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real GDP per capita
real GDP/population
measures living standard
real GDP per worker
Y/L
measures productivity
Rule of 70
estimate of how many years it takes for a variable to double
70/annual growth rate of variable
K
physical capital
man made productive assets (does not include natural resources)
ex.) factories, houses, equipment, roads
H
human capital
knowledge and skills of workforce
ex.) education, on the job training
T
technology
knowledge available for use in production
ex.) touchscreen, just in time production
aggregate production function
Y/L = T x (K/L)^0.4 x (H/L)^0.6
diminishing returns
holding H/L and T constant, increase productivity will get smaller as a worker gets more physical capital
growth accounting
look at contribution of K/L, H/L, and T to productivity growth
total factor productivity
contribution of T in productivity growth
higher TFP means K and H are being used more efficiently, so output per worker rises
catch up effect
due to diminishing returns, poor countries tend to grow more rapidly than rich ones
conditional convergence
faster growth is possible only if poor countries are able to increase K, H, and T simutaneously
promoting sustained growth
political stability
protection of property rights
various policies aimed at increasing K, H, and T ex.) infrastrucure, education, basic research, savings
savings - Investment Spending Identity
an accounting fact for a closed economy, S=I
based on GDP
standing between S and I is the financial system
GDP - C - G = I
national savings
GDP - C -G
private + government
private savings
GDP - T - C
government savings
T - G
budget balance
T > G, budget surplus
T < G, budget deficit
T = G, balanced budget
investment spending
spending on new physical capital
increases amount of physical capital in economy
making an investment
buying something for possible future gains
does not always create new capital for the economy
demand for loanable funds
demand slopes down
demand at each r, how much L.F. will be borrowed
supply for loanable funds
supply slopes upward
comes from private savings
at each r, how much L.F. is saved
market equilibrium
at the right r, Qsaved = Qborrowed
r too high, surplus
r too low, shortage
change in supply
changes in private savings ex.) consumer sentiment, tax policy toward savings
savings from abroad flows in and out
change in demand
changes in perceived business opportunity ex.) business confidence, new tech, tax policy towards investment
change in government borrowing
crowding out
drive up interest rate and reduce private investment
budget deficit
increases demand for loanable funds, shifting demand curves out
financial intermediary
a financial institution through which savers indirectly provide funds to borrowers
financial market
a “place” where savers directly provide funds to borrowers
bond
legal promise to repay a debt
bond issuer
borrower (gov., non-profit, firms)
bondholder
lenders
default risk
bond issuers fail to repay interest and principal as promised
stock
a claim to partial ownership to a firm
issuer
firms
stockholders
can vote on certain decisions
receive dividend for each share they own
primary market
where bonds and stocks are sold for the first time by issuers
ex.) IPO, sale of new treasury bond
money raised in market goes to issuers
secondary market
where previously issued bonds and stocks are traded among investors
ex.) NYSE, OTC market for treasury bond
issuers do not raise new money from market
reducing transaction costs
expenses involved in making a transaction
risk
uncertainty of future income
risk averse
dont want to take risk
providing liquidity
how easy an asset can be turned into cash without much loss of value
cash > deposits > bonds/stocks > physical assets
future value
invest money now at a rate of r for N years
X * (1 + r)^N
present value
current value of a future sum of money at a specified interest rate
X / (1 + r)^N
NPV
= PV of revenue - PV of costs
good news
firm deemed more profitable, demand for shares go up, stock prices go up
bad news
firm deemed less profitable, demand for shares go down, stock prices go down
central bank action
Fed decides to cut benchmark rate, stock prices rise
interest rate on bonds
bonds offer lower interest rate, stock more attractive, stock prices rise