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A situation where there are multiple possible outcomes, and each outcome has a probability of happening
Lottery
For the lottery, the probabilities of all possible outcomes must add up to
100%
The average payoff you expect to receive, considering the probability of each outcome
Expected Value
Expected Value formula
pi = probability of an outcome
Xi = payoff/value of that outcome

Measures how risky or unpredictable a lottery is
Variance
Variance formula
Higher variance = More risk (outcomes are more spread out)
Lower variance = Less risk (outcomes are closer together)

The typical spread of outcomes around the expected value
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation formula
SD=/Var
The average satisfaction or happiness you expect to get from a lottery
Expected Utility
Expected Utility formula
pi = Probability of each outcome
u(xi) = Utility received from that outcome

difference between EV and EU
EV
Measures expected money
Uses actual payoffs
EU
Measures expected satisfaction
Uses utility of payoffs
The St. Petersburg Paradox meaning
A lottery can have an infinite Expected Value (EV), but people are still NOT willing to pay an infinite amount to play
As you receive more money, each additional dollar gives you less additional satisfaction
Diminishing Marginal Utility of Money
Risk level that prefers certainty
Risk-averse → u(EV)>EU
Risk level willing to give up some potential earnings in exchange for certainty
Risk-averse → u(EV)>EU
Risk level that is indifferent between certainty and gamble
Risk-neutral → u(EV)=EU
Risk level that arises when an individual’s utility function is linear, meaning they are indifferent between receiving the expected value for sure and playing the lottery
Risk-neutral → u(EV)=EU
Risk level that prefers the gamble
Risk-loving → u(EV)<EU
The amount of money a person is willing to give up to avoid the risk of a lottery
Risk Premium
In simpler terms: How much would you sacrifice to get a guaranteed amount instead of taking a gamble?
Risk Premium
Risk Premium formula
u(EV-RP)=EU
EV = Expected Value (average monetary payoff)
RP = Risk Premium (amount sacrificed to avoid risk)
EU = Expected Utility (average satisfaction from the lottery)
The amount of money you would accept for sure instead of taking a gamble
Certainty Equivalent
In other words: How much guaranteed money would make you indifferent between receiving it and playing the lottery?
Certainty Equivalent
Certainty Equivalent formula
CE = EV - RP
CE = Certainty Equivalent (guaranteed amount you'd accept)
EV = Expected Value (average possible winnings)
RP = Risk Premium (amount you're willing to sacrifice to avoid risk)
Measures how strongly a person dislikes taking risks
Arrow-Pratt Coefficient of Absolute Risk Aversion
Arrow-Pratt Coefficient of Absolute Risk Aversion formula
u' = First derivative of utility (marginal utility)
u'' = Second derivative of utility (how marginal utility changes)

meaning of Arrow-Pratt Coefficient of Absolute Risk Aversion
Positive AP = Avoids risk
Negative AP = Loves risk
Zero AP = Neutral to risk
The area below the demand curve and above the price that consumers pay for the good
Consumer surplus
Consumer surplus formula
Willingness to pay − Actual price = Consumer Surplus
Consumer surplus → linear demand formula
CS=1/2 x Height x Base
Height = (Maximum willingness to pay - Actual price)
Base = Quantity
Consumer surplus → nonlinear demand formula
P1 = Original (higher) price
P2 = New (lower) price
x(p) = Demand function

How much money we need to take away from or give to a consumer after a price change to keep them at the same level of happiness (utility) as before
Compensating variation
If the price decreases, what is the Compensating variation
We take away some of their income to bring them back to their original happiness.
The amount taken away = CV
If the price increases, what is the Compensating variation
We give them additional income to bring them back to their original happiness
The amount given = CV
How much money you need to GIVE or TAKE AWAY from a consumer BEFORE a price change to make them feel as happy as they would AFTER the price change
Equivalent variation
If the price decreases, what is the Equivalent variation
We need to GIVE them extra money BEFORE the price decrease to make them equally happy as they would be after the decrease.
EV = Extra money given.
If the price increases, what is the Equivalent variation
We need to TAKE AWAY money BEFORE the price increase to make them as badly off as they would be after the increase.
EV = Money taken away.
CV vs EV
CV = After the price change.
EV = Before the price change.
When are the three measures of welfare change are equal
WHEN income effects are zero
It means a change in income does NOT affect how much of a good the consumer buys
Zero Income Effect
When does zero income effect happen
The good takes up a very small part of income
The good has very low income elasticity
Describes how a firm transforms inputs (capital and labor) into output (goods or services)
Production Function
Production Function
q=f(K,L)
q = quantity of output produced
K = capital (machines, equipment, buildings)
L = labor (workers)
A = technology/productivity parameter
production function → Capital and labor combine multiplicatively to produce output. Both inputs contribute to production.
Cobb-Douglas
Cobb-Douglas production function

