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Parsimony
Does it simplify reality in an elegant intuitive way?
Internal Validity
Is its causal mechanism logical? Does it conform to reality?
Falsifiability
Can it be empirically tested, and do we know when/how it can/could be wrong?
External validity
Is it generalizable beyond the specific case or circumstance to which it was first applied?
Relative Validity
Is it convincing relative to the presented or available alternative explanations
Realism
Views world politics as a power-driven struggle among self-interested states operating in an anarchic international system, where national interest, security, and survival take priority over morality or cooperation
Liberalism
Emphasizes cooperation, interdependence, democracy, open markets, and international institutions as key drivers of peaceful and stable global order
Constructivism
Argues that international politics are shaped primarily by ideas, identities, and shared norms rather than material forces like military or economic power
Rationalism
The belief or theory that opinions and actions should be based on reason and knowledge rather than on religious belief or emotional response
First image
Image focused on the individual level
Second image
Image focused on the national level
Third image
Image focused on the international system
Fourth image
Image focused on interaction
Elite Theory
First image theory focused on leader beliefs and personalities.
Political psychology
First image theory focused on
Classical realism
First image theory describing the inherent state of human nature being bad.
Gender Constructivism
First image theory focused on the idea of species wide socially constructed gender norms.
Classical Liberalism
Second image theory focusing on: regime type, ideology, public opinion, economic interest, interest groups, bureaucracies and national demographics.
Domestic Constructivism
Second image theory focused on domestic norms, culture, and national gender norms.
International Marxism
Third image theory focused on the world capitalist system and hegemonic exploitation.
Neorealism
Third image theory focused on anarchy and the distribution of power
International Liberalism
Third image theory focused on globalization
Neoliberalism
Third image theory focused on international institutions
International constructivism
Third image theory focused on international and regional norms and culture
Waite, "Leadership Pathologies: The Kaiser and the Führer and the Decisions for War..."
Leader psychology/mental health/personality; psychologically abnormal/unwell leaders do things that either directly or indirectly make war more likely
Saunders, "Transformative Choices: Leaders and the Origins of Intervention Strategy"
Leader's general beliefs about where threats come from; The value leaders place on the transformation of other states in the first place, how leaders allocate scarce resources that influence how prepared they are for different intervention types; types of intervention strategy attempted
Jervis, "Political Implications of Loss Aversion"
Human nature and approach to risk; when in losses frame, irrational impulses; when in gains frame, risk averse
Fukuyama, "Women and the Evolution of World Politics"
Human nature: biology affects how leaders behave in the world of IA
Carpenter, "'Women and Children First': Gender, Norms, and Humanitarian Evacuation in the Balkans, 1991-95"
Gendered norms = assumption that women and children are the most vulnerable/innocent in times of war; True internalizing of the veracity of these norms, constrained behavior to comport with norms because others have internationalized these norms; Men who are actually the most at risk in war zones; evacuated last or not at all
Doyle, "Liberalism and World Politics"
Regime types of 2 states influence peace opportunity; both democracy leads to special peace, neither or only one leads to no peace
Haas, "Ideology and Alliances: British and French External Balancing Decisions in the 1930s"
IV: Degree of ideological difference/distance between 2 states' elites/regimes
CM: 1. demonstration effects: greater fear of contrary ideologies having success abroad leading to their success at home 2. social identity: greater fear of the intentions/character of states/elites with contrary ideologies
DV: likelihood of allying/aligning or competing
Stein, "War and Revenge: Explaining Conflict Initiation by Democracies"
public opinion and how vengeful the country's public is influences if a state is more/less likely to initiate conflict
Frieden, "Sectoral Conflict and U.S. Foreign Economic Policy, 1914-1940"
Interest groups "sectoral" interests and the domestic balance of influence between these groups lead to foreign policy, isolationist foreign policy, internationalist foreign policy, or contradictory foreign policy
Jost, "The Institutional Origins of Miscalculation in China's International Crises"
Structure/organization of national security institutions --> horizontal/vertical flow of information reaching leaders --> likelihood of miscalculation in international crisis (due to poor/inaccurate information); Integrated (Good), Siloed (Medium; Bad horizontal, good vertical), and Fragmented (Bad)
Hudson/Den Boer, "A Surplus of Men, a Deficit of Peace"
IV: Relative value society places on females compared to males
CM: extremely anti-female
DV: More violence at home and abroad
CM 2: more balanced level of gender inequality
DV 2: absence of "bare branches" violence
Johnston, "Cultural Realism and Strategy in Maoist China"
National "strategic culture" --> indoctrination, upbringing, school, life, etc. --> foreign policy tendencies (behavior in crises, willingness to use force, offensive vs defensive postures, willingness to negotiate, etc.)
