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Hypothesis testing steps
Theory
Develop hypothesis
Research
Analysis
Interpretation
Theory
A good personality theory should satisfy description, explanation, empirical validity, testable concepts, comprehensive, parsimony, heuristic value, applied value
Description
A theory should bring order to the complexity of the identified variables.
It should help to simplify, identify and clarify the important issue.
Explain
A theory should help in understanding the āwhyā of behaviour. Does the theory provide a convincing
explanation of commonly observed behaviours? Does the theory explain how and why individual differences in
behaviour occur?
Empirical validity
A good theory will generate predictions that can be empirically tested and shown to be valid. Can it predict
future events or behaviour in particular situations?
Testable concepts
Can concepts included within the theory can be operationalised so that they can be tested.
⢠āOperationalisedā
Operationalised
can the concept be defined precisely enough to enable it to be reliably measured? Poorly defined concepts are difficult to measure!
Comprehensiveness
A good theory should be able to encompass and explain a wide variety of behaviour.
It is unlikely that a personality theory will explain all behaviour.
Parsimony
A good theory should be economical ā enough concepts to adequately capture the data and their relationships
Too many concepts and ideas = not parsimonious
Too few concepts to explain the data adequately = too parsimonious
Heuristic value
A good theory stimulates interest and research in an area
Sometimes, a theory may create enormous interest but have little substance.
Applied value
What is the practical usefulness of the theory.
Changes/contributions to knowledge, approaches to problem solving, changes in the environment
Generating a hypothesis
A hypothesis is a well-reasoned, testable explanation/prediction that is proposed in response a particular research question
Well-reasoned = based in theory, sometimes on past empirical literature
Testable = can be tested empirically through research (confirmed or disproved)
Is clear and specific to certain variables
Generating a hypothesis example
Research question: Letās say you were interested in the psychological harms of social media use. You hypothesise that those who use social media extensively will report higher social anxiety and a lower overall sense of psychological well being.
⢠Well-reasoned = you would need to consult the extant literature for supporting theory and empirical data
⢠Testable = can be tested through a research study (most likely a correlational survey)
⢠Clear and specific
Prior to conducting research you have to think about
What type of data to collect
Research design and methods
Conceptualisation and operationalisation of testable concepts
Types of data
Life
Observer
Test
Self
Quantitative
Qualitative
Life data (L-data)
Life history/records (e.g., school records of performance, health records, criminal records)
Observer data (O-data)
Observing the target individual (e.g., family completing questionnaire about target)
⢠e.g., at school, home, work
Test data (T-data)
Obtained from experimental tasks
Self data (S-data)
Self-report (e.g., completion of personality questionnaire)
Quantitative data
numerical values
Qualitative data
written or verbal responses
Research designs
Case studies
Correlational
Experiments
Meta-analysis
Idiographic approach
Emphases the uniqueness of individuals
develops an in-depth understanding of the individual
Qualitative methodologies to produce case studies mainly
Interviews, diaries, narratives, treatment of session data
Advantages ā depth of understanding of the individual
Disadvantages ā Can be difficult to make generalisations from the data
Nomothetic approach
Focuses on similarities between groups of individuals. Individuals are unique only in the way their traits combine
To identify the basic structure of personality and the minimum number of traits required to describe personality universally
Quantitative methods
explore the structure of personality
produce measures of personality
explore the relationships between variables across groups
self-report personality questionnaires
Advantagesā discovery of general principle that have a predictive function
Disadvantage ā can lead to a fairly superficial understanding of any on person. Training needed to analyse personality profiles accurately
Case studies
Descriptive evaluation of one individual (sometimes more)
In-depth analysis, can capture the complexities of human personality
Idiographic
Usually qualitative data is collected, though may include some quantitative assessment
Case studies weaknesses
Generalisation issues
Cannot determine cause-and-effect
Subjective interpretation
Case Study strengths
Rich, meaningful insight
Sometimes other methods are not appropriate
Can help to generate hypotheses
Useful for rare cases, to illustrate treatment (clinical significance)
Correlational research
No intervention or manipulation from the researcher/s ā simply measuring psychological concepts and behaviours
Self-report measures
Objective measures
Cross-sectional (taken at a particular point in time), longitudinal (across time)
Correlational research tells us about the relationship/association between variables
Correlational research data analysis
Test association of correlations and regression. Correlation does not equal causation.
