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marketing
the art and science of creating value by designing and managing successful exchanges
the only business function that takes the perspective of the customer
identifying the needs and wants in the market and creating products that match these needs and wants in a way that satisfies customers better or differently than competitors do
overarching framework
analysis: customer, company, competition
strategy: segmentation, targeting, positioning
tactics: product, price, promotion, place (distribution)
profit equation
= Q x (P-VC) - FC
units sold x what one sale contributes - cost paid regardless
Q = quantity
P = price
VC = variable cost
FC = fixed cost
total revenue
P x Q, the price of the unit times the number of units sold
variable cost
a cost that changes when you product or sell one more unit
measured per unit, tightly correlated to sales
eg: manufacturing inputs, some distribution costs
fixed cost
a cost that does not immediately change when you product or sell one more unit
often recurring annually, happen regardless of actual sales, can be changed in the future
eg: marketing costs, fixed production costs, some labor and distribution costs
total cost
FC + VC x Q
sunk cost
typically happen once toward the beginning, cannot be recouped
eg: research and development
SHOULD NOT AFFECT MARKETING ANALYSIS
break even costs
when total margin covers fixed costs but makes no profit, where profit = 0
break even equation
Q_BE = FC / (P - VC)
contribution margin
P - VC
what an additional unit contributes to the bottom line
percent margin
the percent of the selling price the company keeps
margin % = (P - VC) / P
percent markup
the percent that is added, relative to cost
markup % = (P - VC) / VC
company analysis
economic status
sales and growth: is the business growing or shrinking?
margins and costs: does each sale leave enough contribution?
cash and debt: can the firm fund the strategy?
market share: how strong is the current position?
resource-based view of the firm
firm: collection of resources
account for different types of assets
identify company competitive advantage
six factors:
financial: cash, financing
physical: stores, factories, locations
people: skills, teams, know-how
technology and data: software, algorithms, customer data
brand and IP: reputation, patents, characters
relationships: suppliers, creators, partnerships
strengths and weaknesses
strengths: financial resources, physical resources, intangible assets (eg: patents, reputation), brands
weaknesses: debt, maintenance costs, legal vulnerability, risk
both: company size, location, endorsements
a resource is not automatically a strength
resource → what it lets the firm do → effect in the market → advantage
cannot just list strengths, have to explain
direct competitor
offers the same type of product to the same customers
indirect competitor
satisfies the same customer need with a different type of product
customer needs view
a competitor who seeks to satisfy the same needs that you do
customer resource view
a competitor who demands the same scare customer resource
onion analysis
the farther out we go, the less obvious the competitor becomes, but the strategic threat can still be real
same form
same concrete need
same abstract need
same resource
perceptual maps
surveys: how customers see competing brands
a visual representation of how customers perceive competing brands or products relative to one another on a small number of dimensions
closer together = perceived as more similar
axes summarize the main dimensions consumers use to distinguish brands
perception does not equal objective reality, but customers buy based off perceptions
two ways to attribute ratings + factor analysis and similarity ratings + MDS
usage:
evaluating industry structure and positioning
new product decisions
image, reputation, and messaging
disadvantages:
you only discover dimensions among the attributes you measured
the survey can be repetitive
perception is not preference
tool to evaluate competition
attribute ratings + factor analysis perceptual map
researcher chooses the set of firms and attributes, which help us interpret the axes
standard graph with 2 specific, opposing consumer attributes on the X and Y axes
customers rank brands on predefined traits using surveys
creating one:
define list of competitors
define a list of product characteristics
run surveys
visualize the data
similarity ratings + MDS
researcher chooses the set of firms, need to add the names to the axes
customers rate how similar or dissimilar pairs of products are, plotted on a multidimensional space
conjoint analysis
surveys: what customers value
tool to evaluate competition
sales and demand analysis
actual sales data, eg: price cross-elasticity of demand
decision making units
initiator: decides something needs to be purchased
decider: makes the decision about what is purchased
purchaser: pays for it
user: uses the product
roles can overlap, context shapes everything (cultural, legal, technological)
customer journey
how a need becomes a choice
need arises: something triggers action
search: where customers look
