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Epidemiology?
The branch of medicine which deals with the incidence, distribution, and possible control of diseases and other factors relating to health.
What do epidemiologists study?
Where should government spend money?
Where should medical providers focus efforts?
Where should researchers invest time/energy?
Which groups of people should be concerned about cancer?
Retrospective studies?
Study performed using information/events taken place in the past.
Prospective studies?
Study generates new data
What do descriptive studies look at?
Summarize disease patterns or distributions
• Sex
• Race/Ethnicity
• Age
• Location
• Time
• Etc.
Potentially identify risk factors (do certain sub-pops differ
from mean)
Where should government spend money?
Incidence?
Number of new cases that develop in a specified time period
Prevalence?
Number of total cases in a specified time period
Mortality?
Number of deaths in a specified time period
Units?
Per person
What is the most prominent cancer in males worldwide?
Prostate cancer
What is the most deadly cancer for males worldwide?
Lung cancer
What is the most prominent cancer for females worldwide?
Breast cancer
What cancer causes the most deaths worldwide for females?
Breast cancer
What is an important risk factor in looking at cancer statistics?
Age
Cancer is the second most common cause of death among children ages..
1-14, the first is accidents
Since 1970 cancer rates have declined by what percent?
Cancer death rates in children have declined by 71% since 1970
What is the most common childhood cancer?
Leukemia
Death rates for leukemia from 1970 till now have declined by what percent?
84%
Descriptive studies?
Are there particular subpopulations that have higher rates of cancer?
Case-control studies?
Compare people that have cancer to those that don’t have cancer and see how they differ.
Cohort studies?
Separate groups based on an exposure and then see which one has a higher risk
Observational studies?
No intervention/ treatment is given
Studies of risk-modifying factors on health or other outcomes based on populations
defined either geographically and/or temporally
Low cost/ easy
Can only generate hypothesis
Describe a case control study
Retrospective observational study comparing two groups (cases vs. controls)
Cases recruited at initial diagnosis
Controls should be picked from same general population, ideally as similar to
the cases as possible, and without any consideration to the risk factor of
interest
• Control group is usually bigger than case group
Prone to recall bias as risk factors are evaluated retrospectively
Cheaper and quicker to complete than cohort studies
Describe cohort study
Prospective observational study
Intended risk factor is measured throughout and before study
Best for common outcomes, requires large numbers, takes a long time to
complete
Expensive!
Describe interventional studies
Experimental rather than observational
Cohort Study where intervention replaces “risk” factor
• Drug vs Placebo
• New approach vs Standard of Care
• Commonly double-blinded and randomized
Ethical challenges
• Only positive interventions
• Placebo or other negative controls
Association studies?
Statistical dependence of two variables to each other
• Information about variable X lets you predict the behavior of variable Y
• But the reverse is also true!!
Correlation studies?
monotonic (linear) relationship between variables
• Special case of association
Causation studies?
X is responsible for Y
• Need to make sure we eliminate coincidences/confounds
• Prospective studies are better for this than retrospective studies
Strength?
Stronger associations are more likely to be causal than weaker associations
Consistency?
Has this been reproduced by multiple groups under different circumstances (prospective and retrospective)
Specificity?
Single cause to single effect
Temporality?
Cause must precede the effect
Biological gradient?
Clear (monotonic) dose-response curve
Plausibility?
Is there prior biological (mechanistic) data that can explain the causal relationship?
Coherance?
The cause-effect relationship should not contradict what we know about the disease.
Experimental evidence?
Result from intervention studies or pre-clinical studies confirm the observational studies
Analogy?
Have we seen similar effects with exposures of the same class? Similar things have similar effects.
Carcinogenesis?
Process of transformation from normal cells to cancer cells
Epidemilogical studies can identify..
Cancer risk factors
Genetic factors include?
Genetic syndromes, single nucleotide polymorphism
Behavioral factors?
Nutrition, lifestyle factors
Environmental factors?
Regions of living, air quality, water quality, ect…
Carcinogenesis/ tumorogenesis?
Process of transformation from normal to cancerous
Prevention is more… effective than treatment?
Cost
Most cancers devlop over…
Decades of time
Duration of exposure determines…
Determines the onset of detectable disease
Dependent incidence rates
Differ dramatically from typical adult cancers, suggesting factors other than increasing age must be invoked to understand mechanisms of tumorgenesis.
“Hallmarks of cancer”
Alterations in multiple pathways needed
“Multi-step tumorgenesis”
Over time, normal cells evolve into cells with increasingly neoplastic phenotypes
Cell component that is not recycled
DNA
DNA guides…
The production of other components of the cell
Mutation?
Permanent change to DNA
Mutagenesis?
the process by which the genetic information of an organism is changed, creating mutation
Mutagenesis can be the result of…
DNA damage or it can occur spontaneously
Around how many DNA damages occur each day?
60,000
Mutagenesis is sometimes necessary for…
Evolution
Human DNA error rate is?
