + capital surplus + RE - cost of treasury shares
where RE = beg RE + net income - dividends
book value
backward looking measure that tells us how much capital the firm has raised from shareholders in the past
doesn’t measure the value that shareholders place on those shares today
market value
forward looking measure that depends on the future dividends that shareholders expect to receive
MV of equity = shares outstanding X current market price
difference between BV and MV =
market value added
min votes to guarantee =
(total shares / directors + 1) +1
total votes =
shares owned X number of directors
straight voting
you get one vote per share for each individual seat up for election
ex. 100 votes for seat A, 100 votes for seat B…
majority = (shares/1) +1 = 51%
cumulative voting
your total votes are multiplied by the number of open seats and you can distribute them any way you want
can assign all votes to one person (pool)
allows minority shareholders to concentrate their votes on one person
straggered election
only a fraction of the directors are up for election in any given year
voting by proxy
legally assigning your voting rights to another party (often management)
dual class stocks
stocks with different voting right for management to security control
other shareholder rights
right to share in assets in liquidation after all bills are paid
right to vote in major corporate decisions (ex. M&A)
rights to share proportionally in dividends (optional and paid at discretion of the board; NOT tax deductible)
debenture
unsecured corporate debt, typically of long maturity
bond
secured corporate debt (terms are often not used precisely)
note
unsecured debt with a maturity of under 10 years
senior debt
paid first in bankruptcy
junior/substantial debt
paid after senior debt in bankruptcy; higher return
secured debt
collateralized by an identifiable asset
callable debt
debt can be repurchased by the firm at a fixed price (the call price), if they so choose after a period of call protection
indenture agreement
legal agreement specifying the rules of the game between the firm and the lender, often includes covenants limiting actions that may harm debt holder
WACC with preferred stock
WACC = D/V(Rd)(1-Tc) + E/V(Re) + E/V(Rp)
where Rp = dividend/price of preferred stock
preferred stock
an equity claim that must be paid dividend before common shareholders
dividend amount is fixed (just like bond) but paid at the discretion of the board
typically no voting rights but awarded voting rights if dividend is not paid
have equal claim to the stated value of the shares in bankruptcy
not deductible against corporate income
only have to pay tax on 30% of dividend
suggested pecking order for financing
internal funds (retained earnings)
issue new debt (less sensitive to info asymmetry)
issue equity as last resort