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Why do we care about monitoring population dynamics?
Trends
Population
number of individuals in a defined area
Population dynamics
How a population changes over time (BIDE)
Age Structure
proportion of individuals at each age
Sex Ratio
The proportion of males to females in a population
Abundance
The number of animals
Density and what does it tell?
The number of animals over a specific area. It is an abundance scaled to some area. It tells concentration
Population Growth Rate
Rate at which population numbers increase, decrease, or stay the same
Lambda
Rate of growth changes from one year to the next
Intrinsic Growth Rate ( r ) and why do we use it?
The ln of Lambda. We use it to compare numbers by putting them on the same scale
What is exponential growth in population dynamics
Population trajectory with no constraints
Population variation
The randomness (stochasticity) of a population and how it compares to other populations
Population uncertainty
The amount of confidence in your abundance
3 types of Stochastic Constraints (GED)
Genetic: Inbreeding depression
Demographic: Survival and reproduction
Environment: Impacts vital rates via disturbances, disease, etc
5 types of Deterministic constraints (HCAPP)
Habitat quality: food, cover, and water can impact vital rates
Predation: direct consumption vs fear (impacts age and sex)
Competition: interspecific and intraspecific
Anthropogenic effects
Positive interactions: Commensalism and mutualism
Carrying capacity
The maximum population size of a species that a specific environment can sustainably support due to limiting resources
How do constraints alter exponential growth?
Creates an upper limit that levels population growth based on constraints and limiting factors
Stochastic vs deterministic constraints
Stochastic is random and unpredictable, and deterministic is predictable and directional
BIDE depends on what?
Density (it is density dependent)
How does density dependence prevent exponential growth in a population?
As population density increases in an area it causes growth rate to slow as resources are being used up
What type of growth curve is created due to density dependence?
Logistic growth curve
What is happening at the bottom of a population logistic growth curve?
Births and deaths are increasing but it takes time
What is happening at the inflection point of a population logistic growth curve?
Max vital rates
Where would you want to begin harvest on a population following a logistic growth curve?
At the top of the curve that is reaching carrying capacity
Allee effect
When a population is so small that the growth rate is decreasing as population numbers are decreasing due to individuals having trouble finding mates or maintaining genetic diversity etc
Would you want to harvest at the inflection point when vitals are at their peak in a population?
No, because of uncertainty
Cyclic populations
act upon a single constraint with time lag
Why do we have competition?
establishes and creates ecosytems
Interspecific competition
Competition between species
Intraspecific competition
Competition within a species
Interference competition
indirect or direct competition done by guarding resources for ones own self
Exploitative competition
Indirect competition by taking resources for one’s own self
Apparent competition
Indirect competition interaction where two prey species negatively impact each other by having a shared predator.
If wolf eats moose and deer and deer goes up, so does wolf. Wolf then eats more moose
3 conditions of competition
Overlap of resource in short supply
impact on fitness
The amount of the resource taken has an impact on individuals
Who wins in competition?
The individual better at getting the resource.
Does population growth have an impact on who wins in competition?
No
How does coexistence happen?
When you reduce competition to only within your own species
What is a niche?
Partitioning into a specific role within an ecological community
Competitive exclusion principle
2 species can’t coexist by using the same limited resource and have continuously have stable populations
N-Dimensional hypervolume
Geometric definition of a niche. All of the possible factors that can contribute to a niche (diet, temp, cover space, etc)
Fundamental Niche
All of the possible places an individual can live because of favorable conditions
Realized Niche
All of the places an individual can actually live due to competition keeping me from all of the places with favorable conditions
Habitat selection can be described as a (in terms of competitive exclusion principle):
(4 parts to the answer)
Gradient
2 species overlap → comp reduces fitness → individuals that use alternate resources gain an advantage → habitat selection occurs
Competition leads to which niche and what 5 factors are involved in it?
Realized niche (Space, food, cover, precipitation, temperature)
Life-Dinner Principle
The principle is that predators and prey face unbalanced consequences in their dynamic. If a predator misses the prey, he only misses a meal and can try again. If the prey is caught, he loses his life.
What are the two examples of direct predation effects?
Evolutionary arms race and life-dinner principle
Evolutionary arms race and what does it do to genetics?
Continuous adaptations and counter-adaptations between predator and prey. It alters the genetics available
Two types of indirect predation effects
Density mediated and Trait mediated
5 types of density mediated predation effects LC4
Lower competition by lowering prey density
Creates apparent competition
Creates indirect mutualism: one prey species density increases so predator spends more time focusing on that prey species instead of another prey species that shares that predator. Both prey species increase survival because increase of density increases overall survival rate of species 1
creates indirect commensalism: If prey species 1 survival doesn’t change, it is unaffected by the increase of survival of prey species 2, creating commensalism
Creates trophic cascade: If an apex predators species decline it can increase mesopredators which can cause prey species to decline
Trait mediated effects of predation and examples
Where a prey species alters its behavior in response to predation
ex. Avoiding certain spaces and increasing vigilance over foraging time
What are the 3 reasons predators dont annihilate prey and describe those reasons?
Self-regulation: limited space if territorial which can vary based on seasons
Competition: Multiple predator species can decrease forage success
Predator variation: Diagram of stages of predator encounter (further explained on diff card)
Predator variation and the diagram of stages for predator encounter. What are these factors moderated by?
search (ambush, packs etc) → detect (sight, smell, sonar) → pursue (impacted by habitat and experience) → capture (impacted by habitat and experience) → handle and consume
The factors are moderated by vulnerability of prey (diseased, age, etc) and habitats they are in
What are the models called that have 3 types and represent functional responses to how much a predator can consume?
