2026 Contested House Races

AL-02

• Rep. Shomari Figures (D-incumbent)

• State Rep. Rhett Marques (R)

• **Redistricted to favor GOP

• Rated: Likely Republican

AK-AL

• Rep. Nick Begich (R-incumbent)

• Fisherman Bill Hill (I)

• Rated: Likely Republican

AZ-01

• Rep. David Schweikert (R) ran for governor

• Sportscaster Jay Feely (R)

• Former state Rep. Amish Shah (D)

• Biden carried in ‘20, Trump in ‘24

• Rated: Lean Democrat

AZ-02

• Rep. Eli Crane (R)

• Former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez (D)

• Rated: Likely Republican

AZ-06

• Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R)

• Marine veteran JoAnna Mendoza (D)

• One of the most evenly divided districts in country

• Rated: Toss-Up

CA-13

• Rep. Adam Gray (D)

• Former Stockton Mayor Kevin Lincoln (R)

• Gray flipped by 200 votes in ‘24, more favorable map under Prop 50

• Rated: Lean Democrat

CA-21

• Rep. Jim Costa (D)

• Casino executive Kyle Kirkland (R)

• District shifted left under Prop 50

• Rated: Likely Democrat

CA-22

• Rep. David Valadao (R)

• Visalia Unified School District Trustee Randy Villegas (D)

• Redistricted to be Trump +2

• Rated: Toss-Up

CA-45

• Rep. Derrick Tran (D)

• Former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo (R)

• Redrawn to be Harris +4

• Rated: Likely Democratic

CA-48

• Rep. Darrell Issa (R) retiring

• San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond (R)

• San Diego City Council member Marni Von Wilpert (D)

• Went Trump +15 to Harris +3

• Rated: Lean Democratic

CO-03

• Rep. Jeff Hurd (R)

• Army veteran Dwayne Romero (D)

• Rated: Likely Republican

CO-05

• Rep. Jeff Crank (R)

• Army veteran Jessica Killin (D)

• Rated: Lean Republican

CO-08

• Rep. Gabe Evans (R)

• State Rep. Manny Rutinel (D)

• Rated: Toss-Up

FL-07

• Rep. Corey Mills (R) was primaried

• Former News Anchor Ryan Elijah (R)

• Navy veteran Bale Dalton (D) 

• Looking better for GOP w/o Mills

• Rated: Likely Republican

FL-09

• Rep. Darren Soto

• Navy veteran Dan Green (R)

• New lines Trump +18

• Rated: Likely Republican

FL-13

• Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R)

• Army veteran Leela Gray (D)

• Rated: Lean Republican

FL-14

• Rep. Kathy Castor (D)

• Former state Rep. Mike Beltran (R)

• New district is Trump +11

• Rated: Toss-Up

FL-22

• Rep. Lois Frankel (D) seeking relection in FL-23 after redraw 

• Marine veteran Casey Askar (R) 

• Tech executive Pia Dandiya (D) 

• Redraw Trump +11

• Rated: Toss-Up

FL-25

• Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D)

• Former Boca Raton Mayor (R)

• Rated: Toss-Up

FL-27

• Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R)

• Former CBS Miami anchor Eliott Rodriguez (D)

• Rated: Lean Republican

IN-01

• Rep. Frank Mrvan (D)

• Porter County Commissioner Barb Regnitz (R)

• Rated: Likely Democrat

IA-01

• Rep. Marionette Miller-Meeks (R)

• Former state Rep. Christina Bohannan (D)

• MMM won by 800 votes 2024

• Rated: Toss-Up

IA-02

• Rep. Ashley Hinson (R) running for Senate 

• Former state Rep. Joe Mitchell (R) 

• State Rep. Lindsay James (D) 

• Rated: Lean Republican

IA-03

• Rep. Zach Nunn (R)

• State Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott (D)

• Nunn won by +4 in 2024

• Rated: Toss-Up

KY-06

• Rep. Andy Barr (R) running for Senate

• Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado (R)

• Attorney Zach Dembo (D)

• Rated: Likely Republican

ME-02

• Rep. Jared Golden (D) retiring 

• Former Gov. Paul LePage (R)

• State Auditor Matt Dunlap (D)

• Trump +9

• Rated: Likely Republican

MI-04

• Rep. Bill Huizenga (R)

• State Sen. Sean McCann (D)

• Rated: Lean Republican

MI-07

• Rep. Tom Barrett (R)

• Sunrise Movement co-founder Will Lawrence (D)

• *Other big DSA test

• Rated: Toss-up

MI-08

• Rep. Kristen McDonald-Rivet (D)

• Engineer Thomas Smith (R)

• HMP canceling ad resy

• Rated: Likely Democrat

MI-10

• Rep. John James (R-10) running for governor

• Army veteran Mike Bouchard (R)

• Attorney Christina Hines (D)

• Rated: Toss-Up

MN-01

• Rep. Brad Finstad (R)

• Teacher Jake Johnson (D)

• Rated: Likely Republican

MN-02

• Rep. Angie Craig (D) lost the Democratic primary for Senate

• State Sen. Eric Pratt (R)

• Former state Sen. Matt Little (D)

• Rated: Likely Democrat

MT-01

• Rep. Ryan Zinke (R) retiring 

• Army veteran Aaron Flint (R)

• Smokejumper Sam Forstag (D)

• Rated: Lean Republican

NC-01

• Rep. Don Davis (D)

• Retired Army colonel Laurie Buckhout (R)

• **Most vulnerable House Dem

• New map Trump +12

• Rated: Lean Republican

NC-11

• Rep. Chuck Edwards (R) suspended his reelection campaign over SA misconduct allegations 

