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complement
an event A consists of all outcomes in the sample space that are NOT in A
denoted by AC
probability that the event A does NOT occur
“randomly selected”
complement rule
P(Ac) = 1 - P(A)
mutually exclusive events - unions and intersections
two events A or B are mutually exclusive (or disjoint) if they FO NOT have any common outcomes
can’t happen at the same time
don’t overlap
“fair”
intersection
two events A and B consists of the outcomes in both A AND B
“ ^ “
gets listed once
union
two events A and B consists of the outcomes that are in A OR B
“ v “
whats in both (venn diagram)
addition rule - probability of the union of two events
P(A v B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ^ B)
addition rule - mutually exclusive
(A v B) = P(A) +P(B)
independent
two events are independent if knowing whether one event occurs does not affect the probability that the other event occurs
when two events are independent, the probability of their intersection is easy to compute
can be extended for three or more independent events
multiplication rule - probability of the intersection of independent events
P(A ^ B) = P(A) * P(B)
“independently”
multiplication rule - computing losses
P(at least one) = 1 - P(none)
easier to find at least one probabilities using the complement rule