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What is PV?
-Stands for present value
-Represents the idea that money changes value over time
What causes PV to change to FV?
Inflation/deflation
Opportunity cost
What is discount rate?
The rate that converts FV to PV; the rate at which money changes value
What is risk-free rate?
The baseline return of zero-risk assets (ie. US Treasuries); what you know you will grow by (aka the absolute floor)
PV= ???
FV/(1+discount rate)^time
What is IRR?
-Internal Rate of Return
-The discount rate that makes the net present value (NPV) equal to 0
How do you interpret IRR?
-You must compare it to something else, like the risk free return/discount rate or a hurdle rate
-It is used when you have two options you want to compare
-Look at whether it’s more than, equal to, or less than (more than means the investment is a good idea)
What is CAGR?
-Compound average growth rate
-The interest rate at which an investment grows
-Ignores all in-between values and volatility
-Best for long-term comparison (aka think in years, not quarters or months)
CAGR= ???
(finial value/initial value)^(1/time)-1
What is AAPC?
-Average annual percentage change
-Compares the returns year by year
-Used to compare yearly averages and their volatility
AAPC= ???
AVERAGE(final value-initial value/initial value)
What’s the rule of 70?
-The time it takes to double
-70/growth rate
Monte Carlo Simulations (MC Sims) are used when and are made up of what two steps?
-Solve problems where there is a chance process (stochastic)
Data generating process (DGP)
Repeated random sampling
What is Adam Smith known for?
-Invisible hand and free market
-Supply and demand
-The Wealth of Nations (book)
What is Karl Marx known for?
-Communism
-Inequality leads to a class struggle which causes instability that hurts the economy
-Tradeoff between efficiency and equity; incentives and innovation
What is John Meynard Keynes known for?
-Visible hand
-Fiscal and monetary policy
Compare Robert Lucas’ economic theory with Paul Samuelson’s
-Lucas believes the invisible hand and free market are still the best solution to a recession because people are too smart to invest in a bad economy
-Samuelson believes that a combination of both invisible hand (Smith, Lucas) and visible hand (Keynes) is best for the health of economy