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base rates
likelihood of something in the whole group happening
sample size effects
we trust small numbers too much
conditional probabilities
confusing A|B with B|A
dual process hypothesis
we have 2 types of critical thinking.
type 1: fast and automatic, relies on heuristics
type 2: slower, effortful, more likely to be correct
well defined problems
clear solution, small set of starting information, set of rules for solving, easy to study in lab
ill defined problems
goals not always clear, steps to solve not always clear
generate and test
brainstorm options and then check themm
means-end analysis
what means do I have to make my current state more like my goal state?
working backward
start at the goal and ask what must be true right before that and repeat until you are at the point you are at now
backtracking
making a provisional choice, mark the choice point, and if it dead ends, step back and revise
reasoning by analogy
map the deep structure of a known solution onto a new problem
tower of hanoi
logic puzzle where you move a stack of disks from one rod to another to test reasoning and logic
mental set
tendency to approach a problem in a particular way that worked in the past
functional fixedness
tendency to be rigid in thinking about an object’s function
incorrect representations
focusing on wrong details hinders problem solving
lack of expertise
experts see structure, novices see clutter. expertise give shortcuts for what matters and what to ignore, without it, problem solving is slower and more error prone
problem space hypothesis
every possible state of affairs within a problem corresponds to a node in a mental graph, the set of nodes occupies some mental area
solutions
found by searching the problem space, thorough search increases successd
depth first search
follow one branch as far as possible and then backtrack
breadth first
explore all options at current level before going deeper
incubation effect
unconscious processing
ordinary cognitive processes
directed remembering, noticing, contrary recognition