• State Rep. Jennifer Balkcom (R)

• Farmer Jamie Ager (D)

• Rated: Toss-Up

NE-02

• Rep. Don Bacon (R) retiring

• Omaha City Councilman Brinker Harding (R)

• Political consultant Denise Powell (D)

• Harris +5

• Rated: Lean Democrat

NH-01

• Rep. Chris Pappas (D) running for Senate 

• Developer Anthony DiLorenzo (R)

• Former Portsmouth City Councilor Stefany Shaheen (D)

• Rated: Likely Democrat

NJ-07

• Rep. Tom Kean Jr. (R)

• Former Navy helicopter pilot Rebecca Bennett (D)

• Trump +1

• Rated: Lean Democrat

NJ-09

• Rep. Nellie Pou (D)

• Clifton City Councilwoman Rosie Pino (R)

• Rated: Likely Democrat

NM-02

• Rep. Gabe Vasquez (D)

• Former police officer Greg Cunningham (R)

• Trump +2

• Rated: Lean Democrat

NV-01

• Rep. Dina Titus (D)

• State Sen. Carrie Buck (R)

• Rated: Likely Democrat

NV-02

• Rep. Mark Amodei (R) retiring 

• 2024 NV-04 candidate David Flippo (R)

• Former state Rep. Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D)

• Rated: Likely Republican

NV-03

• Rep. Susie Lee (D)

• Musical composer Marty O'Donnell (R)

• Trump +1

• Rated: Lean Democrat

NV-04

• Rep. Steven Horsford (D)

• Rancher Cody Whipple (R)

• Rated: Likely Democrat

NY-03

• Rep. Tom Suozzi (D)

• Former state Assemblyman Mike LiPetri (R)

• Rated: Lean Democrat

NY-04

• Rep. Laura Gillen (D)

• Hempstead receiver of taxes Jeanine Driscoll (R)

• Rated: Lean Democrat

NY-17

• Rep. Mike Lawler (R)

• Former CISA official Cait Conley (D)

• Rated: Toss-Up

NY-19

• Rep. Josh Riley (D)

• State Sen. Peter Oberacker (R)

• Rated: Likely Democrat

NY-21

• Rep. Elise Stefanik (R) retiring

• Businessman Anthony Constantino (R)

• Dairy farmer Blake Gendebien (D)

• Rated: Likely Republican

OH-01

• Rep. Greg Landsman (D)

• Former CIA officer Eric Conroy (R)

• Trump +2 after redistricting

• Rated: Lean Democrat

OH-07

• Rep. Max Miller (R)

• Rep. Brian Poindexter (D)

• Rated: Toss-Up

OH-09

• Rep. Marcy Kaptur (D)

• Former state Rep. Derek Merrin (R)

• Trump +11 after redistricting

• Rated: Toss-up

OH-10

• Rep. Mike Turner (R

• Air Force veteran Kristina Knickerbocker (D)

• Trump +6 to+8

• Rated: Likely Republican

OH-13

• Rep. Emilia Sykes (D)

• Radio host Carey Coleman (R)

• Rated: Likely Democrat

OH-15

• Rep. Mike Carey (R)

• Professor Don Leonard (D)

• Rated: Likely Republican

PA-01

• Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R)

• Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie (D)

• Harris won

• Rated: Likely Republican

PA-07

• Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R)

• state firefighters union president Bob Brooks (D)

• One of most vulnerable GOP incumbents

• Rated: Toss-Up

PA-08

• Rep. Rob Bresnahan (R)

• Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti (R)

• Rated: Toss-Up

PA-10

• Rep. Scott Perry (R)

• Former news anchor Janelle Stelson (D)

• Rated: Toss-up

SC-01

• Rep. Nancy Mace (R) ran for governor

• Charleston County Councilwoman Jenny Honeycutt (R)

• Retired Navy vice admiral Nancy Lacore (D)

• Rated: Likely Republican

TX-09

• Rep. Al Green (D) redistricted 

• Army veteran Alex Mealer (R)

• Commuity organizer Leticia Gutierrez (D)

• Rated: Likely Republican

TX-15

• Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R)

• Singer Bobby Pulido (D)

• Rated: Toss-Up

TX-23

• Rep. Tony Gonzales (R) resigned, suspended his bid

• Firearm manufacturer Brandon Herrera (R)

• Attorney Katy Padilla Stout (D)

• Rated: Likely Republican

TX-28

• Rep. Henry Cuellar (D)

• Webb County Judge Tano Tijerina (R)

• Rated: Lean Democrat

TX-34

• Rep. Vicente Gonzalez (D)

• Army Veteran Eric Flores (R)

• One of the most competitive, district swung to the right

• Rated: Toss-Up

TX-35

• Rep. Greg Casar (D) running in TX-37 after redistricting

• Air Force Veteran Carlos De La Cruz (R)

• Bexar County Deputy Sheriff Johnny Garcia (D)

• Rated: Lean Republican

VA-01

• Rep. Rob Wittman (R)

• Henrico County Commonwealth’s Attorney Shannon Taylor (D)

• One place Harris outperformed Biden

• Rated: Lean Republican

VA-05

• Rep. John McGurie (R)

• Former Rep. Tom Perriello (D)

• Rated: Likely Republican

WA-03

• Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)

• State Senate Minority Leader John Braun (R)

• Rated: Toss-Up

WI-01

• Rep. Bryan Steil (R)

• Veterans Affairs nurse Mitchell Berman (D

• Rated: Lean Republican

WI-03

• Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R)

• 2024 nominee Rebecca Cooke (D

• Rated: Toss-up