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General Formula
point estimate ± margin of error
Specific Formula for one sample
p-hat ± Z* sqrt((p-hat (1-p-hat))/n)
1.282
80% Confidence Z*
1.645
90% Confidence Z*
1.96
95% Confidence Z*
2.576
99% Confidence Z*
Margin of Error
sqrt[(p(1-p)/n]
Classify
Variable
Type of Study
Choose
Procedure
Parameter
Confidence Level
Check
Random (+independent for difference)
10%
Large Counts Condition
Calculate
Plug in Numbers
Calculate
Conclude
“We are _% confident that the true proportion that the interval ____ to ____ captures the true proportion of _____”
Specific Formula for two samples
(p-hat1 - p-hat2) ± z* sqrt[(p-hat1(1-p-hat1)/ n1) + (p-hat2(1-p-hat2)/n2)]
(+,+)
Convincing evidence the first proportion is greater
(-,-)
Convincing evidence the first proportion is smaller
(-,+)
No convincing evidence of a difference
Procedure
One sample z-interval for p
Two sample z-interval for p1-p2
Parameter
p= the true proportion of [context]
p1-p2= the true difference in proportion of [context] (p1 in context- p2 in context)
Confidence Level
Given in the problem
Random
Random Sample of ___ [in context]
Participants were randomly assigned
Independent Random Samples were taken
10% condition
Samples are less than 10% of entire population
OR
10% is not needed when you are not sampling without replacement
Large Counts Condition
Sample(p) >= 10
Sample(1-p) >= 10
Variables
State the variable and if it is categorical or quantitative for observational studies
If experiment: state explanatory and response variable