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Banks’ Balance Sheet Includes
Loans and securities
Reserves
Deposits (money added to a bank account)
Equity
Stats: Average deposits-to-assets ratio is
90% — much higher that non-
financial firms (Ex. Retailers, Manufacturers, like Apple and Nike AI)
Stats: Banks are required to maintain at least
8% of equity by Basel II
Banks’ deposit rates are
much lower than market rates
• Ex. 1 p.p. increase in FFR => 40 b.p. increase in deposit rates
Banks do not raise deposit rates enough
Bank Deposits:Checking accounts:
regular spending accounts, usually do not pay any
interest
Bank Deposits:Saving accounts:
money-market accounts that pay low interest rates
Bank Deposits:Time deposits:
certificates of deposits that pay higher rates but
require locking money in the bank account
Bank Deposits:Wholesale deposits:
large deposit accounts, usually corporate
Insurance and Risks
• FDIC insures any type of deposits up to $250,000
• No limit on a number of accounts
• Wholesale deposits end up uninsured
Large banks in the US have more than
60% of their deposits insured
Why do customers value deposits?
• Deposits are safe and give access to banks’ services
• Credit cards often require having deposit accounts
• Payment services require deposit accounts
• Customers are ready to forgo higher interest rates to keep their services
What happens when interest rates rise?
Deposits flow out.
• Banks keep their rates low
• Some depositors decide to invest elsewhere
• Banks make this decision rationally and their profits go up
• Hence, deposits are a very cheap and safe source of financing for banks!
• This only works if deposits are insured
Deposit Franchise Value/Interest Rates
• So when interest rates are high, banks gain something very special
from having leverage (deposit franchise value)
• Because banks’ deposits are valuable, banks make profits from them
when interest rates are high
• Non-financial firms with high leverage suffer from interest rate hikes
Why do banks hold equity?
• Safety measure in case of crisis
• Raising equity is much more
expensive than raising deposits
• Without capital requirements,
banks would probably hold more
deposits
• Some politicians argue for more capital requirement
• Most of the assets are in
loans and securities
• The rest is in reserves at the Fed
More About Reserves
• There are currently no reserve requirements in the US
• Reserves are safe, loans are risky
Loans: Personal loans (credit cards, auto loans) –
usually short-term
Loans: Commercial and Industrial (C&I) loans – Loans designed to provide businesses with funds needed for expenditures.
usually medium-term and syndicated
Loans: Mortgages – Loan used to purchase or maintain a home, land, or other types of real estate.
usually long-term
Banks’ loans are not just risky, they also
pay in long-term
Banks have to
pay for deposits very frequently
Interest Rates and Bank
Banks only get their loan payments in medium or long term
• This raises interest rate risk
• When interest rates are high, banks’ assets shrink (because more defaults,
lower demand) AI: Think of buying houses and making payments
How do banks hedge against interest risk?
Direct way.
Deposit franchise.
Large banks made trillion dollars after recent policy rate hikes
Direct Way
sell some assets (mortgages become mortgage-backed securities)
• This reduces maturity of assets
SVB: deposits were
uninsured, no franchise value
Silicon Valley Bank SVB: Their assets were also
not marked to market: (AI: Think honesty)
• If assets are classified to be held-to-maturity, they do not need to be marked
to market (AI: Keep the same value)
• Banks cheat and hide their losses doing this
SVB’s asset losses came as a
surprise when they sold their
held-to-maturity MBS
Are banks at risk? Large banks are
fine, some smaller banks with uninsured deposits
might be at risk
Reserves
• On balance sheet, reserves seem tiny
• They pay interest to banks – called Interest on Reserve Balances (IORB)
• Most activities happen off balance sheet
Treasury Settlement
US Treasury sells $80 billion worth of Treasuries to banks
• Banks sell them to hedge funds
• To settle, hedge funds borrow from the banks using overnight repo
Bank Constraints
Leverage Ratio
Leverage Cover Ratio
Leverage Ratio
banks cannot hold too much leverage relative to assets
• Treasuries are low-yield (AI: Low risk, low return)
Leverage Coverage Ratio
banks have to have enough reserves to cope with stress
Why do banks want reserves?
Combination of LCR and leverage ratio imply that banks cannot lend
to hedge funds too much but they want to sell Treasuries
• Treasury settlements are posted on Fedwire Securities and amount to
more than $2 trillion a day! Interbank transfers are posted on Fedwire and amount to $4 trillion a
day
• This is all off balance sheet, i.e., invisible on balance sheets
Monetary Policy
• Banks need reserves to support the payment system and avoid
shortages such as in September 2019 or March 2020
• Borrowing from the Fed is stigmatized since 2008
• Hence, the Fed is forced to maintain abundant balance sheets
• When banks feel reserve shortage, they cut lending