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Proximate v. Fundamental Causes of Economic Growth
The immediate factors that directly affect output, such as capital, labor, and technology
Solow Growth Model
A model of economic growth developed by Rober Solow that explains long-run growth
Y = f(A, K, L)
Y = total output, A = technology K = capital, L = labor
Theory
A systematic explanation of how and why something occurs
Theory of Convergence
The idea that poorer countries should grow faster than richer countries
Conditional Convergence
Countries converge toward similar income levels only if they have similar characteristics
Luck, Culture, Geography, Institutions
Luck - random historical events shape outcomes
Culture - Social norms and values affect economic behavior
Geography - Climate, resources, disease environment, and location
Institutions - Rules and incentives that govern economic and political activity
Institutions and Incentives
Institutions are the formal and informal rules governing society
Incentives - influence decisions about Investment, Innovation, Education, Entrepreneurship
Property Rights and Bankruptcy Law as Good Institutions
Property Rights - Protect ownership of assets, encouraging investment and innovation
Bankruptcy Law - Allows businesses to fail without permanently ruining entrepreneurs, encouraging risk-taking and entrepreneurship
Exogenous and Endogenous Variables
Exogenous - Determined outside the model and treated as given
Endogenous - Determined within the model
Settler Mortality and Institutions
Places where European settlers faced high mortality rates tended to receive extractive institutions
Institutions Rule!
Differences in economic prosperity are primarily caused by differences in institutions
North and South Korea as a Natural Experiment about Institutions
After WWII, Koreas were divided:
North Korea - Central planning, state ownership, weak economic incentives
South Korea - Markets, private property, stronger economic incentives
Reversal of Fortune
Regions that were rich around 1500 are no longer rich
Economic Resource Curse
The paradox that countries rich in natural resources often experience slower economic growth, weaker industrialization, and poorer development outcomes than countries with fewer resources
Political Resource Curse
The tendency for resource wealth to weaken political institutions by:
Reducing government accountability
Encouraging corruption
Strengthening authoritarian rule
Increasing conflict over resource revenues
Dutch Disease
An economic phenomenon in which a natural resource boom causes:
Increased foreign currency inflows
Appreciation of the domestic currency
Reduced competitiveness of manufacturing and other export sectors
Currency Appreciation
An increase in the value of a country’s currency relative to other currencies
The 2000s Commodity Boom and Canadian Exports
During the 2000s, rising global demand, especially from China, increased prices for Canadian oil, gas, and minerals
Enclave Economies
Economic sectors, usually resource industries, that operate largely isolated from the rest of the domestic economy
Spillovers
Benefits from one sector that spread to other parts of the economy
Deteriorating Terms of Trade
A situation where the prices of a country’s exports fall relative to the prices of its imports
Import-Substitution Industrialization
A development strategy aimed at reducing dependence on foreign goods by promoting domestic production
Price Volatility
Frequent and unpredictable changes in commodity prices
Boom and Bust Cycles
Economic fluctuations caused by sharp increases and decreases in commodity prices
Solutions to the Economic Resource Curse
Sterilizing Currency, subsidies, and savings
Political Myopia
The tendency of politicians to focus on short-term political gains rather than long-term national interests
Nationalization
The transfer of private assets or industries into government ownership
Fiscal Contract
The relationship between taxation and accountability
Alaska Permanent Fund
A sovereign wealth fund established in Alaska in 1976
Rentier State
A state that receives a large portion of its income from external rents, especially natural resource revenues
Accountability
Citizens are more likely to hold governments accountable when they clearly perceive government revenues as belonging to the public
Feelings of Government Budget Ownership
Citizens view public revenues and government spending as “their money”
Corruption
The abuse of entrusted public or private power for personal gain
Principal-Agent Relationship between Truster and Trustee/Fiduciary
A relationship in which a principal (truster) delegates authority or resources to an agent (trustee/fiduciary)
Grand v. Petty Corruption
Grand Corruption: High-level corruption involving senior politicians or officials, often affecting major policies, contracts, or large sums of money
Petty Corruption: Small-scale corruption involving lower-level bureaucrats, such as bribes for routine government services
Rents and Rent-Seeking
Rents: Economic returns above what would be earned in a competitive market
Rent-Seeking: Efforts to obtain those excess returns through political influence or manipulation of regulations rather than productive activity
Expert, Firm, and Household Surveys
Expert: Ask specialists to rate corruption levels
Firm: Ask businesses about bribery
Household: Ask citizens about direct experiences
Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index
Brazilian Municipal Government Audits
Corruption and the Solow Growth Model
Corruption as “Greasing the Wheels” / “Speed Money”
Information Hypothesis v. Trade-off Hypothesis
Research Design for Ferraz and Finan (2008)
Income Level, Business regulation, and Media freedom and corruption
Research Design for Boas, Hidalgo, and Melo
Competing Results in Boas, Hidalgo, and Melo and the Work of Weitz-Shaprio and Winters
Ethnic Fractionalization
Public Goods
Primordialism v. Constructed Identities
Chewas and Tumbukas in Malawi and Zambia
Behavioral Games
The Dictator Game
Different Preferences, Taste for Discrimination, Efficacy, Findability, and Strategy Selection in Habyarimana et al.
Punishment and Cooperation
Print Technology, Cash Crops, and Identity