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Payout Policy
Set of decisions governing how a firm distributes its free cash flow to shareholders- and whether it distributes it at all
Mechanisms of Payout Policy
Cash dividends and share repurchases
Mechanisms of retaining cash
Invest in new projects or build cash reserves
MM Dividend Irrelevance Theorem
In perfect capital markets, the firm’s choice of dividend policy is irrelevant and does not affect the initial share price. A dividend is simply a transfer of wealth from inside the firm to outside- shareholders own the money either way.
Same logic applies to repurchases
Cash Dividend
Pro-rate cash distribution to all shareholders
Reduces cash and equity; taxes as ordinary income in most jurisdictions
No change in share number
Special Dividend
One-time, usually large cash payment
Signals unusual cash surplus; not expected to recur
Spinoff
Subsidiary shares distributed to parent shareholders as a dividend
Creates two independently traded firms; no cash changes hands
Stock Dividend
New shares issued to shareholders instead of cash
No change in firm value; equivalent to a stock split
Proportional change in share number
Share price falls proportionally
Liquidating Dividend
Distribution of firm assets to shareholders upon dissolution
Firm is winding down; returns remaining capital to owners
Open Market Repurchase
Firm buys its own shares in the open market (~95% of repurchases)
Flexible, ongoing; no commitment; most common form
Reduces assets
Decreases share number, share price is unchanged
Tender Offer
Firm offers to buy shares at a premium (10-20%) for a set period (~20 days)
Fast, large-scale; signals undervaluation
Targeted Repurchase
Firm buys shares directly from a specific shareholder
Often used to neutralize activist investors (“greenmail”)
Greenmail
Occurs when a firm buys back shares from a hostile or activist investor at a substantial premium to the market price, effectively paying the investor to go away
Protects incumbent management at the expense of remaining shareholders, who effectively subsidize the premium paid to the departing activist
Why has there been a rise of share repurchases
Favorable tax treatment of capital gains, the flexibility of open-market repurchase programs, and the signaling value of buybacks as undervaluation and an expression of management confidence in the firm’s intrinsic value
Declaration
Board formally announces the dividend amount and future dates
Share price often rises on announcement if dividend surprises the market
Ex-Dividend Date
First day on which buyers no longer receive the declared dividend
In a perfect market: share price falls by the dividend amount
Record Date
Firm records all shareholders eligible to receive the dividend (typically 1 day after the ex-div date)
Administrative date; no additional price effect
Payable Date
Eligible shareholders receive the dividend payment
Cash leaves the firm; no further price effect
Stock Split
Increases the number of shares outstanding
Reduces the price per share proportionally
Reverse Stock Split
Consolidates shares into fewer units at a higher price
Homemade Dividends
Even if a firm does not pay dividends, an investor who wants cash can create a “homemade dividend” by selling shares, Conversely, an investor who prefers not to receive a dividend can reinvest it in additional shares.
Tax Advantage of Repurchases
MM Irrelevance breaks down, dividends are taxed at higher rates than capital gains, creating tax advantage for share repurchases.
Repurchases deliver more after-tax value per dollar distributed
High-Bracket Individuals
Dividends taxed at high rates (up to 37%+); capital gains at lower rates
Prefer stocks with low or no dividends; prefer repurchases
Retirees and income investors
Rely on regular cash income; may be in lower tax brackets
Prefer stocks with regular, predictable dividends
Tax-exempt institutions (pensions, endownments)
No dividend or capital gains tax
Indifferent between dividends and repurchases; may prefer dividends for predictbility
Corporations holding stock
Dividend received deduction (70-100% exclusions in US)
Strongly prefer dividends (near-zero effective tax on dividend income)
Clientele Effect
The tendency for firms with different payout policies to attract different clienteles of investors.
Dividend Initiation or Increase
Management confident in sustained future cash flows; firm is mature and profitable
May also signal lack of posititve-NPC investment opportunities
Dividend Cut
Earnings expected to fall; management concerned about cash generation
May also reflect a value-creating strategic shift toward investment
Special (one-time) Dividend
Extraordinary cash surplus; not a commitment to future payouts
Ambiguous- could mean good news or no investment opportunities
Share repurchase announcement
Management believes shares are undervalued; positive future outlook
May also reflect lack of attractive investment projects
No dividend, no repurchase
Reinvesting aggressively in growth (positive interpretation) OR low cash generation (negative interpretation)
Highly depended on industry context and firm stage
Agency Theory
Suggests that managers may use excess cash for empire-building, excessive perquisites, or low-return acquisitions that entrench their positions. By distributing cash as dividends or repurchases, the firm reduces the pool available for such wasteful spending.
Bird in the Hand Principle
A dollar paid out to shareholders today is worth more than a dollar retained because of agency costs
Once the dollar is in the firm’s hands, there is a risk that it will be invested in negative-NPV projects, used for wasteful spendind, or otherwise misallocating
Ex-dividend Price
P_ex=P_cum-Dividend per share (perfect market)
Stock split/ reverse split
Price x (1/split ratio); no value created or destroyed
MM Dividend Irrelevance
In perfect markets, payout policy does not affect share price
Homemade Dividend
Sell shares to create cash; buy shares to undo a received dividend
Repurchase vs dividend (perfect market)
Shares repurchased= Cash/ P_cum; P_post=P_pre; total wealth equal
Tax Advantage of Repurchase
After-tax repurchase > after-tax dividend when cap gains tax < dividend tax
Clientele Effect
High-tax investors prefer repurchases; low-tax/ tax-exempt prefer dividends
Retention Decision
Retain if ROI > cost of capital (NPV> 0); pay out otherwise
Negative-NPV Investment Signal
Higher EPS from negative-NPV investment destroys share price
Dividend Signaling
Dividends signal confidence in future cash flows; cuts signal bad news
Repurchase Signaling
Buyback announcement signals management believes stock is undervalued
Agency Cost of Cash
Distributing cash reduces manager’s ability to waste on negative-NPV projects
Spinoff Pricing
P_ex(parent)= P_cum(parent) - shares received x price of spun-off subsidiary