evaluate: what criteria matter
purchase: what friction can stop them
use: was the promised value delivered
marketing intervenes at every stage
need arises: promotion
search: promotion/place
evaluate: product/price
purchase: price/place
use: product experience and service
customers’ wants pyramid
self-expressive benefits: what the product says about you to other people
emotional benefits: how the product makes you feel
functional benefits: what needs the product meets
types of customer evidence
what customers actually do: purchase history, clickstream/app usage, experiments, test markets, retention/churn
what customers say, think, or report: surveys, interviews, focus groups, reviews/open-ended feedback
customer lifetime value
CLV = (M - c) / (1 - r) - AC
margin, M: margin contribution generated by the customer each period
revenue minus variable cost, per customer
retention spending, c: ongoing spending used to serve or retain existing customers
cost of marketing to existing customers, eg: what the firm spends to retain them, per customer and period
retention, r: probability that an active customer remains for the next period
churn = 1 - r
DO NOT MANIPULATE R
acquisition cost, AC: one-time cost of acquiring a new customer
the cost of acquiring a new customer, where the most outreach and marketing costs go
overall marketing costs / the number of new customers
M, c, and r must use the same time period
useful for:
comparing segments: who has higher CLV when deciding who to target
running scenarios: comparing promotion or product ideas by their effect on margin or retention
market sizing
potential market: everyone with the relevant need or possible use
addressable market: customers the firm could realistically serve given geography, technology, regulation, and distribution
target market: the customers the firm chooses to pursue
sizing markets:
primary demand: demand for the product category
secondary demand: demand for the specific brand
segmentation
groups customers who are similar in ways that matter for marketing
within a segment: customers should respond relatively similarly to an offering or marketing action
across segments: customers should respond differently enough that the firm may want a different marketing strategy
if groups would receive the same marketing mix, then it is not useful
segment with:
demographics: “who,” age, income, education, location, etc
behaviors: “what,” usage, past purchases, loyalty, media consumption
preferences: “why,” wants, needs, lifestyle, identity, sensitivity to the 4 P’s
pros of segmentation
customer differences
customers are not all alike
different needs or behavior
customers care about different outcomes or act differently
different response to the 4 Ps
product, price, promotion, or place may work differently
better fit
the firm can tailor its strategy to the group
criteria for a useful market segmentation
large enough
identifiable
accessible
systematic (predictable) behaviors
types of segmentation
descriptive: who? start with customer characteristics and figure out behaviors and needs
benefits: why? start with behaviors and needs and figure out the descriptives
targeting
the process of identifying which segments to serve and which to ignore
if you try to appeal to everyone, you end up with an average product
segment the market: identify meaningful groups with different needs or responses
evaluate the segments; compare opportunity, company fit, and competition
choose target(s): decide which segments to serve now, and which not to prioritize
target size
the tradeoff between focus and profit
narrow target:
advantage: better knowledge of customer
disadvantage: need large market share to break even
wide target:
advantage: break-even requires less market share
disadvantage: less opportunity to customize, more competition, less knowledge of customer
the 3 Cs
customer, company, competition
customer: is the segment worth pursuing
strength of need, size or growth, willingness of pay/CLV
company: are we well suited to serve them
product and capability fit, brand fit, resources, access and channels
competition: can we win
strength of alternatives, unmet needs, our relative advantage, likely competitive response
targeting mistakes
1. focusing solely on the customer
2. lack of a good segmentation of all customers
3. not anticipating competitive reaction
positioning
the act of framing the company’s image and offer in the target consumers’ minds, so it occupies a distinct and valued place in relation to competitors
a strong position passes four tests
relevant: the target actually cares about the benefit
distinctive: competitors do not own the same benefit equally well
credible: the product and company can genuinely deliver the claim
simple: customers can quickly understand what the brand stands for
positioning statement
for (target market), (brand) is the brand of (reference class) that (value proposition) because (evidence for value)
the customers who…
…our product offers…
…because…
expected value
EV = (outcome value) x (probability of outcome occurring)
brand
