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- GDP
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Employment and UE
- Productivity
Economic Indicators of Macro Performance
A variable that measures something over an interval of time, such as your income per week
flow variable
a variable that measures something at a particular point in time, such as the amount of money you have with you right now
stock variable
GNP - NFP
GDP =
C + I + G + NX
Expenditure Approach
Revenue - Cost
Value-Added Concept
Adds up income generated by production (including profits and taxes paid to the government)
Income Approach
household's assets minus its liabilities
Household wealth
sum of all households', firms', and governments' wealth within the nation
domestic physical assets + net foreign assets
National Wealth
Savings by individuals, businesses, and government
What determines wealth (a)
capital goods and land
domestic physical assets
foreign assets (foreign stocks,
bonds, and capital goods owned by domestic residents) minus
foreign liabilities (domestic stocks, bonds, and capital goods
owned by foreigners)
net foreign assets
A change in value of existing assets and liabilities
What causes a change in national wealth
The percentage rate ofchange in the general price level from one period to the next
n - o / o * 100
Inflation Rate
- CPI
- GDP deflator
- PPI
3 measures of price level
PY
Nominal GDP
a ratio measuring prices charged by producers at various stages of the production process
PPI
measures the average level ofprices of all the goods and services that areincluded in GDP
GDP deflator
Nominal GDP/Real GDP) X 100
GDP deflator equation
the interest rate at which banks make overnight loans to each other
Federal Funds Rate
interest rates set by the Fed rather than determined in a market
Administered Rates
Rate of interest banks charge on short-term loans to their best customers
Prime Rate
The interest rate on the loans that the Fed makes to banks
Discount Rate
nominal interest rate - expected inflation rate
Expected Real Interest Rate Equation
- Labor
- Capital
- Natural Resources
Inputs
1. Productivity
2. Inputs (l,l,c)
3. Technology
GDP depends on
Y = A x F (K,N)
Aggregate Production Function Equation
output increases
If productivity (A) increases, how does that affect output
weather events, innovations, government regulations, changes in oil prices
Shifters of Production Function
- Productivity
- Labor
- Capital
What does output depend on
amount of labor firms want to hire at current wage rate, given their current employment of all other factors
Aggregate Labor Demand
maximize profit
Firm's objective
- Market sets the wage
- Workers are identical, no skill difference
Firm constraints
P*Y - W*N
Profit Equation
MB = MC
The firm continues to hire workers until
W/P
w (real wage)
MPN =
MPN greater than or equal to w
Profit Maximizing while hiring workers
labor demand
The MPN curve is the ______ ________ curve since w is beyond the firm's control
- Changes in W or P
w increases, N decreases
w decreases, N increases
- Changes in firm's technology (A) or use of K
Shifters of labor demand curve
increase work, increase real income, increase utility
Benefits of additional work
increase work, decrease leisure time, decrease utility
Costs of additional work
Increase real wage, Increase benefit of extra work, increase Qs
Substitution Effect
increase real wage, increase income from every hour worked, can afford to decrease Qs
Income Effect
Depends on how long wage increase is expected to last
Longer = greater income effect
typically substitution
Does income effect or substitution effect dominate?
ND = NS
Market Equilibrium for Labor Market
Y* = AF(K,N*)
Full-Employment Output Equation
UE/LF * 100
UE rate
LF/WAP * 100
LF participation rate
E/WAP * 100
Employment to Population Ratio
GDP at full-employment
Potential GDP
For each percentage point that the unemployment rate rises, real GDP falls 2 percentage points below potential
Okun's Law
(Y*- Y)/ Y=2(u-u*)
Okun's law equation
Spvt =
(Y + NFP - T + TR + INT)- C
Sgovt =
T - (G + TR + INT)
S =
Sgovt + Spvt
Y + NFP - C - G
What is the largest component of spending
Consumption
Permanent Income Hypothesis
Takes consumption as dependent on current income plus expected future income over rest of life and wealth
Budget Constraint
PVLC = PVLR
Effects of increasing current income
increase PVLR, increases desired current and future consumption, increases desired saving
Consumption Smoothing
occurs when people borrow and save in order to smooth consumption over their lifetime
Effects of increasing future income
Increase PVLR, increases desired current and future consumption, decreases desired saving
Effects of increasing real interest rates
Decreases PVLR and PVLC, substitution or income effect
ra-t
(1-t)i-pie^e
Effect of changes in taxes on interest income
increases expected after-tax real interest rate
Ricardian Equivalence
individuals anticipate future taxes when making spending decisions
What do people do when they experience a tax cut according to Ricardian Equivalence?
They save the tax cut instead of spending it to prepare for higher future taxes.
What is the effect of Ricardian Equivalence on aggregate demand?
When Ricardian equivalence holds, a tax cut does not increase aggregate demand, even in the short run.
What is the second major component of GDP
Investment
Investment depends on...
expectations about the future
Benefit of Investing
expected future MPK
user cost of capital
cost of using extra capital
uc =
(rir * P) + (d * P)
or
(rir + d)P
Shifters of desired capital stock
-Anything that shifts future MPK
-Interest Rates
-Taxes
Shifters of future MPK
Technology
Investment Tax Credit
tax credit given for purchase of equipment
Sd equilibrium =
Id
Sd equation =
Y - Cd - G
Crowding out effect
Government spending increases, causing r to increase
Shifts to Investment Curve
- Change in desired I for any r
Example: technology advancement
MPK
the additional output that occurs when you increase capital stock by 1
MPN =
w