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economic growth
sustained expansion of the PPF measured as the increase in rGDP over a given period
growth rate equation
current year gdp - previous year gdp/previous year gdp x 100
rule of 70
takes approximately 70/growth rate years for initial rGDP to double assuming
standard of living = rGDP per capita equation
rGDP/population
fir standard of living to grow…
rGDP growth rate>population growth rate
rGDP is a …. trend
upward
treadline
potential GDP(pGDP) —> rGDP if all FOP are fully employed
rGDP fluctuates around …. trend
pGDP
components of a business cycle
peak—>recession—>trough—>expansion—>peak—>
fluctuations
business cycles—> markets change at the micro level thus rGDP outperforms or falls short of trend
pGDP is determined by what function
production function: y=f(FOP)—>y=f(L)
production function is..
increasing
subject to diminishing returns (increases at a decreasing returns)
at optimal level of inputs (L) we find rGDP=pGDP
catch up effect
due to diminishing returns of production function poorer/developing countries grow faster than richer/developed countries
recall
economic growth is expansion of optimal output (quantity) level pGDP - rGDP
working age population
ages 15-64
not in labor force
not working or actively searching for a job (students, homemakers, retirees)
labor force
employed: has a job
unemployed: no job, but 1. searched in past 4 weeks 2. waiting to be called back to a previous job 3. starting new job in next 30 days
labor market indicators
employment to population ratio
labor force participation rate
employment rate
unemployment rate
employment to population ratio
EMP/WAP x 100 utilization of WAP
labor force participation rate (LFP rate)
LF/WAP x 100 the willingness to work in the population
employment rate
EMP/LF x 100. expresses L* as
unemployment rate
(UR)
Unemp/LF x 100 most broadly used for utilization of LF
potential short comings
discounts marginally attached workers would want to work but not looking because e.g. discouraged
parttime workers wanting to work full time
unemployment insurance applicants, not necessarily wanting to work
only given employment rate
LF - emp/LF x 100
what are the 2 types of unemployment
natural and cynical
natural unemployment
frictional: due to normal labor market turnover. natural process of creation/destruction of jobs and matching (free to do so)
structural: due to technological/industrial changes. natural process of structural economic evolution
cynical unemployment
due to expansive and recessive periods of business cycles —>unpredictable, worrisome
when only NU is present, economy is at…
full employment
determinants of NUR
age distribution of population: 25-54
scale structural econ change
real wage rate: purchasing power of salaries
minimum wage, unions, other policies: might create unemployment by disturbing market equilibrium
unemployment benefits: higher benefits might decrease propensity to work
pGDP:
rGDP at full employment (NU only) —> find pGDP
measuring deviations:output gap
OG=rGDP-pGDP