1 mistake per 100 million (10-8) to 1 billion (10-9) nucleotides
What type of cancer usually has a higher error rate?
Hereditary cancers
Nucleotides per cell?
3 billion
Around 3 mutations per cell division on average
No exposure to a carcinogen?
Even if there is no exposure to a carcinogen, DNA replication alone is capable (though unlikely) to generate the changes needed to develop cancer.
Is a single mutation enough to cause a cancer?
Most likely not
Tumor accumulate genetic and epigenetic alterations?
As tumor progression proceeds
In humans tumorgenesis had been studied the most for what cancer?
Colon cancer
The number of inactivated tumor suppressors… the number of activated oncogenes in human cancer cell genome
Greatly exceeds
APC is found to be inactivated in…of colon carcinomas (tumor suppressor)
80%
Initiator
Mutagen
Promoter
non-mutagenic
What are the two categories of carcinogens?
Category 1: Initiator
•Most known carcinogens (particularly at small doses)
•Mutagens (DNA damage)
Category 2: Promoter
•Induce cell proliferation, inflammation, and/or prevent cell apoptosis
•Cannot induce cancer unless initiation has already occurred
Promoters promote…
Expansion of initiated tumor clones
•For an initiated cells to acquire a second mutation its clonal descendants must become so numerous that a second, low probability mutational event is likely
Theory of tumor promotion?
The critical determinant in the rate of tumor progression in many human tissues
Steps of mutagenesis?
Mutagens initiate transformation from normal to cancer
•1st hit
Promoters repeatedly stimulate the initiated cell to divide
•Errors in DNA replication and effects of the 1st hit lead to 2nd hit, and so on
Eventually, DNA of the cell becomes unstable (genomic instability)
•Accumulation of new hits accelerates
•New hits lead to conversion from benign to malignant
Because of this instability the mutation profile of the tumor become heterogeneous. New cells keep gaining newer mutations
Stem cells?
Stem cells have ability to replicate indefinitely
A single stem cell does not need to proliferate frequently
Bulk of tissue proliferation occurs in the progenitor cells
This stem cell hierarchy also appears to operate in many cancers
Stem cells are resistant to…
Conventional cancer therapies
Chemical carcinogen?
Any discrete chemical compound which has been shown to cause cancer in human or animal studies.
Animal studies?
Directly induce cancer in test animals using a large sample of animals, usually of two or more species with varying dose and time parameters.
Epidemiological studies?
Determine the relationship between a cancer suspect chemical and a human population over a long period of time.
Molecular dosimetry?
Carcinogen-macromolecule adducts
Cytogenic end points
Mutational spectra and frequency
Inherited cancer predisposition
Genetic polymorphisms of carcinogenic metabolizing enzymes
Obesity increases the risk of…
Of cancer of the: esophagus, pancreas, colon and rectum, breast (after menopause), endometrium (lining of the uterus), kidney, thyroid, and gallbladder
Processed meats have been identified as…
Classified as category 1, with red meat classified as category 2A (with links to colorectal cancer)
Exposure is unlikley to be…
Homogenous
How many known carcinogens are there in cigarette smoke?
60
Is nicotine a carcinogen?
No
E-cigarette liquid is a combination of…
Propylene glycol, glycerin, nicotine and flavorings
Marijuana smoke has around… different carcinogens?
33
Health disparity?
The disproportionate burden of disease, disability, or premature death borne by specific population groups
Population groups may be defined by…
By demographic measures of geography, gender, age, sexual orientation, socio-economic status, race/ethnicity
Factors that impact health
Genetics – we have already covered some of this
Lifestyle factors – diet, exercise, tobacco use, etc.
Environmental Exposures
Socioeconomical Factors
•Health Resource Availability
•Health Access Risk Factors
•Can also influence environmental risk factors
Different communities are exposed to different…
Levels/ carcinogens
ex. Air pollution, radon gas, chemical spills
Socioeconomic factors?
Education
Occupation and Employment
Income and Poverty
Environmental and Neighborhood Segregation
Racism and Discrimination
Access to care (health insurance, language, etc)
Health resource avaliibility
Access to Healthcare Services
Differential health care access may lead to disparities in health care quality
Minorities and the poor receive lower quality health care and have worse access to care
Rural communities usually do not have specialist care and patients must travel farther to receive appropriate care
Healthcare access risk factors?
Language
Lack of Health Insurance
Quality of Health Insurance
Cultural Competency
Disparities in Ability to pay
Lack of trust in health care leading to reduced transparency
Disparities in the cancer continum
•Incidence
•Participation in early screening programs
•Stage at diagnosis
•Therapy
Survival
Which race of males have a higher incidence rate?
African American males
What females have a higher cancer incidence?
White females
Which race/ gender has a higher mortality rate from cancer?
African American males and females
Define inflammation
Mechanism of innate immunity, where immune cells are recruited to a site of tissue injury, infection, irritation etc.
•Classically involves heat, pain, redness and swelling
Acute inflammation starts the..
Start of an immune response