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Demand Management?
Focused efforts to estimate and manage customers’ demand, with the intention of using this information to shape operating decisions.
Independent Demand?
Demand for the finished good.
Finished product like bicycle.
Dependent Demand?
Demand for the component parts.
Tires for bicycles.
Internal and external parties should reach a consensus on the demand forecast?
Which is achieved through structured processes and integrated information systems.
Internal Forecasts?
Sales & Operations Planning (S&OP) – Five Step Process
External Forecasts?
Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR)
Demand Management?
Focused efforts to estimate and manage customers’ demand, with the intention of using this information to shape operating decisions.
Important?
Helps companies make informed decisions by predicting future trends or outcomes; reduces uncertainty, improves planning, and supports resource allocation.
Difficult?
While techniques exist to forecast demand, in general, all forecasts will ultimately be wrong (goal is to minimize error between actual and forecasted demand).
All demand is subject to?
Certain fluctuations.
Random Variation?
Lecture notes:
Can’t be predicted “it’s random”.
Trend Variation?
-
Lecture notes:
3-5 years, popular
Seasonal Patterns?
Demand that changes in a shorter period of times. Centered around holidays, repeat every year.
Business Cycles?
Macroeconomic. Big ticket items = like cars, jewelry, construction, dip in demand for luxury items,
Demand Management (2):
Focused efforts to estimate and manage customers’ demand, with the intention of using this information to shape operating decisions.
Supply and demand will likely?
Never be balanced to allow for zero stock-outs or zero safety stocks; thus there’s four methods to manage an imbalance.
External Balancing Methods?
Price and Lead Time
Internal Balancing Methods?
Production Flexibility
Inventory Flexibility
External Balancing Methods?
Attempt to change or influence the customer orders to balance the supply-demand gap (relating to demand).
Price (Law of Demand)?
If demand is less than current inventory levels (i.e., stored inventory), a price reduction should increase demand, and vice versa.
Lead Time (Available)?
If demand exceeds the current supply (i.e., shortages), increasing expected lead times should decrease demand, and vice versa.
Lecture notes: Substitutes don’t always lead to customer satisfaction.
Internal Balancing Methods?
Utilizing an organization’s internal processes as a way to balance a supply-demand gap (relates to the supply).
Production Flexibility?
Changing production lines from a product to another (i.e., lean manufacturing) - react quickly to changing demand by altering the production schedules.
Inventory Flexibility?
Companies produce products to a forecast that includes safety stock to smooth the effects of demand and lead time variability (common and expensive).