production function → Capital and labor are perfect substitutes. One input can replace the other.
Linear
Linear production function
q=aK+bL |
production function → Capital and labor must be used in fixed proportions. Excess of one input cannot compensate for a shortage of the other.
Leontief (Fixed Proportions)
Leontief (Fixed Proportions) production function
q=A min{aK,bL} |
production function → Additional capital increases output, but at a decreasing rate. Labor contributes linearly.
Diminishing Returns to Capital
Diminishing Returns to Capital production function

Measures how efficiently a firm uses its inputs (labor and capital) to produce output
Productivity of Inputs
The total output produced per unit of input
Average Product
Average output produced by each worker
Average Product of Labor (APₗ)
Average Product of Labor (APₗ) formula
APL = q / L
Average output produced by each unit of capital
Average Product of Capital (APₖ)
Average Product of Capital (APₖ) formula
APk = q / K
The additional output produced when one additional unit of an input is used, holding other inputs constant
Marginal Product
Marginal Product of Labor (MPₗ) formulas

Marginal Product of Capital (MPₖ) formulas

Relationship Between Average Product and Marginal Product
Marginal Product pulls Average Product toward itself
what happens when MP>AP
Marginal product pulls the average upward.
AP is increasing
what happens when MP<AP
Marginal product pulls the average downward.
AP is decreasing
what happens when MP=AP
Marginal product intersects average product at its highest point.
AP is at its maximum
Explains how a firm can change the combination of labor (L) and capital (K) while maintaining the same level of output
Input Substitution
Explains how a firm can change the combination of labor (L) and capital (K) while maintaining the same level of output
Input Substitution
Represents different combinations of labor and capital that produce the same amount of output
Isoquant Curve
Isoquant Curve axis
X-axis = Labor (L); Y-axis = Capital (K)
Three characteristics of isoquant curves
|
Why are isoquant curves are downward-sloping
More labor allows the firm to use less capital while maintaining the same output
Why are isoquant curves are convex to the origin
The rate at which inputs substitute for each other diminishes
Measures how much capital a firm can reduce when it increases labor by one unit, while keeping output constant
Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution
MRTS Function
MPL = Marginal product of labor
MPK = Marginal product of capital

As a firm continues substituting labor for capital, it needs to give up less and less capital for each additional unit of labor
Diminishing MRTS
MRTS level when very little capital can be replaced by additional labor
Low
MRTS level when smaller amounts of capital can be replaced
Moderate
MRTS level when large amounts of capital can be replaced by additional labor
High
The isoquant equation derived

Why Is MRTS Constant?
Because a and b are constants
Why does it mean MRTS is constant?
This means the firm can always substitute the same amount of capital for an additional unit of labor, regardless of its current input combination
aL<bK
Not enough labor → need more workers
aL>bK
Not enough capital → need more machines
aL=bK
Inputs are balanced → neither input is wasted
How a firm's total output changes when ALL inputs (labor and capital) are increased by the same proportion
Returns to Scale
Mathematical condition of IRS

Mathematical condition of DRS

Mathematical condition of CRS

Returns to scale → Output increases MORE than proportionally to inputs
Increasing Returns to Scale (IRS)
Returns to scale → Output increases LESS than proportionally to inputs.
Decreasing Returns to Scale (DRS)
Returns to scale → Output increases proportionally to inputs
Constant Returns to Scale (CRS)
Refers to improvements in a firm's production technology that allow it to produce MORE output using the SAME amount of inputs (labor and capital)
Technological Progress
Technological progress → Overall productivity increases. The firm produces more using the same inputs
General productivity improvement
Technological progress → Labor becomes more productive
Labor-enhancing progress
Technological progress → Capital becomes more productive
Capital-enhancing progress
General productivity improvement function

Labor-enhancing progress function

Capital-enhancing progress function

A firm wants to produce a certain amount of output while spending as little as possible
Cost Minimization
Shows combinations of labor (L) and capital (K) that cost the same amount
Isocost Line