a collection of associations in the mind of the consumer (and other stakeholders) resulting from each and every encounter with the brand to identify and differentiate an offering
the brand is part of the product experience, not a label on it
product: tangible, concrete, can be copied and outdated
brand: intangible, abstract, unique, potentially timeless
primacy effect
people remember and give more weight to the first piece of information they encounter in a sequence
recency effect
people remember and recall the most recently presented items or information in a sequence
associative networks
knowledge about a brand is learned over time
nodes and links can be strengthened with experience
these well-learned knowledge structures reflect how customers perceive the brand
create strong connections between our brand and our value proposition
how firms build associations
distinctive assets: names, logos, colors, packaging, characters, sounds, slogans
repeated experiences: product performance, service, retail environment, rituals, usage moments
other people: consumers, competitors, influencers, experts, culture, press
who creates a brand
companies
consumers
competitors
pop culture, movies, tv
influential people: experts, sales reps, specialized magazines
benefits from a brand
to the consumer:
reduces search costs
facilitates quick decisions
assurance of quality and consistency
means of expressing one’s identity
strategic implications:
perceptions of quality/convey product benefits
consumer loyalty
points of differentiation
price premium
barriers to entry
leverage in distribution channels
facilitates the launch of new products
brand extensions
seems like a good idea: existing brand has awareness and image associations
consumers are more willing to try a product from an existing brand
more than 50% of brand extensions fail within 3 years
create new associations, potentially weaken old ones
positive effects:
reduce expense of new products
extend or reinforce the value proposition
extension enhances the brand name
negative effects:
brand name fails to help extension
brand name weakens associations, or the new brand name confuses customers
cannibalization
creating a new brand instead
strengths: does not dilute or confuse the brand
weaknesses: does not capitalize on brand equity
rebranding
requires a coherent message across the entire marketing mix:
product: packaging, features
place: selling in an upscale vs mass-market retailer
price: luxury vs discount prices
product lifecycle
introduction
low, slow growth, negative profits, few rivals, mostly early adopters
marketer should create awareness and trial
have one basic product
price based on target and economics
limited/selective place
awareness among early adopters and dealers
growth
rapidly rising growth, rising profits, new entrants, mainstream buyers
marketer should maximize share, grow the market
product extensions, service, warranty
adjust price as scale rises and rivals enter
more place outlets
interest in the mass market
maturity
peak/slowing sales, high, then under pressure sales, many rivals, price competition, most potential buyers have adopted; repeat and replacement buying
marketer should maximize profit, defend share
diversify brands and items
competitive pricing, promos
widest place coverage, new channels
remind: brand differences in promotion
decline
declining sales and profit, rivals exit, buyers move to substitutes
marketer should harvest, keep a niche, or reposition
phase out weak models
reduce, or hold price for a loyal niche
selective with place, drop weak outlets
minimal promotion, for loyal customers
innovation diffusion
crossing the chasm between visionaries and pragmatists
visionaries: willing to take risks, help publicize, early adopters
pragmatists: want to be sure the product works first, not willing or able to promote, early majority
ACCORD
Rogers’ five attributes plus perceived risk, from the customer’s point of view
A: relative Advantage: is it better than the customer’s current alternative?
C: Compatibility: does it fit current habits, values, infrastructure, and social norms?
C: Complexity: how had is it to understand and use?
O: Observability: can people see it being used, and see its benefits?
R: Risk: what is the downside (financial, functional, social, privacy) if it goes bad?
D: Divisibility (trialability): can customers try it on a limited basis first?
what analysis tells you:
if several characteristics are negative, adoption may be slower than average
negative characteristics show what to change in the marketing mix
30 day free returns, better way for consumers to find the product
analysis relates to the adoption of a technology, not a specified product
Bass model
a quantitative tool to approximate the diffusion of an innovation (not a product)
simple differential equation that describes the process of how new innovations get adopted in a population
two types of customers:
innovators: not influenced by others in the timing of their initial product purchase
imitators: influenced by the number of previous buyers in the timing of their initial product purchase
innovators matter most for sales at first, but their importance diminishes over time