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Budd, 26-27
Exponential Growth (J-Curve)
Growth under ideal conditions with unlimited resources; accelerates continuously
(dN/dt = rN)
Logistic Growth (S-Curve)
Growth slows and stops as population size (N) approaches Carrying Capacity (K)
Carrying Capacity (K)
Maximum number of individuals an ecosystem can sustainable support over time
r-Selected Species
High biotic potential, quick maturation, many offspring, low parental investment (e.g. insects, dandelions; J-curve
K-selected species
low biotic potential, slow maturation, few offspring, high parental investment (e.g., humans, elephants; S-curve)
Abiotic limiting factors
non-living physical/chemical components limiting growth (e.g., water, sunlight, temperature, soil nutrients)
Biotic limiting factors
living interactions limiting growth (e.g., food supply, predation, competition, disease).
Density Dependent factors
Impact scales with population density 9e.g., competition, parasitism, infections disease).
density independent factors
impact occurs regardless of density (e.g., droughts, freezes, natural disasters)
Agriculture/green revolution
synthetic fertilizers, high-yield crop strains, and mechanization expanded food calories.
Industrial revolution
mass manufacturing, improved transportation, power generation, urban infrastructure
medical advances
mass production of antibiotics, vaccines, sterile surgery, and municipal clean water/sewage sanitation
21st century trend
global human population will not triple in the 21st century as it did in the 20th. According to the UN Population Division, growth is slowing rapidly as fertility rates drop worldwide, projecting a peak near 10-10.5 billion
Ecological footprint
measure of land/water area required to produce the resources an individual or nation consumes and absorb their waste. Calculated based on energy, housing, transportation, food, and goods/services
Affluence v population
high affluence nations can have a far larger footprint with small populations than heavily populated developing nations with low resource consumption
mitigation plan
reduce energy/water use, adopt low emissions transport, eat lower on the food chain, and practice source reduction
crude birth/death rate
number of live births (cbr) or deaths (cdr) per 1000 individuals in a population per year
total fertitily rate
average number of children born to a woman in her lifetime, affected by female education, female employment, age at first child, access to family planning, and child labor demand
replacement level fertility
TFR required to keep population stable;e (~2.1 in developed nations to offset infant mortality)
life expectancy
average age a person lives. driven by clean water, sanitation, healthcare, diet, hygiene, and crime rates
population momentum
continued growth after reaching replacement feritilitu because a large percentage of the population is under reproductive age
dependency ratio
ratio of non-working indivifuals (aged <15 and >65) to the working age population (15-64)
high stationary
high birth rate, high death rate, very low/stable population growth. pre-industrial, subsistence farming, high infant mortality
early expanding
high brith rate, death rate falls rapidly, population rapidly increases. improvements in sanitation, clean water, and basic medicine.
late expanding
birth rate falls rapidly, death rate low/levelling, population growth slows down. Increasing female education, urbanization, family planning.
low stationary
birth rate low, death rate low, population growth stable/gradual. Industrialized; e.g., US, South Korea, Australia, Brazil, Europe.
declining
birth rate below replacement, death rate low, population growth goes into negatives. Aging population; e.g., Japan, germany
biotic potential
max reproductive Capacity of a species under ideal conditions
fecundity
biological physical ability to reproduce offspring
family planning
educational/medical services enabling control over birth numbers and timing
zero population growth
birth +immigration = death + emigration
pronatalist pressures
curtural/economic factors encouraging higher birth rates
UN population division
UN body providing authoritative global demographic estimates
population change equation
N = (B+I) - (D+E)
[B=birth, I=immigration, D=death, E=emigration]