Lotka-voltera models
Type 1 Lotka-voltera model
Apex eats at a proportional rate to prey
this model is unlikely
considers (change of prey)/time = growth rate of prey - prey of predation
considers (change of predator)/time = growth rate of predator - death rate of predator
Liner model
Type 2 Lotka-voltera model
The predator needs time to consume and become hungry again
divide births/death by handling time
Gives you an asymptote type curve
Type 3 Lotka-voltera model
The predator needs time to search
Add (search)/handling time to the equation
Makes a logistic curve
adds a point of satiation towards top of logistic curve
What do the lotka-voltera models tell us as wildlife managers ?
The values of different parameters so we can alter them as needed
Predator Pit
When a prey population is consistently held at a low density due to predator consumption preventing recovery
Predator model type 1 equations
change of prey/change of time = growth prey N - predation rate
change of pred/ time = growth pred N - pred deaths
Predator model type 2 equations
change of prey/change of time = growth prey N - (predation rate)/(handling time)
change of pred/time = growth pred N/handling time - predation deaths
Predator model type 3 equations
Growth prey N - pred rate
change of predation/time = growth pred N x (search/handling time) - predation deaths
Why should we care about predation models?
We have a bad history of annihilating predator populations
When is it acceptable to cull predators?
When there is a predator pit
Memorize predator pit model
Disease is another example of a what?
Population constraint
Parasites
feed on living hosts and doesnt always kill them (killing the host is not ideal)
Microparasites
parasites you cant see: fungi, bacteria, virus
Macroparasites
parasites you can see: ticks, flease, tapeworms
How many parasites do humans have in their body that are fine to have?
149, causing only minor effects
What are endemic pathogens?
those that are constantly present within a host population at relatively stable levels rather than causing occasional epidemics
How can endemic pathogens influence host success?
they can decrease survival and reproductive success
What is the SIR model for?
3 compartments to divide the population into to track how an infectious disease spreads and changes over time
Susceptible, infected, recovered
What do other parasites beyond the ones that live in harmony with humans cause? How can the symptoms vary (2)?
Other parasites cause disease, and the symptoms can be
major or minor
Short term or chronic
What does R0 represent? What does it equal? How does it increase?
The reproductive output of a virus
R0= rate of infected/rate of recovered
increases with an increase of infection
R0>1. What is occurring?
Pathogen is growing, epidemic is occuring
R0=1
disease is stable
R0<1
Mitigation of disease is possible through vaccination program
What is the equation for R0
R0= (1-proportion vaccinated)(rate of infected)/recovered
What is the proportion to vaccinate equation?
1-(1/R0)
so if R0 = 2, then you would need to vaccinate 50% of the population
What does N stand for in terms of diseases?
Threshold of host density number that should be immune for disease to die out
How do you calculate N in terms of disease?
N= (natural mortality + disease based mortality + recovery rate)/ transmission rate
What are the individual effects pathogens can have on an animal?
Pathogens take ENERGY from the host and can
Decrease reproductive success and survival (succumb to disease or be more vulnerable to predation)
Why can a pathogen change a hosts behavior?
To help it’s chances of transmission to another host
5 effects pathogens can have on an ecosystem and examples (CAAAC)
Cause of density-dependent regulation: Pneumonia in sheep keep them at lower carrying capacity
Alter exploitative competition: whitetail deer spread north with parasite decreasing moose and caribou populations creating more resource oppurtunities
Alter apparent competition: reindeer nematode decreases food intake increasing the variety of plants that can grow for other animals
Alter predator communities: canine distemper decreasing canid populations
Cause trophic cascades: rabbits in UK almost wiped out by myxomosis, increasing plants and increasing other small mammal communities
How are epizoonotic pathogens different? (4)
Involves a jump between species
involves human disturbance
changing climates
causes can be unknown
What do epizoonotic diseases usually cause in comparison to other pathogens?
rapid spread and high mortality
What do managers now understand about many epizoonotics?
There is a wildlife-human link
Managing game also involves disease. What is an example and what is a caveat to management?
CWD
Management can be socially contentious
What are the 4 ways diseases can be managed (HEAV management), and how do these typically get approached?
Host management (culling, separation/isolation, etc.)
Manage environment (spray for mosquitos, disperse water sources)
Vaccinate (dispersing bait on landscape to immunize)
Agent management (limit lead bullets, spread sterile flies)
Usually happen in an integrated approach
What are the 3 overlapping factors of one health?
Humans, wildlife, environment
Constraints (3)
Competition, predation, disease
Total Census count and how to achieve it
Count of all of the animals in a population
can be done with animals that move in a clumped pattern
Index count of a population and how to achieve it? What are the benefits?
Using an indirect variable to reflect population numbers (tracks, scat, etc)
Benefits: useful to make comparisons overtime and can be done at a low cost
Sampling count of a population and how to achieve it
Sampling areas to get the average population number within a bigger, total area.
Ex. the count of plants in a quadrat, count of birds at a point, mussels along a strip, etc
Rules and considerations for sampling method to count populations
spread counts out to prevent bias with overlap
Why is avoiding bias in a sampling population count not always possible? (3)
error in counting technique (counting along roads)
Lowered ability to detect animal (false positives/negatives)
animal behavior (avoidance)
Accuracy
How close estimates are to the actual value
Precision
How close estimates are to each other
Bullseye
Best case scenario = accurate and precise
Accurate but not precise example
A good number of endangered species