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two relavent margins when changing labor
extensive and intensive
extensive margin
adding or taking away workers. This is the yes/no question “are you working?”
intensive margin
changing the number of hours a worker provides. This is the how much question “how many hours are you working?”
if individuals are willing to supply labor
more wages and labor
elasticity of supply
shows how responsive to wages workers are
compensating wage differential
the amount of wages that can be substituted with another form of compensation and keep hours stable; value of the non-wage
compensation
Extensive margin changes: inflows
Where do healthcare workers come from?
• You can train them (medical school, nursing school, etc.)
• You can attract them from elsewhere (in-migration)
Extensive margin changes: outflows
How do you lose healthcare workers?
• They can move away (out-migration)
• They can leave the profession
stock of labor
all the labor that is available
what do people care about when picking a location to work
pay, cost of living, amenities
amenities
good features of a location such as parks or social opportunities
disamenities
bad features of a location such as noise or crime
brain drain
when a location consistently loses high-skilled labor to out-migration
and becomes a supplier of skills to elsewhere while having a dearth of skilled local labor
what do licenses do
Provide a minimum level of quality to be able to participate in the
labor force
2. Restrict the labor force to those them
quality-quantity tradeoff
can increase quality of labor but must sacrifice quantity, and vice versa
monopsony
when there is a single buyer, or a single employer – in this case workers have little ability to bargain over wages
Why are there so few female surgeons?
• Taste-based vs. Statistical discrimination
• Stereotype threat
• What happens when a female surgeon makes a mistake?
incentive
a change in the costs or benefits of a choice that makes it more attractive
disincentive
a change in the costs or benefits of a choice that makes it less attractive
two common physician pay schemes
fee for service and salary
fee for service
pay for each thing you do. This creates an incentive to do as much as possible as quickly as possible
salary
pay a flat amount for a set amount of time. This creates an incentive to do as little as possible as slowly as possible
profit sharing
workers get a share of firm profits. This creates an incentive to act in a profit-maximizing way
why the strength of profit-sharing is variable
only effective to the extent that a worker feels like their individual efforts have an influence over firm profitability
shirk
goof off
why shirking is hard to detect in a larger firm
1. When production responsibilities are more spread out it is harder to
detect where drains are coming from
2. The more workers you have, the more costly it is to monitor them.
Eventually you need monitors for your monitors
induce demand
when providers can have an incentive to convince a patient to
purchase care that is not in their financial best interest (having a
patient consume additional care for which the benefit is not
worth the cost)
audit study (Currie et al. 2014)
• An audit study sends trained actors (or “secret shoppers”) to complete
transactions
• In this case they sent similar actors with fake vague symptoms (that did not merit
antibiotics) to try to get a prescription for antibiotics
• This was in China, where at the time, hospitalists got a cut of hospital
pharmaceutical sales
• One actor would present the symptoms, the other would present the same
symptoms but also mention that they would get the prescription filled elsewhere
• The first actor got a prescription 10 percent of the time, the second 55 percent of
the time!
fee splitting
form of induced demand, Sending a patient to another provider who sends
money back to you
self referral
form of induced demand, Sending a patient to another facility that you have an investment in
different entities hospitals can be operated as
for-profit or not-for-profit
for-profit hospital
able to pay some of these profits out to investors, not-for-profit hospitals cannot
not-for-profit hospital
putting profit back in is the only option, for-profits can pay some (or all) of it out, gain tax advantages
line staff
workers who report to managers and so on for almost all hospital operations
medical staff
the physicians and other practitioners with medical authority
two authority structures of hospitals
line staff and medical staff
hospital administration in charge of:
what the hospital can provide and management of the facilities (how many x-ray machines you have in operation)
medical staff in charge of:
decides what a patient gets and when (who gets an x-ray)
resource allocation
A hospital makes considerable profit (revenue – cost), and must decide how to allocate those profits among many potential internal and external stakeholders
what does hospital leadership want
• The hospital leadership has their own preferences (utility functions)
• The leaders of a given hospital may care more about one type of
service and want to invest in that (such as more charity care or more
technological investment)
how does hospital leadership get what they want
• The hospital leadership explicitly gets to decide how resources are
allocated
• To the extent that other parties want things they need to exert influence
over hospital leadership
what does medical staff want
• Better compensation
• This can mean pay, but can also mean other features of the job such
as benefits or access to “cool toys”
how does medical staff get what they want
• The medical staff steers patient care, so when they say they “need”
something, such as upgraded equipment, it carries a lot of weight
• The medical staff is not necessarily a monolith, different factions may
want different things, and the more agreement among the medical staff
the stronger the leverage
what does line staff want
• Better compensation
• This can mean pay, but can also mean other features of the job such as
benefits or access to “cool toys
how does line staff get what they want
• The line staff can ask for things much like the medical staff does, but lacks the
singular focus of the medical staff (line staff has a much wider set of
responsibilities) and lacks the leverage from steering patient care
• Can collectively bargain to increase leverage, note that unlike the medical
staff which has some collective bargaining baked in due to the nature of their
relationship, line staff must actively organize if they wish to collectively
bargain
what do patients want
• Better quality (for the same price)
• Better price (for the same quality)
• Either price or quality may be more salient for some populations
how do patients get what they want
• Choose where to go (vote with their feet)
• This steers resources to hospitals with things that patients want
perraillon et al. (2019)
consumers respond to ratings in healthcare,
They solve this by looking for a discontinuity at whole numbers
• Providers rated 3.99 and 4.01 after thousands of reviews are
basically the same
• Getting just above 4 causes a large bump in admissions
what do investors want
• Better return on their investment
• This can be more profits overall or a larger share of existing profits
how do investors get what they want
• Investors can pressure hospital leadership
• In some cases, investors directly appoint the hospital leadership and
can choose leaders that share values with them
what do donors want
Donors may want a hospital to behave in a way aligned with their desires (may want to see more of a certain type of care)
how do donors get what they want
• Donations with strings attached: “if you receive my donation, then you
must do x”
• This is only as effective as the incentives are clever – this is because
money is fungible: hospitals can shuffle money around when they get a
donation
economies of scale
he more a firm produces, the less it costs per unit
• Bulk purchasing
• Spreading out fixed costs
• More room to specialize
diseconomies of scale
the more a firm produces, the more it costs per unit
• Bureaucracy
• Monitoring costs
economies of scope
the more different things a firm produces, the less it costs per unit
diseconomies of scope
the more different things a firm produces, the more it costs per unit
how can hospitals compete
based on price and quality
Cooper et al (2022)
higher prices mean higher quality? - it depends
Paper uses the relatively random assignment of ambulances
• How does this solve the problem?
