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Investment Criteria
Discounted Cash Flow Criteria
NPV
IRR
MIRR (modified Internal Rate of Return)
Payback Criteria
Payback Period
Discounted Payback Period
Net Present Value (NPV)
difference between an investment’s market value and its cost
***only accept if npv is positive
don’t use time 0, use time 1 then add time 0
Payback Period
amount of time it takes to recover from our initial investment
**accept if calculated payback period is less than prespecified number of years
may include fractional year
Payback Period Advantages/Disadvantaged
Advantages
easy to understand
adjusts for uncertainty of later cash flows
biased towards liquidity
Disadvantages
ignores the time value of money
required an arbitrary cutoff point
ignores cash flows beyond the cutoff date
biased against long-term investments
Discounted Payback Period
length of time required for an investment’s discounted cash flows to equal its initial cost
**accept if discounted payback is less than some prespecified number of years
Discounted Payback Period Advantages/Disadvantges
Advantages
includes time value of money
easy to understand
biased towards liquidity
Disadvantages
may reject positive NPV investments
required an arbitrary cutoff point
ignores cash flows beyond the cutoff date
biased against long-term investments
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
discount rate that makes NPV of an investment zero
**accept if IRR exceeds required rate
IRR Advantages/Disadvantages
Advantages
closely related to NPV, often leading to identical decisions
easy to understand and communicate
Disadvantages
may result in multiple answers or not deal with conventional cash flows
may lead to incorrect decisions in comparisons of mutally exclusive investments
IRR and NPV always lead to identical decisions, as long as 2 conditions are met…
Project cash flows must be conventional
first cash flow is negative, rest are positive
project must be independent
decisions to accept or reject this project does not affect the decision to accept or reject any other
Multiple Rates of Return
possibility that one discount rate will make NPV of investment zero
NPV rule will still work
Mutually Exclusive Investment Decision
situation in which taking one investment prevents the taking of another
NPV is preferred option
Crossover Rate
discount rate that makes NPVs of 2 projects equal
take the difference in cash flows and calculate IRR using the difference
Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR)
modify the cash flows first and then calculate the IRR using the modified cash flows
depends on an external discount rate, so does not produce a true “internal” rate of return
MIRR Method: The Combination Approach
calculate present value of all negative cash flows using finance rate
calculate future value of all positive cash using reinvestment rate
calculate rate at which the answer from step 1 grows into the answer from step 2. this rate is the MIRR
Practice of Capital Budgeting
NPV is only an estimate (estimated future cash flows)
most firms use multiple criteria for evaluating a project
IRR and NPV methods are used more frequently in large firms than in small firms
Payback method is used roughly the same amongst larger firms and small firms