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Short-term solvency or liquidity ratios
Ability to meet short-term obligations as they come due
Current ratio = current assets / current liabilities
1.0-2.0 often used as benchmark
Too low could indicate financial difficulties and too high could indicate long-run negative impact on profitability (could be invested elsewhere at higher rates of return or too much inventory/AR)
Quick ratio = (current assets - inventory - prepaid expenses) / current liabilities
Only concerned with current assets that can be readily converted into cash
Acid-test ratio
Better measure of liquidity but not as common as current ratio
Activity or asset management ratios
Measure ability to efficiently use investment in assets to generate profitability
Asset turnover = sales / avg total assets
Higher in retail than manufacturing (low investment in non-current assets)
Receivables turnover = credit sales / avg AR
Average collection period = days in the period / AR turnover OR average AR / (credit sales/365)
Likely to be longer if credit sales make up a large % of sales
Inventory turnover = COGS / avg inventory
Days in inventory = days in the period / inventory turnover OR average inventory / (COGS/365)
Financial leverage or debt service ratios
Measure the extend to which the firm is relying on debt financing and the ability to service the debt
Use book value of debt and equity unless current market values are significantly different or more relevant
Debt ratio = total liabilities / total assets
How much total assets are financed using debt
Lower preferred risk wise but debt cheaper than equity
Debt to equity ratio = total liabilities / total equity
Firms in industries with stable revenue streams and stable earnings can support greater levels of debt
Equity multiplier ratio (leverage ratio) = total assets / total equity
Measures the total asset investment per $1 of total shareholders’ equity
Equal to 1 + debt ratio
Higher = more reliance on debt
Should use average values if available for both values
Times interest earned (interest coverage) = EBIT / interest expense
Number of times that a company can afford to pay its interest charges
Generally a value of at least 3.0 is considered acceptable and as the value increases that company is adding a margin of safety to its financial position
Profitability ratios
Profit margin = net income / sales
Return on assets = net income / avg total assets
Can also use EBIT for numerator to get gross return or use profit margin x total assets turnover for the DuPont model
Higher risk calls for higher return
Return on equity = (net income - preferred dividends declared) / avg total common equity
Can also use profit margin x total asset turnover x equity multiplier for DuPont model
Never use EBIT instead of net income (need to use what is available to common shareholders)
Ability to earn satisfactory rate of return for shareholders
Dividend payout ratio = dividends declared / net income
Both profitability and market value ratio
Sustainable growth rate = ROE (DuPont model) x retention ratio
Maximum rate of growth that can be sustained and maintain the debt to equity ratio
Retention ratio = 1 - dividend payout ratio
Market value ratios
Measure the value of the firm relative to earnings and cash dividends
Always use basic EPS never diluted unless otherwise instructed
Price earnings ratio = market price of shares / EPS
Indicates how investors view the prospects of the firm, higher = more highly valued
Typically use a forward P/E ratio based on current share price and estimated earnings for next year
Reflects risk and expected growth in earnings (firms with higher business risk normally have lower P/E ratios)
Dividend yield = dividend declared per share / market price of shares
Reflects market’s or investor’s perception of the company’s future growth
High growth prospects = lower dividend yield because likely pays lower dividends so can reinvest earnings to support growth and market is likely to recognize growth potential of higher price per share
Dividend payout ratio = dividend declared per share / EPS OR dividends / net income
Also profitability ratio
Indicates how much of the company’s net income is being distributed in the form of cash dividends rather than reinvested in the company
Net working capital
Current assets - current liabilities
Common issues:
Amount of cash to keep on hand and how to invest excess cash
Amount of credit to extend to customers and related credit terms
Level of inventories to carry
Timing of paying suppliers
Amount of short-term borrowing to undertake
Cash conversion cycle
Inventory period + average collection period - days payable outstanding
If positive this is the number of days that financing is required for the shortfall
Why to keep cash on hand:
Take advantage of discounts on purchases and attractive interest rates, liquidity risk, timing of collections not synchronized with disbursements, minimum cash balance as loan requirement
Fixed income investments
Maturity date set at time of purchase with higher return for longer term
Principal returned at maturity
Risk of default - issuer not paying principal and interest as they come due
Interest rate affected by ability to access cash as needed - lowest interest if investment is cashable at any time, medium if a penalty is payable if investment redeemed prior to maturity, and highest if cash is locked in until maturity
Earn interest income and capital gains/losses if sold
Low risk investment if held to maturity
Common fixed income instruments:
Guaranteed investment certificate (GIC) and term deposits - low risk and guaranteed, 30 days to one year, $500-$100,000, cashability (not a word but whatev) and interest terms can change