• They find that being admitted to a hospital with higher prices
increases spending but reduces mortality!
• Only works for hospitals in less concentrated markets
hospital systems
A system of hospitals under the same management
how do hospital systems benefit
a referral network
referral network
patients get referred for additional care to providers under the same umbrella
what insurance does
protects you when you have a risky asset
risky asset
something that has a high value, like a car or a home, that has the
potential to be severely diminished in value with some probability
premium
price of insurance plan, covers asset
risk averse
don’t like risk, more likely to pay for insurance
what does health insurance protect
pays for asset maintenance, can not restore health, protects wealth
Bankruptcy
legal maneuver that allows an individual (or business entity) to sell their assets in exchange for eliminating their debt
expected value
probability average, multiplies each outcome by its probability and adds them up
uncorrelated risk
the chance of one person needing a payout is not influence by another
group insurance
seek out groups to sell insurance to that do not likely have
correlated risks
• why employers are so attractive for health insurers: it is a group of people that are together for a reason that is not buying insurance
experience rating
charging each person based on their
individual risk, so each person has an individual premium
moral hazard
not having an incentive to protect against risk when you are shielded from the consequences
adverse selection
form of asymmetric information where one party (the patient) has hidden information (their risk of getting sick)
uninsurable
If the health insurance premium for a person is so large that the cost of the premium defeats the purpose of financial protection
who is uninsurable?
• High risk individuals (high E[payout]) will have larger premiums
and be more likely to be uninsurable
• Low wealth individuals will also be more likely to be uninsurable, as it will take a smaller premium to be large enough to defeat the purpose of financial protection
publically provided insurance
medicare, medicaide, tricare, the VA
medicare
older people are likely to have more health issues and larger E[payout]
medicaid
ow-income people are likely to have low wealth and a smaller premium would defeat the financial protection of health insurance
tricare and the VA
people attached (or formerly attached) to the military may have a higher health risk due to engaging in conflicts
Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA)
solution is to make experience rating in the insurance market illegal
way to avoid adverse selection
single payer, market based
single payer avoiding adverse selection
government provide insurance for the population, government is the only insurer for healthcare, insurance paid for with taxes
market based avoiding adverse selection
• Another way is to keep a market-based system and provide
incentives for low-risk individuals to stay in the market
• This can be “carrots” or positive incentives (such as price
subsidies)
• Or it can be “sticks” or negative incentives (such as tax
penalties for failure to buy insurance
general strategy of the ACA
1. Eliminate experience rating in health insurance
2. Incentivize purchasing insurance via carrots and sticks
3. Expanded insurance for the poor for those who are now incentivized
negatively but still can’t afford it
price felt by consumers
out-of-pocket expenditure
prices felt by providers
total amount that they are paid for a service, sum of component paid by the patient and component paid by insurer
chargemaster
a master list of services that a provider can do, and the price associated
with each one
how a medical bill is generated
listing each thing that was done and adding the price from the chargemaster
line item
Each individual thing that listed on the bill
charged amount
associated price on the bill for each line item
claime
bill is then sent to the insurance company and attempt to try to collect
from an insurance policy
denial of payment
insurers refuse to pay
price competition
• Providers can compete with each other based on price, with
better prices meant to attract patients
• However, in many (possibly most cases) price is not the biggest
concern for patients
• Patients care much more about quality when they do not pay
the full price
• Patients care much more about expediency when it is an
emergency
quality competition
• Providers seek to compete on quality, but this is only to the
extent that patients can perceive quality
• This can mean that many of the dimensions of quality that they
compete on are “creature comforts”
• There is also difficulty with many quality measures due to
patient selection into hospitals: the hospitals with the best staff
and equipment may have worse outcomes because they attract
the sickest patients
risk adjustment
tries to correct quality measures for this selection
price transparency
making price information public and easy for patients to see in advance
Managed Care Organization (MCO)
offer
the same health outcomes for cheaper by limiting E[payout], limits wasteful spending
MCO strategy
try to eliminate care on the flat of the curve using incentives on parties within the healthcare system
basic structures of MCO
1. Health Maintenance Organization (HMO)
2. Preferred Provider Organization (PPO)
3. Point of Service (POS)
Health Maintenance Organization (HMO)
fully integrated, where the insurer and provider are the same entity, Patients can get care from the HMO, but care outside is not usually covered,
higher degree of control (employ caregivers directly and can choose to hire providers who fit their preferred practice style)
have baked-in cost saving from having integrated billing systems and less billing uncertainty