Legro, "What China Will Want: The Future Intentions of a Rising Power"
Shock to old ideas --> desireable/undersirable --> continuity of old thinking/change to new thinking
Waltz/Resende-Santos, Theory of International Politics and "Anarchy and the Emulation of Military Systems"
IV: Anarchy
CM: Darwinian survival of the fittest: states that best understand the effects of anarchy survive and thrive; others fall by the wayside
CM 2: Emulation: over time, states copy the actions of those who have done well
DV: Self-help behavior among units
Mearsheimer, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics
Multipolar is less stable = more likelihood of conflict; bipolar more stable
Wohlforth, "The Stability of a Unipolar World"
unipolar = less likelihood of great power war
Copeland, The Origins of Major War
Decline steep and inevitable + Bipolar = more likelihood of conflict; Decline less steep and less inevitable + Multipolar = less likely conflict
Gilpin, The Political Economy of International Relations
IV: State with Preponderance of power + Liberal ideology + common liberal interests
CM: Hegemon uses its power to enforce liberal economic norms
DV: Liberal, open world economy
Gunitsky, "From Shocks to Waves: Hegemonic Transitions and Democratization in the Twentieth Century"
IV: Hegemonic transition due to abrupt shift in power
CM: Opportunity for external regime imposition; Expand networks of trade and patronage
DV: regime change wave
Wallerstein, "The Rise and Future Demise of the World Capitalist System"
IV: World capitalist system that sorts states into international "classes"
CM 1: core 1. Power of the core, 2. ruling ideas, 3. the semi-periphery --> DV: rich, developed countries
CM 2: periphery --> DV: poor, underdeveloped countries
Rosecrance, The Rise of the Trading State
System Level (industrialization, international economic structures/forces, IOs, experts, multinational corporations, technology changes [costs of trade decrease, costs of war increase]) --> trading path to success --> more peace/cooperation
Unit Level (welfare state, learning from others + recent events) --> military/territorial path to success --> more conflict
Keohane/Martin, "International Institutions: Can Interdependence Work?" and "Institutions and Cooperation: Sanctions During the Falkland Islands Conflict"
IV: International Institutions
CM: Increase interactions (and both the chances and importance of meeting again), increase actors' information about one another, decrease transaction costs (for doing business), allowing monitoring of behavior and enforcement against cheaters, create issue linkages
DV: More cooperation/Less "suboptimal" conflict
Wendt, "Anarchy Is What States Make of It: The Social Construction of Power Politics"
Socialization, prior history, prior interactions that produce norms --> self-help behavior
social structure --> behavior
Tannenwald, "The Nuclear Taboo: The United States and the Normative Basis of Nuclear Non-Use" and
"Stigmatizing the Bomb: Origins of the Nuclear Taboo"
IV: Global taboo against the first use of nuclear weapons
CM: 1. regulative effects; pressure, 2. constitutive effects; classification, 3. civilized states don't use them
DV: Force is still used but not nuclear force
Huntington: Clash of Civilizations
IV: Civilizational identities exist
CM: Civilizational identities become salient, 1. globalization = more frequent contact across civilizations, 2. globalization = state identities breaking down, room for other identities to fill gap, 3. end of Cold War = rise/dominance of West, 4. end of Cold War = no more ideological conflict, regime type matters less, civilization more salient
DV: Increased conflict between different civilizational identities
Axelrod, The Evolution of Cooperation
IV: 1. Do actors expect to meet again in the future? Do actors value future interactions?
CM 1: No
DV 1: No cooperation; suboptimal outcome
CM 2: Yes
DV 2: Mutually beneficial cooperation
Fearon, "Rationalist Explanations for War"
IV: The rational actors engaged in crisis bargaining over an issue or object
CM: 1. Private information and incentives to misrepresent about one's own power and resolve; 2. Commitment problems (about sticking to an agreement made in the present in the future; 3. Issue indivisibility (difficulty splitting up the object in dispute
DV: Costly conflict between these national actors
Sikkink, "Human Rights, Principle-Issue Networks, and Sovereignty in Latin America"
IV: Principled issue network focused/no focus on national human rights abuses
CM: Collect data with local NGOs to issue reports through international NGOs; bring their message to and through big IOs; exert pressure on and through other powerful states
DV: Change/no change in state human rights practices
Post, "Words Matter: The Effect of Moral Language on International Bargaining"