Treasury bills (T-bills) - purchased from financial institutions and issued by the government of canada, low risk and guaranteed, 30-364 days, easily converted to cash, $1,000-$100,000, sold at a discount and receive face value at maturity
Banker’s acceptances - issued by corporation, higher risk than T-bills, bank guarantees value, one month to one year, $50,000-$500,000, can be sold prior to maturity, issued at a discount and receive face value at maturity
Commercial paper - issued by corporations with good credit, guaranteed by issuer so level of guarantee varies, 1 month-1 year, minimum $100,000, can be sold quickly and easily in secondary market, issued at a discount and mature at face value
Money market funds - pools of short-term securities managed by a fund manager, interest rate fluctuates with market rates of underlying securities in the fund, no guarantee, $10 per unit in the fund, easily sold and converted to cash, yield fluctuates with market
Cost of not taking supplier discount
Effective annual interest rate = (1 + (cash discount / (price - cash discount)))^(365/extra days) - 1
If terms 3/10 net 30, 3 is cash discount 100 is price, and extra days are 30 - 10 = 20
Represents rate of return earned by taking the discount
Compare the effective annual rate from this formula to current short-term borrowing rate or interest being earned on excess cash - would be worth it to pay like 7% interest on a line of credit to pay early and realize a 75% return for example
Free cash flow
The cash that a company can generate at the end of an accounting period after it has paid its expenses and amounts required to maintain or expand its working capital and long-term asset base
Cash available to pursue opportunities that enhance shareholder value
Unlevered FCF = EBIT - income taxes + all non-cash expenses including depreciation and amortization ± investment in working capital (incremental changes in working capital) - capital expenditures required to maintain the business
Unlevered is the industry norm and excludes cash flows related to debt
Levered FCF = net income + all non-cash expenses including depreciation and amortization ± investment in working capital (incremental changes in working capital) - capital expenditures required to maintain the business - scheduled debt repayments
Determining assets available for collateral
Can’t use anything already listed as collateral
May be able to use land and building even when first charge is already on them if a second mortgage is taken out
Assess assets using fair value not book
Do not secure against any kind of joint venture investment unless the case specifies when the company will receive dividends
Capital market vs money market
Capital market = Stock market and bond market
Used for medium to long term financing
Money market = used for short term financing
Term deposits - held at bank or credit union, fixed interest rate
Treasury bills - issued by government, fixed interest rate
Commercial paper - issued by corporation or bank, unsecured, 2-270 days, allows for borrowing for flexible period of time at interest rates often slightly below company’s bank borrowing rate
Steps to issuing securities
Board of directors approves the issuance and determine public offering or private placement - there are normally minimum revenue/asset requirements to qualify for listing on stock exchange and private has lower flotation costs, is more flexible, and is faster, but investors are likely to demand higher returns (lack of liquidity), investors may want board representation and involvement in the company, and are likely to demand tighter covenants → majority of bonds and preferred shares sold through private placement
Investment bank hired to act as underwriter - intermediary to get it DONE and advise
Offering memorandum prepared by investment bank if private placement - securities issue is sold to group of institutional investors (insurance company, pension plan, mutual fund)
Cash offer method or rights offer method must be chosen if public offering - securities offered to existing shareholders first (rights offering) or straight to the public
Underwriting arrangement decided upon if cash offer - firm commitment (investment bank syndicate buys entire issue at guaranteed price and resells to public market at purchase price plus underwriting spread), dutch auction (purchasers submit bids for blocks of shares to set the price of the issue), or best efforts (investment bank dealers do their best to sell issue at highest possible price or they buy the issue with an option to return if the market price drops significantly, normally used for smaller and lesser-known companies as less risk for underwriter) → if overallotment option or green shoe provision, underwriter can purchase specified % of additional shares from issuer within a limited time period but the issuer still only receives agreed upon price so results in a loss for them but big gains for underwriter
Necessary documents prepared, finalized, and filed
Underwriter advises on final offer price and shares start to trade
Market efficiency
Weak form = trading prices already reflect all past information
Semi-strong form = prices reflect all publicly available information past and present
Strong form = prices reflect all information available, whether or not it is available to all investors
Strong form is also semi-strong and weak
General consensus that Canadian and US markets are semi-strong but not strong as insiders can earn abnormal profits if they trade on the basis on their privileged information
Credit ratings
Highest AAA = very low probability of default
AA, A, BBB, BB, B = strong/adequate/less vulnerable
CCCC, CCC, CC = in danger of defaulting
D = in default
Higher rating from credit agency = lower required yield on bonds and higher share price
Interest rate determinants
