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Estimating Parameters
Estimating a population value using information from a sample.
Population Parameter
A characteristic/value of a population, such as the population mean (μ) or population standard deviation (σ).
μ (mu)
The population mean.
σ (sigma)
The population standard deviation.
M
The sample mean.
s
The sample standard deviation; it is used to estimate the population standard deviation σ when σ is unknown.
Sample Mean Formula
M = ΣX / N
N
The number of scores/observations in the sample.
Population Standard Deviation
An exact measure of the spread of scores in a population, represented by σ.
Sample Standard Deviation
The estimate of the population standard deviation, represented by s.
Why do we use N − 1 for the sample standard deviation?
The sample standard deviation typically underestimates the population standard deviation because samples usually have less spread than the population.
Sample Standard Deviation Formula
s = √[Σ(X − M)² / (N − 1)]
X
An individual score/value in the sample.
X − M
The deviation of an individual score from the sample mean.
Σ(X − M)²
The sum of all squared deviations from the sample mean.
Degrees of Freedom (df)
The amount of information that is free to vary in a statistic.
General Degrees of Freedom Formula
df = N − number of parameters estimated in calculating the statistic.
Degrees of Freedom for s
df = N − 1
Why is df = N − 1 for s?
Because the sample mean is estimated when calculating s, which effectively locks one score/value.
What happens as degrees of freedom increase?
The sampling distribution increasingly approximates the ideal distribution; for the mean, it increasingly approximates the z distribution.
Z Distribution
The ideal/reference distribution that the t distribution increasingly resembles as degrees of freedom become large.
Why does the t test use a different distribution than the z test?
The t statistic is an approximation of the ideal z statistic because the population standard deviation σ is unknown and must be estimated with s.
Single Sample t Test
A test used to determine whether a sample is significantly different from a population when the population standard deviation σ is unknown.
When is a single sample t test used?
When you want to compare a sample mean to a known population mean but do not know the population standard deviation.
Single Sample t Test Formula
t(df) = (M − μ) / σM, where df = N − 1.
Estimated Standard Error of the Mean
σM = s / √N
What replaces σ in the t test?
The sample standard deviation s is used to estimate the unknown population standard deviation σ.
Standard Error of the Mean Formula
σM = s / √N
What does the t statistic tell you?
It tells you how far the sample mean is from the population mean in standard-error units.
Numerator of the t formula
M − μ
Denominator of the t formula
σM, the estimated standard error of the mean.
t Test Degrees of Freedom
df = N − 1
How do you report a t statistic?
Report the calculated t value together with its degrees of freedom, such as t(7) = −0.33.
t Distribution
The sampling distribution used for t statistics when the population standard deviation is unknown.
Shape of the t Distribution
The shape depends on the degrees of freedom.
Small df and the t Distribution
At small degrees of freedom, the t distribution has thicker tails and a shorter peak.
Platykurtic
A distribution with relatively thick tails and a shorter peak; the slides describe the t distribution at small df as platykurtic.
What happens to the t distribution as df increases?
It becomes more like the z distribution.
Mesokurtic
The shape the t distribution increasingly approaches as degrees of freedom become larger; around df = 30, the t distribution is basically the same as the z distribution according to the slides.
Critical Value
The cutoff value from the appropriate t distribution that is used to determine whether a calculated t statistic is sufficiently extreme to reject the null hypothesis.
t Table
A table used to find critical values of t based on degrees of freedom and alpha.
Alpha (α)
The significance level used to determine the critical value.
One-Tailed Test
A hypothesis test in which the rejection region is in one direction/tail of the distribution.
Two-Tailed Test
A hypothesis test in which the rejection regions are in both tails of the distribution.
When should you use a two-tailed test?
When the hypothesis predicts that the sample is different from the population without specifying a direction.
When should you use a one-tailed test?
When the hypothesis predicts a specific direction of difference.
'Different' vs. 'Higher/Lower'
A hypothesis saying a sample is 'different' is typically two-tailed; a hypothesis predicting that it is specifically higher or lower is directional and uses one tail.
How do you find a critical t value?
