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political socialization
experiences & factors that shape an individual’s political identity
political ideology
an individual’s coherent (all fits together) set of beliefs about gov and politics
What are the top contributors to political socialization?
#1 contributor = family (opinions shape you)
school (peers/friends)
civic & religious organizations
civic organization = local gov, volunteer work, etc.
generational effect & life-cycle effect
generational effect
impact of historical events experienced by a generation (typically right before they become an adult) upon their political views
ex. Pearl Harbor (Greatest generation), JFK assassination, Vietnam War, Watergate, 9/11 (millennials - many pick security as what they value most), Covid (Gen Z - caused lack of trust in gov & conservative trend in voters)
life-cycle effect
impact of a person’s age & life stage on their political views
younger ppl are far less likely to vote/become involved in politics
core American political values
individualism
equality of opportunity
free enterprise
rule of law
limited government
individualism (core American political value)
everyone has ability to shape their life & destiny through choices they make
opposite of collectivism - doing things for the whole (communism)
equality of opportunity (core American political value)
equal playing field
free enterprise (core American political value)
capitalism - pursuit of self-interest, competition, efficient allocation of resources, & limited gov regulation of market
rule of law (core American political value)
everyone is held accountable to the same laws
limited government (core American political value)
gov only has powers granted in the Constitution; power comes from the people
globalization
increased interconnectedness of people, businesses, and countries throughout the world, especially because of technological connection
politicians must navigate when making foreign policy decisions b/c affects other countries - will react
tensions between the world’s superpowers mean tensions between…
US, Russia, & China
multinational corporations (MNCs)
companies that do business in 2+ countries; hard to regulate b/c different countries have different policies
ex. Amazon, McDonald’s
nongovernmental organization (NGOs)
organizations outside of the gov that work for a public cause
ex. Doctors without Borders
intergovernmental organization (IGOs)
organizations that countries join to gain some benefit if they meet certain criteria
ex. EU, UN, WTO
trade agreements between countries fall under…
globalization
Benefits of globalization
encourages democracy in countries that don’t have it
increases technology access for places that don’t have much
problems of globalization
outsourcing - not manufacturing in own country b/c cheaper elsewhere (b/c US has laws against long hours/bad conditions)
weakening of traditional cultures
Internet can be used to promote violence/terrorism
ex. ISIS does this to recruit ppl in the US
public opinion
sum of individual attitudes about gov, politics, and issues; 2 components:
individual’s beliefs/attitudes (ppl have different reasons for their views - some are better than others… should be well-informed)
blending of these views into larger concept (public opinion)
Why does public opinion need to be understood, even though there are debates about whether it really exists?
b/c elected officials need to know what we want to be able to represent us well
so know what to do to get reelected
In what ways can the public display their public opinion? What is a drawback?
polls, protests, meetings, writing letters to representatives
drawback = most people don’t do these things
What are the two general perspectives on public opinion?
the average citizen doesn’t have/can’t express meaningful opinions on issues
even if citizens don’t have clear opinions, it’s still useful to gather data on public opinion (b/c that reality exists & ppl will vote that way)
the view we’ll take in this class
“gut rationality”
person uses gut feeling to form political opinion
from experience of living in US for decades (remembering that history)
do this for topics you don’t want to do in-depth research on
political party indentification
forming opinion based on political party you agree with
“wisdom of crowds”
forming an opinion based on group perspective, not individual perspective
ex. based on family, friends, coworkers, etc.
but still good to research other perspectives
How can public opinion be measured?
outreach from public - writing, calling, emailing, attending town hall meeting of elected officials
not best way b/c show opinions of only those who feel strongly about the issue
elections - better but still have limitations (b/c revolve around only a few main issues)
polls (several types)
focus groups
Officials seek better ways to…
see what their constituents (ppl an official represents) think
focus group
small group assembled for conversation about specific issues
not scientific, but the media likes them
scientific poll
poll of 1. randomly selected respondents with 2. statistically significant sample size (1500+) and 3. neutral language
sample
group from a larger population; must be at least 1500 ppl to be statistically significant
random selection
making sure poll respondents aren’t over- or under-representing any particular group
What is the goal of designing a sample?
to have a representative sample (reflects the demographics of the population)
How can a survey be adjusted for error?
weighting - adjusting survey to better represent population’s demographics
sampling error - margin of error; try to be within + or - 3 percentage points
mass survey - ensure over 1500 responses
straw poll
informal poll taken at political event; not scientific b/c it’s the ppl who care most about party/are most optimistic
entrance poll
conducted as someone enters an event; typically only at the local level (makes it not scientific)
exit poll
conducted outside a polling place after voting; ppl are asked who they voted for & why
media likes them
are used the most out of straw poll, entrance poll, & exit poll
similarities/differences between benchmark poll & tracking poll
measure same things at different times
benchmark poll
taken before or at the beginning of a political campaign; ask how ppl feel about the candidate & what issues they care about + see if people know who the candidate is
tracking poll
taken during a political campaign, typically week by week; ask how ppl feel about the candidate & what issues they care about
In what ways can polls be conducted?
by telephone (random digit dialing), online through email, in-person, etc.