Correlation coefficient
tells us about the strength of a linear relationship between two
variables
Direction: positive or negative
Range from -1 to +1
Size: Small, moderate, strong
Multiple regression
analyses enables us to determine which variable, or variables (from
those included in a model), best āpredictā a dependent variable
How to ensure correlational studies measure the right thin
But we can try and control for the effects of other extraneous (confounding) factors
Matching groups
Exclusion criteria
Statistical control in data analyses
Correlational weaknesses
No cause and effect
issues of validity/reliability
lack of depth
Correlational strengths
Can study many different variables
tells us about relationships
large samples
Experiments
the effects of an independent variable on a dependent variable in a controlled experimental context
Experiments data analysis
statistical approach, data analysis examples include t-test, ANOVA
values of central tendency ā means, standard deviations
Statistical significance ā p< .05 (alpha)
Experiments strengths
cause and effect
objective
manipulation of variables
Weaknesses of experiments
Artificial ā generalisation issues
Demand characteristics/experimenter expectancy effects
Excludes that which cannot be examined experimentally (where random assignment may not be ethical)
Meta-analysis
A statistical process which is performed to examine the overall relationship
between two variables across MANY studies.
Conceptualising and operationalising
Prior to conducting research, we must conceptualise and operationalise (define and measure) important/key variables
General criteria
Clear instructions for administration
Important for all tests but especially for standardised tests of, for example,
intelligence
Economical to administer, score and interpret
Timeliness
Measures what it purports to
Reliability
The extent to which measurements deriving from a particular measure/tool can be replicated
Internal reliability
Are all aspects of a scale measuring the same thing?
tems should be inter-correlated
Assessed by Cronbachās alpha statistic
Test-retest reliability
s the measure reliable over time?
Alternate-forms (reliability)
Does the measure produce consistent results when presented in two different forms?
Inter-rater reliability
Compute the correlations between sets of scores
Cohenās Kappa / Kendallās coefficient of concordance
Validity
The extent to which a test/tool measures what it is designed to measure.
In order to be valid, a test must be reliable; but reliability does not guarantee validity
Content validity
Content validity is defined as the degree to which the content of a scale/measure/instrument adequately reflects the construct being measured
Examples of constructs are self-esteem, depression, sensation seeking
Items in the instrument need to represent the entire range of possible items
Face validity:
Does the measure look like it measures what it is designed to measure?
Without good content validity, wrong conclusions can be drawn about an outcome that is measured
Criterion validity
Evaluates how accurately a scale/measure/instrument measures a specific outcome by comparing its results to a recognised āgold standardā measure.
ā¢Does the test correlate with a particular criterion?
Predictive and concurrent
Predictive validity
Test predicts future criterion (e.g., ATAR [predictor variable] predicts university results at end of first year [criterion]
Concurrent validity
Measures of test and criterion taken at same point in time (e.g., measure of
depression [predictor] and current diagnosis of depression [criterion])
Construct validity
The extent of which scores on a particular scale/measure/instrument relate to other measures in a theoretically consistent way.
⢠Convergent validity
⢠Discriminant validity
⢠Incremental validity
Convergent validity
Correlation with other tests designed to measure the same construct.
Discriminant validity
Test does not correlate with another test that it should differ from (measures something unique)
Incremental validity
he extent to which a proposed test provides unique information about a construct
relative to that which is already explained by other related constructs
Sources of invalidity
Unreliability
Response sets
psychological orientation or bias towards answering in a particular way:
acquiescence
social desirability
faking bad
Bias
bias in measurement
bias in prediction
Standardisation
Standardised tests are:
administered under uniform conditions
scored objectively
designed to measure relative performance
The standardisation (normative) sample should be representative of the target population
Norms
Norm Referenced Testing and Assessment:
⢠Method of evaluation and deriving meaning from test scores by evaluating an individualās score and comparing it to a group of test takers.
Types of norms:
⢠Percentiles ā an expression of the percentage of people whose score on a test falls below a particular raw score.
⢠Age norms ā average performance of different samples of test takers who were at various ages at the time the test was taken.
Types of psychological tests
Personality, intelligence, mental health, behavioural
Applications
Screening
Presence and severity of certain symptoms
Diagnosis
Evaluation
Placement and intervention
Team building
Career counselling and job placement