First determine the degrees of freedom, then determine whether the test is one-tailed or two-tailed, then find the appropriate alpha column, and finally read the critical t value from the row matching your df.
Step 1 for finding a critical t value
Calculate df = N − 1.
Step 2 for finding a critical t value
Determine whether the hypothesis is one-tailed or two-tailed.
Step 3 for finding a critical t value
Identify the alpha level, such as α = .05.
Step 4 for finding a critical t value
Find the row in the t table that corresponds to your degrees of freedom.
Step 5 for finding a critical t value
Move across to the correct one-tailed or two-tailed alpha column and read the critical t value.
Critical t: df = 7, one-tailed α = .05
1.895
Critical t: df = 7, two-tailed α = .05
2.365
Critical t: df = 7, one-tailed α = .01
2.998
Critical t: df = 7, two-tailed α = .01
3.500
Critical t: df = 7, one-tailed α = .10
1.415
Critical t: df = 7, two-tailed α = .10
1.895
Critical t: df = 6, one-tailed α = .05
1.943
Critical t: df = 6, two-tailed α = .05
2.447
Critical t: df = 8, one-tailed α = .05
1.860
Critical t: df = 8, two-tailed α = .05
2.306
Critical t: df = 9, one-tailed α = .05
1.833
Critical t: df = 9, two-tailed α = .05
2.262
Important t-table rule
The correct critical value depends on BOTH the degrees of freedom and whether the test is one-tailed or two-tailed, as well as the alpha level.
If df = 7 and the test is two-tailed with α = .05, what critical value do you use?
±2.365. The positive table value is 2.365; for a two-tailed test, the rejection regions are in both tails.
If df = 7 and the test is one-tailed with α = .05, what critical value do you use?
1.895 for the positive/right-tailed test or −1.895 for the negative/left-tailed test.
Critical Value (One-Tailed Test)
1.895 for the positive/right-tailed test or −1.895 for the negative/left-tailed test.
Critical Value (Two-Tailed Test, df=6)
±2.447.
Critical Value (Two-Tailed Test, df=8, α=0.01)
3.355.
Hypothesis Testing with a t Test
The steps are the same as with a z test; report df with t and use the t table rather than the z table.
Null Hypothesis (H₀)
The hypothesis that represents the population value or no predicted difference being tested against.
Alternative Hypothesis (H₁ or Hₐ)
The hypothesis representing the predicted difference between the sample and population.
Decision Rule
Compare the calculated t statistic to the appropriate critical t value to determine whether to reject H₀.
Reject H₀
If the calculated t statistic falls in the rejection region beyond the appropriate critical value.
Fail to Reject H₀
If the calculated t statistic does not fall in the rejection region.
Two-Tailed Rejection Rule
Reject H₀ when |t| is greater than the positive critical t value.
One-Tailed Rejection Rule
Reject H₀ when the calculated t falls beyond the critical value in the predicted direction.
Degrees of Freedom Formula
df = N − 1.
Standard Error Formula
σM = s / √N.
t Statistic Formula
t = (M − μ) / σM.
School Scores Mean
M = 625/8 = 78.125.
School Scores Standard Deviation
s ≈ 16.243.
School t Statistic
t = (78.125 − 80) / 5.743 ≈ −0.326.
School Critical Value
The critical value is ±2.365 for a two-tailed test at α = .05.
Class Scores Mean
M ≈ 12.857 for scores 8, 15, 20, 18, 7, 10, 12.
Library Scores Mean
M = 326/8 = 40.75.
Complete Single Sample t Test Formula
t = (M − μ) / (s / √N), with df = N − 1.
Common Mistake #1
Using N instead of N − 1 for degrees of freedom.
Common Mistake #2
Using the one-tailed critical value when the hypothesis is two-tailed.
Common Mistake #3
Using the two-tailed critical value when the hypothesis is one-tailed.
Most Important Difference Between z and t Tests
For the single-sample t test, σ is unknown and estimated using s.
Key Formulas to Memorize
M = ΣX/N; s = √[Σ(X − M)²/(N − 1)]; σM = s/√N; t = (M − μ)/σM; df = N − 1.