What about the making/asking of a poll can influence responses?
question order (can influence responses to the following questions)
question wording
appearance/tone of the person asking (if in-person)
Does polling always accurately predict results? Give evidence.
No - was off for 2016, 2020, & 2024 presidential elections
What are the patterns in public opinion (3 best indicators of how someone may vote)?
political party identification
gender gap (men tend to vote Republican, women tend to vote Democrat)
race/ethnic identity
What can polls be used to figure out?
what the public wants (although hard to determine how much public opinion influences public policy decisions)
to “spin” policy decisions to the public
political ideology
set of beliefs about desired goals & outcomes of governance policies; what ppl think the gov should do
right vs. privilege
right - something guaranteed that the gov can’t take away
privilege - something that a person may obtain or receive, but that gov can take away
debates about rights vs. privileges - ex. healthcare
party ideology
a party’s philosophy about the proper role of gov & its set of positions on major issues
conservatism
more government control of social behavior, less government control/regulation of business & economy
Republican Party is associated with conservatism
social behavior examples
abortion, marijuana usage, same-sex marriage, etc.
liberalism
less gov control of social behavior, more gov control/regulation of business & economy
Democratic Party is associated with liberalism
libertarianism
less gov control of both social behavior & business/economy
favors very little gov regulation/intervention beyond protecting private property
NOT anarchism though!
Libertarian Party is associated with liberalism
Democrats vs. Republicans: aboration
D - pro-choice, R - pro-life
Democrats vs. Republicans: affirmative action (policies/programs designed to improve opportunities for groups who have historically faced discrimination)
D - allow race-based preferences, R - prohibit race-based preferences
Democrats vs. Republicans: crime
D - focus on protecting the rights of the accused, R - focus on strong punishment for offenders
Democrats vs. Republicans: business
D - support regulation of business, R - ease regulation of businesses
Democrats vs. Republicans: death penalty
D - oppose, R - support
Democrats vs. Republicans: defense spending
D - decrease or maintain, R - increase
Democrats vs. Republicans: gun control
D - more regulation of firearms, R - less regulation of firearms
Democrats vs. Republicans: health care
D - support the Affordable Care Act, R - repeal the Affordable Care Act
Democrats vs. Republicans: immigration
D - allow pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants, allow undocumented ppl to obtain drivers’ licenses; R - oppose pathways to citizenship and drivers’ licenses for undocumented immigrants
Democrats vs. Republicans: minimum wage
D - increase, R - lower or eliminate
Democrats vs. Republicans: same-sex marriage
D - support current legality of same-sex marriages, R - support idea that marriage should be defined as between one man and one woman
Democrats vs. Republicans: school vouchers
D - less likely to support, R - more likely to support
Democrats vs. Republicans: taxes
D - increase taxes, especially for wealthy; R - cut taxes, especially for businesses
Adam Smith
wrote Wealth of Nations arguing for free market (laissez-faire) economy (capitalism)
limited gov regulation of market - “invisible hand” = consumer regulates economy
opposite of capitalism
command-and-control economy (Communism)
What type of economy does the US have?
a mixed economy - not purely capitalist, but based on captialism
How can the economy’s health be monitored based on?
GDP, economic recessions, unemployment rate, inflation
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
total value of goods & services produced by an economy
economic recession
when the economy shrinks (happens when GDP declines)
causes unemployment to increase, businesses to close, etc.
unemployment rate
measures how many ppl are looking for a job and can’t find one
so doesn’t account for ppl who have given up looking for a job or underemployment (when ppl are overqualified for a job)
inflation + how it’s measured
the value of the dollar decreases, so prices increase
measured by Consumer Price Index (CPI) - price of necessities over time
monetary policy
set of economic tools to regulate the amount of money in an economy; comes from monetary theory
is controlled by the Federal Reserve System - part of gov yet own entity
How does the Federal Reserve control monetary policy?
meet to determine interest rates & reserve rates
having too much money in economy increases inflation, so they raise interest & reserve rates to decrease inflation, lower them to get more money into the economy to decrease unemployment
fiscal policy
government use of taxes & spending to try to lower unemployment, support economic growth, & stabilize economy
controlled by Congress/the president
2 approaches: Keynesianism & Supply-Side Economics
Keynesianism
focuses on gov spending to improve economy (ex. New Deal), used more so by Democrats (but sometimes by Republicans)
Supply-Side Economics
aka trickle-down economics or Reaganism; tax cuts; used more so by Republicans
healthcare debate
Democrats want less gov control of healthcare; their policy = Medicare/Medicaid
Medicare - federal gov health insurance for seniors & disabled
Medicaid - federal gov healthcare cost coverage for the poor
Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) - required ppl to purchase gov health insurance if didn’t have it from employer - upheld 5-4 by Supreme Court
public education debate over school choice/vouchers
vouchers - use taxpayer money to pay for tuition in private/religious schools; states offer them to encourage ppl to attend failing private/religious schools
some people criticize this b/c it’s gov funding for religious schools
Republicans are more for vouchers, Democrats are more against them