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[Wk 8] Three versions of the same AI request
Bare (generic), with context (who you are, who buys, how you talk), grounded (adds real material to read).
[Wk 8] Grounded prompt
A prompt that includes real material for the model to read (menu, reviews, competitor page). Reduces hallucination.
[Wk 8] Three levers to improve AI output
Context, retrieval, agency.
[Wk 8] Context
What the model knows about you. It only knows what you typed.
[Wk 8] Retrieval
What the model can read before answering (documents, search results). Also called RAG.
[Wk 8] Agency
What the model can do beyond writing, using tools like search, browsing, and running code.
[Wk 8] Prompt like a brief
Write the prompt like a creative brief: clear task, audience, and context.
[Wk 8] Give models examples
Show examples of what you want instead of just describing it. Also called few-shot prompting.
[Wk 8] Adversarial reasoning
Never accept the first draft. Make the model argue against you, or have another model find flaws.
[Wk 8] AI agent
A language model that can use tools and act on its own.
[Wk 9] Two kinds of data
Observational (collected by watching) and experimental/A/B (result of an intervention).
[Wk 9] Big data
Very large, constantly generated, often unstructured (over a million rows, images, video).
[Wk 9] Correlation vs. causation
Correlation does not imply causation, but causation always implies correlation.
[Wk 9] Three conditions for causation
1) Time order (X before Y). 2) Correlation. 3) No other cause explains the change.
[Wk 10] Treatment vs. control
Treatment gets the change (music room). Control doesn't (quiet room).
[Wk 10] Selection bias
When a person or rule picks who gets the treatment.
[Wk 10] Random assignment
Chance, not a person, decides who gets which version. This removes selection bias.
[Wk 10] Why no individual treatment effect?
Each unit is in only one world, so we never see both outcomes.
[Wk 10] Average Treatment Effect (ATE)
The average of the individual effects. Estimated as treatment average minus control average.
[Wk 10] Weakened control
A control that differs in more than the treatment (e.g., music AND light), so you can't tell the cause.
[Wk 10] Spillover (treatment leakage)
Treatment reaches the control group and shrinks the gap. Fix: cluster randomization.
[Wk 10] Cluster randomization
Randomize groups instead of individuals. One coin flip = one cluster.
[Wk 10] Assigned vs. received treatment
Being in the treatment group doesn't mean you got it (e.g., you never saw the ad).
[Wk 10] Difference and lift (5% vs. 5.5%)
Difference = 0.50 points. Lift = 0.5 / 5 = 10%.
[Wk 10] Standard error (SE)
How random your estimate is. Smaller SE means more reliable. It shrinks as sample size grows.
[Wk 10] Null vs. alternative hypothesis
H0: no effect (Pb = Pa). H1: there is an effect (Pb does not equal Pa).
[Wk 10] Z statistic
The gap measured in standard errors. Below 1.96 = not significant.
[Wk 10] p-value
If there were no effect, how often would we see a gap this big? Smaller p = stronger evidence.
[Wk 10] Confidence interval
If it includes 0, the result is not significant (effect unknown).
[Wk 10] Power
The chance the test detects a real effect. 90% power = 90% chance.
[Wk 10] Two types of errors
Type I: false positive (see an effect that isn't there). Type II: false negative (miss a real effect).
[Wk 11] One unit in an AI experiment
One fresh chat.
[Wk 11] Running Version A and B
In separate chats. Only the treatment differs.
[Wk 11] Final project treatment
Exactly one change (e.g., a picture, color, or heading).
[Wk 11] AI disclosure line and records
Name the exact model, not just the product. Save every answer in Sheets or Excel.