1/42
Money and Inflation
barter
direct exchange of goods and services without money. can be costly and time-consuming
double coincidence of wants
each person must want what the other person offers
medium of exchange
function of money that explains how it is widely accepted as a payment of goods and services, and that it eliminates the need for a double coincidence of wants. to be effective, it must be:
widely accepted
standardized
durable
portable
divisible
unit of account
function of money, explains how every good can be expressed in a common unit such as dollars
store of value
function of money, allows households & firms to transfer purchasing power from present to future
standard of deferred payment
function of money, allows contracts, loans, and future payments to be expressed in a common unit
commodity money
derives its value from a physical good w/ worth (gold, silver, salt) and has value independent of its use as money. disadvantages include transportation costs and difficulties controlling supply
flat money (paper money)
no significant intrinsic value, and its usefulness can deterioriate significantly during hyperinflation. issued by monetary authorities
M1
narrow measure of highly liquid money. includes: currency (flat money + coins) outside of banks, demand deposits, and other liquid deposits including savings accounts (majority, over 60%) and other checkable deposits. currently about $20 trillion
M2
broader measure of less liquid money. includes everything in M1 + small-denomination time deposits (<$100,000) and retail money market mutual funds (for individual investors). small-time deposits and money market funds make up 5%, while M1 makes up 95%. currently about $23 trillion.
credit cards
allows consumers to borrow money to purchase goods and services, where the card issuer pays the merchant and the cardholder later repays the loan. therefore, it is a form of credit and not money itself
payment apps
platforms that withdraw money from checking accounts located in M1 and provide loans to consumers
bitcoin
decentralized digital asset that can be transferred w/o banks. it violates the unit of account function of money, as goods & services are not widely priced in bitcoin, store value, as it is extremely volatile, medium of exchange, as it has high transaction fees, and standard of deferred payment
influences of money supply
the federal reserve, through policies
the banking system, through lending, which expands money
nonbank public (households and firms), through demand for deposits & loans
monetary base (MB)
C+R , where C is the currency held by nonbank public and R is bank reserves, including vault cash and balances held at federal reserve
money supply (M)
mMB , where m is the money multiplier, and explains how much M expands for every single dollar change in MB, which is monetary base
open market operations
the federal reserve purchases or sells securities, such as U.S treasuries and MBS
money multiplier (m)
MBMā , where M is money supply in per dollars of MB, which is monetary base
currency-to-deposit ratio c
DCā , where C is currency held by nonbank public and D is checking, savings, and other liquid deposits in M1, reflecting the publicās preference for holding currency relative to deposits
required-reserve-to-deposit ratio rr
DRRā , where RR is required reserves and D is checking, savings, and other liquid deposits in M1, reflecting the reserve requirement
excess-reserve-to-deposit ratio er
DERā , where ER is excess reserves and D is checking, savings, and other liquid deposits in M1, measuring banksā excess reserves relative to deposits
derived money multiplier mā
DCā+DRā+DERāDCā+1ā=c+rr+erc+1ā , and if M=mMb = māMB, higher c, rr, and er takes away from money available to create deposits, decreasing money supply M
quantity equation of money
MV=PY , where M is money supply, V is velocity of money, P is price level, and Y is real GDP (so PY is nominal GDP)
velocity of money V
MPYā , it measures nominal GDP relative to the money supply, and indicates how frequently money is used to support all transactions in goods and services
predicted inflation
Ļ=gMāāgYā , given constant velocity, it grows when money supply grows faster than real GDP
nominal variables
price level, inflation rate, nominal interest rate, money supply, and in the short and long run, is affected by changes in the money supply
real variables
real GDP, real interest rate, and employment, and in only the short run, is affected by changes in the money supply
Ļ>Ļe
means that the realized interest rate is lower than expected; the borrower benefits relative to the lender.
Ļ<Ļe
means that the realized interest rate is higher than expected; the lender benefits relative to the borrower
expected real interest rate
re=iāĻe
the fisher effect
i=re+Ļe , holding the expected real interest rate constant, a one-percentage-point increase in expected inflation raises the nominal interest rate by approximately one percentage point
seigniorage
revenue the government obtains through the creation (printing) of money, helps government pay off their debt
inflation tax effect
households lose purchasing power to this effect, having paid a ātaxā of that power, but lightens governmentās debt
shoeleather cost
where households and firms hold less cash in their wallets during high inflation and make frequent trips to the bank to transfer money to interest-bearing assets
tax distortions
although higher expected inflation rates increase nominal interest rates (through the fisher effect), the real cash you get back is proportionally taxed despite less purchasing power, so real after-tax returns fall and discourage saving and investment
menu costs
inflation requires changing prices frequently, involving things like changing websites, menus, adjusting accounting records, etc., which couldāve been devoted to increasing production
redistribution of wealth
high unexpected inflation means higher nominal returns, so borrowers win and lenders lose. in the opposite direction, if low unexpected inflation means lower nominal returns, borrowers lose and lenders win
economic costs
unexpected inflation cause a loss in money spent on forecasting inflation, designing contracts to reduce inflation risk, and reduced willingness to borrow and lend b/c of uncertainty
benefits of inflation
given that nominal wages W are sticky and difficult to reduce, firms can let inflation reduce real wage w, thus reducing a cost of theirs, while keeping nominal wage W constant
hyperinflation
episode of extremely rapid increases in general price level, leading to loss of purchasing power, high volatility, price adjustment and transaction costs, resource misallocation, reduced usefulness of money as a medium of exchange, store of value, and unit of account
government financing identity
G+TR+T=ĪB+ĪH , where āB is additional government borrowing from outside the consolidated government-central-bank sector and āš» is additional central bank printing money. if G+TR > T, then government must finance
cost of expected inflation
seigniorage and inflation tax, shoeleather costs, tax distortions, and menu costs
costs of unexpected inflation
redistribution of wealth (nominal loans) and economic costs (resource misallocation)