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How to assess a species’ extinctions risk?
Geographic + landscape structure & changes
Dispersal ability
Demography (birth + death rates)
Reduction in total habitat area.
Habitat loss
Increased patch numbers, smaller patches, and greater isolation.
Fragmentation
What is the exception to greater isolation?
Fine-scale fragmentation — restoration in some places; can reduce isolation.
What patch size is more likely to be occupied by a species?
Larger patches
What is patch isolation influenced by?
Distance
Species’ dispersal ability
Matrix hostility
Enhances population success.
Complementation
Organism use several similar substitute resource patches.
Supplementation
How much of the Cerulean warbler birds’ population been lost?
83%
Why did the Cerulean warbler population decline?
Loss of hardwood forest habitats on breeding grounds in eastern North America.
Loss of montane forest wintering grounds in the Andes.
Models how species use habitats by relating species occurrence to environmental variables.
Resource-selection functions
Use species occurrence data with environmental variables to estimate where suitable habitats exist.
Ecological niche models
Full potential range of environmental conditions.
Fundamental niche
The subset actually occupied.
Realized niche
Link species distributions to temperature and precipitation.
Climate envelope models
Uses four key factors to determine population size changes over time.
Basic population growth model
A collection of spatially separated populations (subpopulations).
Metapopulation
Examines the balance between colonization and extinction.
Classical metapopulation models
A large, persistent mainland population acts as a continual source of colonists for smaller “island” populations.
Mainland-island modification
High-quality areas with surplus individuals that export emigrants.
Source patches
poor-quality areas where deaths exceed births.
Sink patches
What are the 6 stages of invasion?
Introduction
Colonziation
Establishment
Dispersal
Spatially distributed populations
Invasive spread
The minimum amount of habitat or distance condition required for population spread.
Invasion threshold
Small, isolated colonies located ahead of the main invasion front.
Satellite populations