Short-term, risk-free, real return - government treasury bills with no uncertainty about whether all promised future payments will be made, excludes effect of inflation
Expected inflation - protect against loss in purchasing power
Nominal rate = (1 + real rate) x (1 + expected inflation rate) - 1
Higher rates on longer term securities
Risk premium added for default risk (borrower may not be able to make required payments) and liquidity risk (may not be readily sold if no active market or cash committed for period of time)
That one graph in notes where you first find the 1 year risk free real rate, then move along to the right where it slowly curves up based on number of years, and then jump up to the second curve for nominal rate, then jump up again for risk premium
Bond prices
Bond price = PV of interest payments (annuity) + PV of principal repayment at face value (lump sum)
Yield to maturity used as discount rate - if below coupon rate then premium bond and if above then discount bond
PV formula - rate = YTM, PMT = amount of each interest payment, FV = face value of bond
Preferred share prices
Current share price (at today, time 0) = annual stated dividend rate per share divided by required rate of return on preferred shares
Common share price
If not growing at constant rate then have to do dividend in year 1 divided by (1 + required rate of return on common equity)^1 and then repeat for each year but increase the exponent (is that the word?) for whatever year it is and add them all together
If dividends will grow at a constant rate then can do dividend in period 1 (dividend right now x (1+ growth rate)) divided by (required rate of return on common equity minus constant growth rate)
Annual return on a bond
Interest (rate given x face value) + market value less face value and then divide total by face value
Portfolio theory
Holding a sufficiently large number of investments with returns that are not perfectly positively correlated ensures that realized average of returns will be close to expected return
Efficient portfolio = smallest level of portfolio risk for given level of expected portfolio return OR highest expected return for given level of risk
Portfolio risk eliminated if securities are perfectly negatively correlated
Allocation to many different assets = less effect if one loses a lot of value
Types of risk
Unsystematic = unique to the security
Diversifiable, can be eliminated by comining with other securities
Systematic = non-diversifiable, market risk
Estimated through beta for individual security which is a measure of volatility of returns in relation to market returns
Cannot be totally eliminated through diversification
Capital asset pricing model
CAPM
Describes relationship between security’s expected return and systematic risk
Expected return = risk free return + beta x (expected rate of return on the market - risk free return)
Brackets = market risk premium and beta x market risk premium = risk premium related to risk of investment
Investments ranked by risk level (least risky to riskiest
Short-term term deposits
Government bonds
Corporate bonds
Preferred shares
Common shares - publicly traded
Common shares - private companies
Derivatives
Strategic investments and alliances:
Outsourcing and alliances vs joint arrangements vs strategic investment - associate vs strategic investment - subsidiary
Compared on:
Number of partners
Upfront costs
Legal form
Governance and control
Duration
Ease of structure
Timing
Difficulties
Contribution of resources
Financial returns
GET TABLE FROM TEXTBOOK CH 11
Approaches to managing risk
Opportunistic - actively forecast financial and/or commodity prices and make decisions based on forecast to benefit from changes in prices → very high costs, appropriate when management has superior forecasting ability
Passive - ignore risk and rely on ability to ride out fluctuations assuming that any gains/losses will balance over the long run → no costs and appropriate when risks are moderate
Defensive - react when potential adverse changes in interest rate, FX rate, or commodity prices threaten substantial losses that could lead to financial distress and take action in the financial market to insure against major risks → moderate costs and appropriate when risks are high
Compromise - develop a complete hedging strategy to minimize risk exposure and follow with some exceptions when strongly believe that can benefit by taking opportunistic position, takes more time but can create positive returns from hedging → high costs and appropriate when risks are not so high
Derivatives
Forwards and futures contracts:
Agreement for delivery of specified asset at agreed-upon price at pre-specified future date under contractual obligation
Futures - exchange traded and require margin account with broker that must be settled daily and cash deposited when margin account balance falls below minimum level, commonly used for managing commodity prices risks
Forwards - non-exchange traded, counterparty risk
Can eliminate downside losses and upside gains - fixed selling price regardless of market
Call (put) options:
Right not obligation to sell at agreed-upon price at any time before option’s maturity
Premium must be paid regardless of whether exercised
Eliminate downside risk but allow for upside gains
Exercised when strike price is in the money
Traded on an exchange
Swaps:
Contracts between two parties to exchange cash flows on specified future dates based on underlying value of FX rates or interest or whatever
Interest rate swaps most common
Commonly used with lending agreements where companies swap a floating rate for a fixed rate and effectively lock in an interest rate
Pay the fixed rate and receive from the dealer the floating
Natural hedge:
No derivative used but natural offset of risk