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which human activities produce methane
agriculture/livestock, solid waste & wastewater, fossil fuel production
what are the big natural forces that cause climate change
continental drift, the sun, earth’s orbit, ocean currents & ice sheets
what happens in continental drift in climate change
plates moves and new rock is formed
what happens with the sun in climate change
steady brightening and energy changes over time directly influencing temperature
where is our orbit heading (milankovitch cycle)
currently moving towards circular
where is our tilt heading (milankovitch cycle)
currently becoming less tilted (less difference between seasons)
where is our wobble heading (milankovitch cycle)
currently in the southern hemisphere (spring)
what type of things could be responsible for modern climate change
greenhouse gases, especially CO2
what type of things could not be responsible for modern climate change
continental drift, the sun, earth’s orbit, internal variability
how would high emissions affect temperature
creating more warming
how would low emissions affect temperature
creating less warming
what does the amount of future warming depend on
how much greenhouse gas humans emit
how would more CO2 affect temperature
trapping outgoing heat & increasing earth’s temperature
how would less CO2 affect temperature
reduces the warming effect & decreasing earth’s temperature
what are climate change impacts that are not due to temperature changes
sea-level rise, changing precipitation, ocean acidification, saltwater intrusion, loss of wetlands & biodiversity
what is a specific example of how sea-level rise impacts the U.S.
along the texas gulf coast sea-level rise increases coastal flooding & erosion
why is it easier to predict climate than weather
climate is predicted in regards to statistics & averages while weather is predicted using exact conditions
what is a representation concentration pathway (RCP)
a possible future greenhouse gas concentration pathway
what does the representative concentration pathway (RCP) number mean
the approximate radiative forcing in 2100, measured in W/m2
what are shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs)
possible future storylines describing how society, population, technology, & the economy might develop
what are the four things that make up I = P x A x T
I - impact
P - population
A - affluence
T - technology
what parts of I = P x A x T are increasing
impact, population, affluence
what parts of I = P x A x T are decreasing
technology
which parts of I = P x A x T have the most ability & willingness to change
technology & population
where on earth is climate change having the biggest impact
high latitudes, especially the arctic, where ice sheets are melting
where in the U.S. is climate change having the biggest impact
the southern U.S. and gulf coast (galveston & louisiana flooding)
why does exponential growth make a curve
the amount added becomes larger as the total grows creating a curve
what is an example of exponential growth in terms of climate change
sea-level rise could accelerate as warming increases ocean expansion & land-ice loss
why are we pinning down the social cost of carbon
to understand the economic damage caused by CO2 emissions & help decide whether the costs of reducing emissions are worth the benefits
what kind of climate & time period are we in
interglacial & holocene